Comment Re:The 3 year cycle... (Score 1) 181
I dunno. It just thinks like the rate of change has slowed down a lot over the last decade. Or maybe I'm just getting old.
10+ years ago, performance was more than doubling every two years through a combination of higher clocks, die shrinks, extra transistors, fundamental breakthroughs in logic circuit designs, etc. Right now, mainstream CPUs are only ~60% faster than mainstream CPUs from four years ago because clocks are stuck near the 4GHz mark, die shrinks are becoming much slower in coming, nearly all fundamental breakthroughs have been discovered and modern hardware is already more powerful than what most people can be bothered with so there is a general lack of demand for significantly faster low-mid-range CPUs to make things worse.
Progress is slowing down and I can only imagine it getting worse in the future.