The transactions did happen by malleability attack. What makes you think they did not?
The paper suggested they happened due to a malleability attack, I have no reason to think otherwise. It was not me who said that was nonsense.
It would look like any other transaction.
The paper carefully explained difference in the looks of the involved transactions. By saying an attack would look like any other transaction, you are contradicting the paper, and you are providing less evidence to support your case than the paper did. Hence the paper is more trustworthy than your statement.
They failed to steal anything, hence proving the MtGox story is bullshit.
First of all the paper did not say anything about who those were targeted at, neither if they succeeded. It is likely that they failed to steal anything, but unless the attacks were targeted at you, you cannot know if they succeeded.
Even if we assume those copy-cats failed to steal anything, that doesn't prove anything.
Remember that the spike happened after MtGox closed withdrawals.
Yes, I already quoted that from the paper.
The observation in the paper was that if it was true, when mtgox said in their announcement, that they have closed withdrawals, then those attacks could not have been directed at mtgox. So they could be excluded from the set of attacks, that could have stolen money from mtgox.
The observation made in the paper was that the total number of attempted malleability attacks across the entire bitcoin network during the period were the alleged thefts happened were much fewer than the amount of bitcoins, that were allegedly stolen that way.
I can't figure out who you are trying to say is right - mtgox or the researches. And I don't see much in your comment pointing one way or the other. For now the methodology used in the paper appears sound to me. I haven't seen the raw data though, and due to the nature of the attacks only half the raw data will be in the blockchain. If they did publish the raw data, I don't know if it is possible to independently verify the validity of said data.