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The Internet

New Online Dictionaries Automate Away the Linguistic Middleman 60

An article in The New York Times highlights two growing collections of words online that effectively bypass the traditional dictionary publishing system of slow aggregation and curation. Wordnik is a private venture that has already raised more than $12 million in capital, while the Corpus of Contemporary American English is a project started by Brigham Young professor Mark Davies. These sources differ from both conventional dictionary publishers and crowd-sourced efforts like the excellent Wiktionary for their emphasis on avoiding human intervention rather than fostering it. Says founder Erin McKean in the linked article, 'Language changes every day, and the lexicographer should get out of the way. ... You can type in anything, and we'll show you what data we have.'

Comment Re:Oy Vey! (Score 1) 709

This again? This train will *never* be built. And it's a stupid thing to build. Passenger rail hasn't made money since the mid 1800's, going faster won't make it any more viable.

Perhaps not in the US (though even there the ACELA semi-high speed is by all account quite profitable) but the almost all high speed lines are profitable en there a quite a few systems that are profitable, especially if you count the revenue from high speed lines.

Comment Re:US. vs China (Score 1) 386

The US (or more correctly the Allies) also won because the Soviet Union kept fighting, even after losing a shitload of soldiers (to say nothing of civilians) in fighting the Axis forces. Arguably they couldn't have done it without US industrial support (especially trucks), but that is what actually broke the German war machine.

(Yes, not the point of the comment, and somewhat informed people will know this, but the shorted version: "The US singlehandedly won WW II" is a pet peeve of mine.)

Comment Re:OF course (Score 1) 290

... and so did the US when it industrialized. And quite a few others which had to compete with create Britain in the early 19th century. Frankly, when developing countries are still way behind it seems only fair. The interesting part comes when they are close to the same technical level, and have to develop new things themselves.

Comment Re:Solution? (Score 1) 848

That's actually why we are a representative democratic republic and not a pure democracy. The "mob" doesn't always know what's best for itself and tends to be just a wee bit reactionary at times.

I see this argument a lot, mostly from Americans, And I wonder which countries *are* supposed to be pure democracies? Apart from classical Athens (and then only for a small subset of inhabitants) I canâ(TM)t think of one. Unless the existence of referenda is the issue in which case the US may be a Republic on a federal level but many states clearly are not (including the *Republic* of California). Classically the name republic is not to differentiate from democracies but from Monarchies (and other less frequent systems such as true aristocracies). Iâ(TM)m honestly curious why this apparent straw man comes up so often. Yes, the founding fathers didnâ(TM)t trust the electorate, but most of their checks on that (requirements to be allow to vote, the non directly elected senate, the electoral college etc.) have either been removed or lost most of their use.

Comment Re:Solution? (Score 1) 848

Wind power isn't a solution, because the turbines only last a few years and cannot easily be refurbished -

Sorry, but that is simply not true. Modern mass produced windmills (on land) are build to last around 20 years. Off shore ones are targeted at 25-30 years. Both can relatively easily be refurbished (as a mater of fact in Germany quite a few land based wind mills where upgraded to more efficient turbines long before the old ones where use dup, because it made more financial sense). Some earlier, workshop-produced one have lased longer.

and they don't work if there's no wind (like today) or too much wind (like last week). Hydro-electric? Yeah, let's just flood a few thousand square miles of mountain wilderness, that surely won't have *any* ecological impact!

The thing is you need significant backup with nuclear power as well. Electricity consumption varies by more than 50% during a 24 hour cycle. (i.e. if highest demand = 100, lowest demand is 50 or less). Because quite a bit of that is hard to predict (as opposed to the normal variations between day and night, summer and winter etc.) and since nuclear plans tend to be quite slow in regard to varying their output, you need (most gas fuelled) backup any way. Beyond that, there is geographical variance. Yes there might be too little or too much wind in, say, Naples. But generally there will be wind in for example Turin.

No one (well almost no one, there's idiots in every group) that wind should provide 100% of power. But almost any country can use up to 20% without any large modifications to it's network en more depending on other factors (availability of existing Hydro, connectivity to neighbouring countries, number of gas plants etc.) And lets not forget that any new nuclear power plant in Italy wouldn't be online for a decade, maybe longer while new wind turbines can be installed within 2 years (assuming some planning and licensing time).

Comment Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes (Score 2) 848

It's not 50% +1 though. The summery is somewhat misleading. While around 57%* of the voters turned out, the actual results for the four questions where as follows:

  • Return to Nuclear power: 94.1%
  • Immunity from trial for government ministers: 94.6%
  • Water privatization: 95.3%
  • Water profit: 95.8%

All against the laws in question. Partly this is because Berlusconi has always tried to stop referenda by calling upon his supporters *not* to vote. Thereby making them no binding if a quorum of 50% wasn't reached. This result shows that over 50% of *all* voters rejected the plans. Which seems a high enough threshold for a non-constitutional issue. Rather high even considering that the Berlusconi government was supported by around 40% of all possible voters in the last lection (47% at an 85% turnout).

While I'm not in favour of too many questions being decided by the electorate directly, this seems a fairly clear question (yes or no on new nuclear plants). You can be disappointed or disagree with the result but this is clearly what should happen in a democracy. The German example shows that the only difference betweens this referendum and âoeonlyâ having regular elections is that it would take one or two years more and included the removal of the party that is pro-nuclear from power.

* The official turnout is 54.8%. However, in a further effort to invalidate the referenda because of a lack of a quorum, it was decided that all oversea Italians would count towards the possible total as well. Regardless wheather they have ever voted in any Italian election. This is being challenged in court.

Comment Mobile phones (Score 1) 228

The apparent cause of the amendment is interesting. Net neutrality has of course been an issue for some time. The reason the Dutch Parliament (and the relevant minister) are making a move now seems to be the result of the discovery a few weeks back that (at least) one of the mobile network carriers used deep packet inspection to block the use of Skype and Whatsapp. The company argued that they had to since people where making significantly less calls and send far fewer text messages.

So while the Dutch parliament does seem to be less in the pockets of major companies, a part of the difference between US and the Netherlands seems to be the argumentation used by the companies. Basically they explicitly argued they wanted to block certain apps because they where cheaper for consumers. Which is a far worse argument than the one that has been used by many US opponents of net neutrality, e.i. "Google/youtube/etc. are using soooo much bandwidth we have to make them pay for it”. Which is a bullshit argument, but easier to hide behind.

Comment Re:Uh Oh (Score 1) 228

No, they want to make it illegal to sell it to foreigners (to do that they want to make it a requirement to be a private club, where only members can buy pot. Presumably non residents wouldn't be allow to become a member).

Comment Re:No way this power will be replaced by renewable (Score 1) 657

Yeah, that is the theory. However that Merkel government has had huge problems getting new coal plants approved. Most of the authorisation for that kind of thing is the provence of the LÃnder (sort of the German equivalent of US states) where there is a lot of resistance both from the populace and from the local and LÃnder governments. Due to this pressure the federal government has had to keep the incentives for building solar and wind (especially offshore) much better than they wanted. I expect that the nuclear powerplans will mostly be replaced by a combination of renewables and gas plants.

Comment Re:FUD article (Score 1) 657

Which basically leaves them with no viable alternative. Solar, wind and water can not produce the same amount of energy as nuclear even under perfect theoretical conditions let alone all the extra land required to build these alternatives.

Considering that both their surplus electricity production capacity and their current renewable production (assuming a 1/3 actual production for 37,5 GW of wind and solar renewables plus 10,4 GW waterpower gives you 22,9 GW) is larger than their maximum nuclear electricity production (20,3 GW) I'd say solar, wind and water can not only produce the same amount, they already do.

Comment Re:Longer Answer: (Score 4, Interesting) 657

Germany is not phasing out nuclear power. They will need to import power in the short- and medium-term from France and England, both of which are nuclear-heavy (particularly France). Germany will still use nuclear-generated electricity; they're just playing a "not in my back yard" game. And by "they", I mean politicians which are pandering to their electorate to try to keep in power.

Off course they will continue to im- and export electricity to neighbouring countries depending on the day. That's how the electricity market works. France's nuclear reactor for example tend to produce far to little electricity during the hottest part of the summer since they are mostly dependent on river water for cooling. Looking at the total energy consumption and production over the course of a year however Germany has a large electricity surplus. In 2009 this was 54.1 TWh (592.6 produced vs. 538.5 consumed)

As a matter of fact, the seven oldest nuclear plants can be shutdown without any problems immediately (which is what happened) since there is a significant production surplus. Even without the other nuclear power plants and all wind and solar power Germany still has enough production capacity to meet it's highest consumption moment so far. In practice that moment is always during the afternoon when you are guaranteed at least a quarter of installed solar power plus some of the wind power (since it's distributed across the fairly large country).

Long-term, they are putting themselves at the mercy of Russia. The NordStream natural gas pipeline will eventually be providing fuel, which can and will be used as a political lever (Russia has successfully done so several times in the past to strong-arm NATO over membership for the Ukraine and Georgia).

However, unlike the Ukraine and Georgia Germany has other sources of Gas (the Netherlands and Norway) and significant storage capacity.

Also, natural gas is a fossil fuel just like oil, and if the CO2 boogeyman is still the boogeyman, well... how does that not cause problems? On a per-megawatt basis, nuclear power remains much cheaper than natural gas, and a full decimal order of magnitude cheaper than solar (recall how far north Germany is. That's a problem for solar.) Switching from nuclear power to natural gas is not a step forward, economically, politically, ecologically

The difference is that gas can be put into service (or out) much faster than nuclear. Itâ(TM)s a much better partner for intermittent renewables (Which is what Germany is going for to replace the nuclear power plants). And while existing nuclear electricity is indeed very cheap (because the massive investment cost have already been depreciated and because the producers donâ(TM)t have to pay for decommissioning). New nuclear power is a lot more expensive, doubly so after Fukushima. Building one on spec (that is, without public financial guarantees and/or investment)to be finished in 2018 is already more expensive than some of the feed in tariffs paid in Germany for solar now. Most wind is already cheaper than any kind nuclear plant that still has to be built. And solar is expected to continue getting cheaper (the price of photovoltaic installations in Germany has halved in the last five years thanks to economy of scale and technological improvements)

This is just another example of politicians doing long-term harm for short-term political dominance.

Well, the nuclear fase out plan in Germany has been on the books for years. Itâ(TM)s was only in the last year that the current government reversed it. The current u-turn is les an attempt to score some quick political points than an attempt to avoid a massive backlash from a population that has been significantly anti-nuclear for decades.

Comment Re:/. News Network (Score 1) 385

Actually the UK is only now getting larger numbers of wind online. Denmark and Spain have a far lager percentage of their electricity coming from wind for years now. And yes, when there are gale force winds the power can go from maximum (strong wind) to zero (too strong wind) in a matter of minutes. That doesn't have to be a problem though. Geographic dispersion and alternative capacity handled such situation fine in both countries. And of course a similar thing happens with other power generation.

Comment Re:/. News Network (Score 1) 385

Except that nuclear is highly dependent on the presence of water for cooling. Without a big river or direct access to the ocean you can't build a nuclear reactor. Coal has a similiar (though smaller) problem (and of course coal can be shipped anywhere by rail). Wind makes sense in a significant part of the US, solar-installed-on-housing is viable pertty much everywhere (though sometimes with some cost issues). Ultimately you need a balance.

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