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Comment Re:There's Very Few Things (Score 1) 80

Yeah so? Doesn't mean you can't be ALSO predicting a die off. It's not a false dilemma.

Why would I be predicting that? To claim that die-offs are necessary for prosperity is in my view a non sequitur, another sort of fallacy.

China is wealthier and better off than before. Doesn't mean there wasn't a whole lot of dying off on its way here.

Correlation doesn't imply causation. And really, die offs are associated in Chinese history with chaotic periods which don't have prosperity.

Exactly, and I'm saying you have pointed out how there are many people right here on slashdot who show all the signs of walking right into those screw ups, making things a lot worse before they could get better.

That's a lot of vague talk. What are "many people"? What are "screw ups"? And what is "better" versus "lot worse"?

Comment Re:Or let us keep our hard-earned money (Score 1) 574

It could be a bit better I suppose. But really, what is stable about the current public spending schemes? There isn't a stable public pension fund out there in the developed world, for example. Medical care takes an increasing portion of the developed world's economies. Businesses become more and more risk clueless due to (often highly profitable) government nannying.

Comment Re: Easiest question all week. (Score 1) 252

Do you have a mental reaction time measured in microseconds? Machines have superhuman functionality. It is perfectly rational not to insure humans.

We all have mental reaction times measured in microseconds. As I understand it, the current expectation is that you can react to an accident in about half a second, which is only a half million microseconds. That's quite ample for vehicle control as we demonstrate every day.

And why wouldn't we continue to insure humans? It's far riskier now to insure people, what changes to make insurance not viable?

Comment Re:i haven't bought a car in a while... (Score 1) 252

We don't live in a deterministic world. It's not even a matter as sodul stated of being human. Having said that, it wouldn't be that hard to put in a standard package of items in such a vehicle (umbrellas, toothbrushes, toys, etc) and automatically bill the riders for any items they use or take. In fact, that's almost a no-brainer due to the profit potential.

Comment Re:Easiest question all week. (Score 1) 252

Don't underestimate the degree to which the market does NOT cater to niches. If 95% accept such vehicles with open arms for their convenience, the other 5% will be dragged along kicking and screaming whether they like it or not.

There are several things to note about this alleged failure of markets to cater to niches. First, it doesn't happen in the real world. For example, in the auto world, there are plenty of niche automakers and not all of them make ludicrously expensive cars. And if there is a large unmet need, then there's a natural way via the usual manufacturing process to scale a niche automaker to mass production automakers. Most of the brand names in the industry that are more than a few decades old were originally businesses of this sort that underwent that very same transition.

Second, it's worth remembering here that there have long been substantial non-market obstacles to automakers. For example, in the US you have to destroy a few cars in order for them to be determined to be road-worthy.

Third, don't forget the used auto market. After all, we still see Model Ts on the road in the US. Old cars don't magically disappear. And the huge number of self-driving cars will lead to a vast used car market for these vehicles. It wouldn't be that hard to refurbish such a car, especially one which already has the capability in some form, to be human-drivable.

Fourth, don't forget the car manufacturers. By your numbers alone, we have the regular car market dropping to 2% of the current market, while the bitter clingers will be 5% of the current market. Guess which market is still two and a half times as large as the other by vehicle count? And as far as profits go, that larger, human-driver market will tend to be more profitable per vehicle since it has "options" (high profit add-ons like seat warming or fancy paint coatings). A lot of these businesses might go out of business due to the large reduction in market size (of roughly a factor of 15 by your numbers), but not everyone will. And the human-driver market is still bigger than the other both by number of vehicles and profit per vehicle.

Comment Re:There's Very Few Things (Score 1) 80

After all, you've been preaching here that there are a lot of people ignorant of economics and history, behaving like cardboard villains out of an Ayn Rand novel.

I think we have an example right here with your flake out. It's not about my libertarian leanings or your willful ignorance of economics and history, but the fact that globally, we have been getting wealthier and better off. There are a number of ways we could screw that up and I think Ayn Rand, for all her flaws, did manage to find a few of the dysfunctional ways.

Comment Re:There's Very Few Things (Score 1) 80

You are ignoring the costs of all this. The economics of it all

I already have noted that transportation is cheap enough that we routinely move enough people, just in the US, to keep up with sea level rise.

What happens to land prices when people en mass are moving to a common area? ( note, how many square miles are there at each latitude? ) They go up. This should not be a surprise, areas where people want to live are more expensive. Now, what happens to land prices when everyone wants to get away from someplace? They go down, Combine needing to sell in a place being vacated and needing to go someplace lots of people are trying to move to with being poor. As a practical matter, it isn't going to happen.

And the obvious rebuttal here is that we already know what happens because we see greater levels of migration today than would be imposed by climate change alone.

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