Comment How long will antenna TV last? (Score 1) 261
It's nice to see a lot of people have rediscovered antenna TV. Since the digital changeover (and the recession), I've seen a good number of aerials sprout up in my neighborhood, something basically dead in the 90s.
The question is, how long can that last? The network affiliates are ever more addicted to their retransmission consent money from the pay-providers. Hell, Comcast owns NBC and the other main networks have heavy ties into the paid TV world. Several of the network executives have already threatened to go paid-only in light of the Aereo decision. There will be a lot more temptation to go dark when the FCC lets them reverse-auction 'their' spectrum to internet/mobile providers in a year or two. Besides that... people like me who watch antenna TV instead of paying for cable are either poor or cheapskates. In neither case, anyone's favorite target market demographic.
It will be a slow shutdown, with all the affiliate agreement model, NFL contracts, and the like. But I think that, in a decade, the free OTA world will pretty much be PBS and maybe a couple of infomercial channels.