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Comment Re:How about (Score 2) 268

Donated once to the EFF and the ACLU at different times. The incredible volume of spam mail, junk mail, and phone calls that I received from these two organizations convinced me to never contribute to them again, as well as likely costing them more than my donation.

My advice: Donate to a local organization, not a national or international one. They are less likely to have hordes of administrative flunkies to bother you later (and consume donation money), and you'll be helping the community you live in. There are good causes in every community in America.

Cellphones

Political Polls Become Less Reliable As We Head Into 2016 Presidential Election 292

HughPickens.com writes: Cliff Zukin writes in the NY Times that those paying close attention to the 2016 election should exercise caution as they read the polls — election polling is in near crisis as statisticians say polls are becoming less reliable. According to Zukin, two trends are driving the increasing unreliability of election and other polling in the United States: the growth of cellphones and the decline in people willing to answer surveys. Coupled, they have made high-quality research much more expensive to do, so there is less of it. This has opened the door for less scientifically-based, less well-tested techniques.

To top it off, a perennial election polling problem, how to identify "likely voters," has become even thornier. Today, a majority of people are difficult or impossible to reach on landline phones. One problem is that the 1991 Telephone Consumer Protection Act has been interpreted by the Federal Communications Commission to prohibit the calling of cellphones through automatic dialers, in which calls are passed to live interviewers only after a person picks up the phone. To complete a 1,000-person survey, it's not unusual to have to dial more than 20,000 random numbers, most of which do not go to actual working telephone numbers.

The second unsettling trend is rapidly declining response rates, reaching levels once considered unimaginable. In the late 1970s, pollsters considered an 80 percent response rate acceptable, but by 2014 the response rate has fallen to 8 percent. "Our old paradigm has broken down, and we haven't figured out how to replace it," concludes Zukin. "In short, polls and pollsters are going to be less reliable. We may not even know when we're off base. What this means for 2016 is anybody's guess."

Comment Re:Snake oil is everywhere (Score 5, Insightful) 668

"The prior shows a logical certainty, the latter [absence of evidence] is rationalization."

No, the latter is not mere rationalization; it is a logical use of limited resources (like time and money).

People can come up with a billion crazy theories or stories. We don't have time to test all of them or start using all of them by default. Hence, the responsibility falls upon the story-teller or seller to do the test and present evidence before anyone else gives them attention, time, or money in return. That's not rationalization -- it's simply rational.

As I say in my statistics classes: "The null hypothesis gets the benefit of the doubt; the alternative hypothesis has the burden of proof". (Or as Wikipedia puts it: "Rejecting or disproving the null hypothesis... is a central task in the modern practice of science, and gives a precise sense in which a claim is capable of being proven false. The null hypothesis is generally assumed to be true until evidence indicates otherwise.").

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Null_hypothesis

Censorship

In 6 Months, Australia Bans More Than 240 Games 136

dotarray writes with this snippet from (apropos) Player Attack: In the 20 years from 1995 to January 2015, there were 77 games Refused Classification in Australia. After January though, more than 240 games have been effectively banned by the Classification Board — an average of 40 per month. Most of these games are mobile- or digital-only releases you're unlikely to have ever heard of, with names like League Of Guessing, 'w21wdf AB test,' Sniper 3D Assault Zombie, Measure Bra Size Prank, and Virtual Marijuana Smoking showing up in just the first few pages. What games are banned in your country?

Comment Nads N. Nads (Score 5, Informative) 290

The writer, Nadia Drake (as listed in the byline at Wired.com), doesn't explicate until almost the end of the article: it's not that FB is misinterpreting her actual name as overly exotic, nor is she using a stage or business name, but her account is registered as "Nads N. Nads". She justifies this by saying that her friends commonly call her "Nads" for short and that she also wants to avoid a stalker. That might be justified, but the fact that she buries it near the end of the article, after a whole bunch of support for actual minority and Native American names, makes it feel just a bit self-serving. I would argue that proper journalistic practice would be to front-load this information in the first or second paragraph.

Books

Amazon Is Only Going To Pay Authors When Each Page Is Read 172

An anonymous reader writes: Amazon has a new plan to keep self-published authors honest: they're only going to pay them when someone actually reads a page. Peter Wayner at the Atlantic explores how this is going to change the lives of the authors — and the readers. Fat, impressive coffee table books are out if no one reads them. Thin, concise authors will be bereft. Page turners are in.
Media

Turning Neural Networks Upside Down Produces Psychedelic Visuals 75

cjellibebi writes: Neural networks that were designed to recognize images also hold some interesting capabilities for generating them. If you run them backwards, they turn out to be capable of enhancing existing images to resemble the images they were meant to try and recognize. The results are pretty trippy. A Google Research blog post explains the research in great detail. There are pictures, and even a video. The Guardian has a digested article for the less tech-savvy.

Comment Re:Idiot (Score 1) 1067

The major difference here is that in the first scenario the water stops in the sink, while in the second scenario it doesn't (so no division actually occurred). Every scenario you can think of will have this same problem; in your second version the material will have not been consumed, and you'll be in a situation of still needing to deal with it or pass it on, which is totally unlike the first case.

Reflect on why this is literally called an "overflow" error.

Comment Re:x/0 does not equal 0. (Score 1) 1067

There is a system called the extended real number line which does in fact have +INF and -INF as usable values. As you expect, division by zero is still undefined even in that situation.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extended_real_number_line

On the other hand, there is an extended complex plane (Reimann sphere) with a single added "point at infinity" for which one can consistently define 1/0 = INF. But this is not the same as any standard computer number format, of course.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riemann_sphere

Comment Re:x/0 does not equal 0. (Score 1) 1067

False.

"The expression 1/0 is not defined either as +INF or INF, because although it is true that whenever f(x) -> 0 for a continuous function f(x) it must be the case that 1/f(x) is eventually contained in every neighborhood of the set {INF, +INF}, it is not true that 1/f(x) must tend to one of these points. An example is f(x) = (sin x)/x (as x goes to infinity). (The modulus |1/f(x)|, nevertheless, does approach +INF.)"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extended_real_number_line

Comment Re:Infinity (max Float64) seems reasonable (Score 1) 1067

"Divide by zero is infinity"

Yes, in the extended complex plane (Reimann sphere); however the "infinity" there is both complex and sign-less and doesn't match any standard computer number format.

No, in the extended real numbers (which has +INF and -INF, similar to standard computer systems), because defining 1/0 = +INF would still cause a contradiction.

"The expression 1/0 is not defined either as +INF or INF, because although it is true that whenever f(x) -> 0 for a continuous function f(x) it must be the case that 1/f(x) is eventually contained in every neighborhood of the set {INF, +INF}, it is not true that 1/f(x) must tend to one of these points. An example is f(x) = (sin x)/x (as x goes to infinity). (The modulus |1/f(x)|, nevertheless, does approach +INF.)"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extended_real_number_line
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riemann_sphere

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