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Comment Re:is it even possible? (Score 1) 299

It has been proven that not including your pissing into that hurricane in the calculations would make predicting that path (I specified next year's hurricane) using a simulated model impossible.

I don't know if this qualifies as proof of the effect itself.

The pilot of that cruise ship deliberately applies negative feedback to cancel any effect of that fly landing on his nose and distracting him into moving the rudder.

Comment Re:is it even possible? (Score 1) 299

Fluid pore pressure at faults is known to change their ability to slip. I think the question is, do small changes cause the asperities - the "stuck" areas of a fault - to change probabilities of slipping by much.

And how much depends on small changes in initial conditions. The butterfly effect means your pissing in the hurricane does change the direction of them next year.

Comment Re:Nice to see (Score 1) 299

Sorry, the east coast of the US isn't geographically stable. You have to go to the Michigan Basin or Canadian Shield to find big areas that are.

That's why the oil and gas is there, faults and deformation form traps for it.

Your potential grief bond proposal is interesting from a legal standpoint. How much potential grief is someone causing me by blocking someone else drilling for energy I might use? Should they have to post a bond with their legal attempts to someone from drilling for that reason, too?

I feel grief...

Comment Re:Anti-fracking goal (Score 2) 299

Profitable enough, or they'd close it.

Sadly, all the best geothermal potential is is places so desolate that anyone proposing developing it is virtually always blocked by the "you'll ruin the wilderness ambiance/desecrate the spirit/affect the traditional cattle range/startle the endangered jackrabbit subspecies" arguments. I've heard an environmentalist whine just because they couldn't block clean energy from being generated on military reservations closed to the public, as this might compete with their preferred conservation. Evidently people are supposed to conserve down to zero first.

Comment Re:Anti-fracking goal (Score 1) 299

They still drill in The Geysers because the resulting quakes are predictably minor and the geothermal energy harvested is much more economically important than cracked foundations, paying millions in claims or not.

The problem I see here is that the Ohio quakes are in a known quake zone that has produced larger ones historically. It might be more logical to assume that the prior quakes somehow caused humans to drill the later wells.

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