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Comment Re:Number of interviews... (Score 1) 454

Try performing a quick sort, or any high level maths sort in the real world it would take you years to sort that 1000 item list.

Again, you have to adapt the methods to your particular computer. Not all sort algorithms are equal in this regard. It's not that hard to find an O(Nlog(N)) algorithm or hybrid algorithm that works manually.

but I would argue, in this case using a computer that is so fundamentally different will require a complete rewrite and a completely different approach.

That turned out to be false as jbolden demonstrated.

Comment Re:If and only if (Score 1) 652

This is a flawed idea in that just refuses to consider political action in response. When you can't imagine a government putting the externalized costs of fossil fuels on fossil fuel consumers, this conclusion is a natural one.

Sure, we can implement behavior changes via political action. But why should we? Also, fossil fuels also have externalized benefits such as cheaper everything due to lower transportation costs. My view is that there isn't a particularly good reason to act right now. But with a few decades of experience we should be able to tell if global warming is a serious problem or not. That should also give us a good idea how long we can push the various fossil fuel industries and may even obsolete a few of the uses for fossil fuels.

Comment Re:Duh (Score 3, Informative) 454

So by open market you mean protected local labor market?

Reread the previous post. Nothing about reducing H1-Bs. Maybe that's the end game for the previous poster, but greatly reducing the indentured servitude aspect of an H1-B visa (especially while saying nothing about reducing the number of H1-Bs!) doesn't restrict the labor pool.

Comment Re:In a Self-Driving Future--- (Score 1) 454

[...] the crash would be listed as "alcohol involved" and "speed related", despite neither of those being the cause.

Neither driver would be intoxicated.

That's a lie. I've not seen anyone state that, and certainly not me.

In my original quote which you first replied to:

If we are still going to have human drivers, then we will need more road capacity, more safety feature, heavier and more expensive cars to withstand accidents, etc.

Moving on:

Most of the rest of us are pointing out the benefit that it will greatly increase road capacity.

Unless it doesn't actually do that.

Comment Re:In a Self-Driving Future--- (Score 1) 454

That's because you can be unsafe and not crash. You are defining "unsafe" as someone who has crashed. Not as someone driving poorly and unsafely.

No, to me "unsafe" means elevated risk of harm from an activity beyond the expectations for that activity. So one important way to study what is unsafe is to look at what sort of groups or behaviors are involved in harmful consequences.

You have very high expectations for risk from automobile accidents, but why should the rest of us share your expectations?

I'll present a US-centric case and examine mortality rates (since those are well documented). If the only way we could die was by accidents or injuries (including suicides and homicides), then we would have an average life expectancy (once you get past the dangerous years of childhood) of almost 1700 years (due to a 60 deaths per 100,000 people in the US). That increases to roughly 2500 years, if we exclude intentional causes of death (40 deaths per 100,000 people). Of this, motor vehicle deaths make up 10.8 deaths per 100,000 people. So if we could eliminate that as a cause of death we'd increase human life expectancy by a considerable amount 300 years for the former case and 800 for the latter.

But we don't live in that sort of world where it makes sense to go hardcore on reducing highway deaths. Instead we live in a world where the US has a death rate of 800 per 100,000 people and even complete elimination of highway deaths won't have much effect on our lifespan since most deaths are due to illnesses that come upon us when we get older.

Second, there is this unwarranted assertion that we can make self-driving vehicles substantially safer than any human driver. You present no argument for this other than to assert that the best of human drivers are "unsafe". However, if that were true, then you would expect that the most unsafe drivers, the drunk drivers and those who who can't maintain a valid driver's license would have a far smaller share of the highway deaths than they actually do. Everyone should be contributing significantly, not just the very worst.

Comment Re:In a Self-Driving Future--- (Score 1) 454

The number of unsafe licensed drivers exceeds the number safe human drivers by many orders of magnitudes.

Probably "exceeds" by -90% (yes, negative). I gather somewhere between a third and half of all US highway deaths involve people driving while intoxicated or driving without a valid driver's license. That's not a large portion of the drivers in the US.

Ah, so it's all about having the freedom to drive, not about the number of dead people, safety, efficiency, or the "best" solution. If Khallow can't drive down the road naked, smeared in jello, then it's a bad solution.

Freedom is an important part of that and yes, I do consider safety much less important than freedom. But I also think the safety and lane capacity arguments are way overplayed here.

Comment Re:Well of course (Score 1) 338

The other is pure economic pragmatism, such patterns can only work so long before you cut off your feet. They tend to make a few people richer in the short term but as more and more companies/industries do it they start finding their customer base evaporating too, at which point earnings get eaten from the bottom up.

There are two things to note here. First, developed world labor is going to experience that competition no matter what is done. Second, customer base isn't evaporating in the developing world. Those economies are doing just fine.

Comment Re:Er (Score 1) 145

Climate on the other hand measures changes over vast periods of time, 50 years, 100 years, 10,000 years, etc. Those are easier to guess because they're at a global "macro" level.

And they're harder to guess because one has to wait 50, 100, or 10,000 years to see if the predictions come true. Climate predictions don't suffer from the chaotic behavior of weather, but they do suffer from systemic bias of the climate modelers.

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