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Comment Re:Science by democracy doesn't work? (Score 1) 497

There is no evidence in politics. And economics is a social science. Don't expect the same kind of evidence as in physics or biology.

These are non sequiturs. There is evidence in climatology. And economics is a science, should we choose to treat it as such.

So waiting to be 100% sure that global warming is happening can mean it will be too late (more expensive), and is just as stupid as waiting to be 100% sure the comet will it the earth.

I think there's a better chance of a good outcome waiting on a demonstration of the supposed dire nature of global warming. Keep in mind that there's plenty of evidence indicating that the effects of global warming are long in coming, slow to occur, and moderate in effect. It is near trivial for a human civilization to adapt under those circumstances. I don't see the compelling reason to act that a significant, likely asteroid impact would have.

Comment Re:Yes. (Score 1) 673

If your circumstances prevent you from taking an opportunity that you would otherwise take, that is not a "choice".

Sure, it is, if they're willing to go through the effort. I don't buy at all the claim that one can't improve their circumstances. I can buy that they aren't sufficient interested in improving their circumstances to go through the effort.

I'm an IT guy. If I am looking for work, then I am looking for work in IT

That's moderately unconventional, actually. I doubt most IT people still work in IT. It's a tough field with tough work conditions which is not for most people.

Comment Re:Yes. (Score 1) 673

Look at that. Seven categories of choices right there. You already figured it out.

To be clear, I have been gainfully employed for 25 years and have never had problems finding work or moving from one job to the next. But I am not so naive as to think that the right work is available to anyone who wants it at any time.

The "right work"? That sounds pretty naive to me right there. My view is merely that you can shop for a better job or merely a different job. Even if you're looking for a characteristic which can't completely go away (such as absence of stress or doing work as you feel like doing it), you still can look for work that is more suited to your desires.

Finally, my observation is based on the bald fact that the developed world, despite the problems it has created for employers, is still a pretty open market for workers. If your current job sucks a lot, you have ready means to look for better work.

Comment Re:Yes. (Score 1) 673

or a lot of people it is not

So what? I tire of this fake helplessness. Sure, it matters to them how things seem. Sure, it matters that there are negative consequences to be overcome. But how much more of our societies can we afford to sacrifice to people who choose not to better their own lives?

That is a much bigger luxury then people often think.

It is a choice that anyone can make in the developed world.

Comment Re:Yes. (Score 1) 673

If you mean I have the option of quitting my reasonably lucrative position in IT to go work for McDonald's, ok.

Yes, that is a choice. You can also start your own business or get IT work elsewhere. Now, if you really are so incompetent that you can't do any better than McDonalds as an alternate job, then your employer deserves your gratitude not your spite for giving you a job so much better than what you could find on your own.

Comment Re:Yes. (Score 1) 673

Keep in mind that such a level of freedom to reject work is an advantage a large percentage of Americans do not have.

Sure, they do. Just because there are mild, short term, negative consequences doesn't mean you don't have a choice. This whining reminds me of PvP games where people complain that someone who has played the game for a couple of years just so happens to be a better player than the person who signed up yesterday. So here's the usual advice given for delicate flowers: man up, L2P, and flush your victim card down the toilet.

Comment Re:Yes. (Score 1) 673

You do realize companies often all but collude on this kind of thing?

' And workers collude on what they want as well. Not really seeing the reason to care here. This temporary advantage of employers is due both to the considerable increase in supply of global labor over the past few decades and remarkably short-sighted labor policy in the developed world over that same period.

Comment Re:Science by democracy doesn't work? (Score 1) 497

If we realize we were wrong it's easy to start emitting a lot of CO2 again. If we were right, and did nothing, it will be a lot more expensive.

Why would "we" ever realize we were wrong? The tiger-repelling rock worked.

The problem is that skepticism is not as seriously documented. Most simply deny global warming is happening, or that human activity has something to do with it (which is against the scientific consensus, we are no longer talking about economics and politics here). Where are the reports acknoleging AGW is happening, but that the costs of doing nothing is lower than the cost of acting against it? I haven't seen any.

Documentation != evidence. The fallacy of argument through obfuscation is just as much a fallacy as anything else.

With a given constant amount of CO2 emitted, do you agree that the temperature will be higher without polar ice than with polar ice? Water absorbs more heat than ice. Ice reflects more heat than ice. The fact that the hotter is the planet, the more heat radiate to space doesn't change that.

So what? We were speaking of positive and negative feedbacks. You pointed out a positive feedback given without context and I pointed out a negative feedback associated with the same system.

And I don't care that there is global warming. What I care about are the costs and benefits of the change.

Comment Re:Science by democracy doesn't work? (Score 1) 497

As I said, we suppose we are 90% confident that this will happen. The OP said that we should never act before the science is settled. So in this case, applying this logic, we shouldn't do anything and hope for that 10%.

I grant that the perfectionism of the original poster is a bad idea, but that's just not the problem with global warming. There's considerable uncertainty greater than 10% that the cure is better than the disease, coupled with IMHO a considerable degree of bias towards presenting an argument for strong reductions in fossil fuel consumption.

For example, there's this bizarre insistence on only considering how to keep global warming under 2 C increase.

That's not going to happen unless both the degree of global warming is less than expected and humanity has a solid replacement for fossil fuels that decisively replaces them economically. Eg, renewables so much cheaper that they not only wipe out coal plants in electricity production, but also result in considerably cheaper electric vehicles than gas-powered vehicles. I think that is unlikely even if developed world countries start putting punitive taxes on carbon emissions. The rest of the world just isn't interested aside from relatively susceptible outliers like Bangladesh or the Micronesia countries.

Comment Re:Science by democracy doesn't work? (Score 1) 497

There are criticisms about this report. But where is the report saying that global warming is happening, but that doing nothing will end up being cheaper than acting? There is none. Politics can never be 100% evidence based. See my example about the comet. We have to act according to what is the most likely with our current knowledge. Even if global warming was a hoax. Let say we reduce our CO2 emissions by 10%. City air quality will end up being cleaner.

Unless, it has a negative effect on air quality and city air quality turns out to be worse. The big problem with global warming remedies, is that they can increase global poverty. That tends to increase not decrease pollution.

And I disagree that things like the Stern Report are more within our current knowledge than the skepticism about these reports.

It's not enough. It's an equilibrium. If more ice melts, the earth temperature equilibrium shift to higher temperature. Of course radiation to space means that that positive feedback won't last forever. And anyway if all the ice melts the positive feedback will stop.

Sure, it is. As Earth shifts to higher temperatures, the amount of heat radiated to space increases as well.

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