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Comment Re:Fool me once, shame on you... (Score 2) 252

If you invested in the "bubbling" Uber earlier and sold out now you would be anything other than poor or stupid.

So your strategy is to buy things that are going to go up in price? That's a really good one. Let me write that down.

Anybody can look back and see what they should have done. That's not a difficult skill to master. The hard part is doing it going forward. That's really hard.

<Cue the anecdotes from people who bought Uber early. That's not data.>

Comment Re:Wonderfull example (Score 1) 128

This really shows how much these corporations really want their customers to be happy. and get all the best they possible could offer.

The only thing it shows is that in 2008 they filed for a patent. Every company doing any R&D does the same thing all the time. Anything it "shows" beyond that comes from you.

Comment Re:Cause meet Effect. (Score 4, Insightful) 47

I would suggest that making half as many mistakes gains you about 600 rating points

I think the big problem is that a "mistake" is being defined so crudely. I'll bet players make about the same number of mistakes no matter how good they are, but what they actually qualify as a mistake gets smaller and smaller.
It's certainly true for me. I play at about a 1900 level now and was 2200 in my youth. I make tons of mistakes, but at the same time hardly a week goes by when somebody doesn't accuse me of using a computer. In other words, they don't see the mistakes. But I know they're there and to players better than I they are obvious mistakes. But almost none of them are "2 pawn +" blunders.

Comment Re:I'll take the wine instead (Score 1) 480

I cashed out, paid my Dad back his $20 and kept the remainder. Never played again... have no desire to.

You're fortunate you don't have whatever it is that gives people a thrill from gambling. For those people, the worst thing that could happen is to win the first time. It ruins lives. I've seen it.

Comment Re:I'll take the wine instead (Score 1) 480

if they sell 245 million tickets, an average of 1.4 people will win.) And you have to split the winnings with them. So in fact your expected return is NEVER positive.

If one just *has* to play the lottery, play only numbers above 31. That will avoid all the birthday numbers, so the chances of splitting go down. There, that's my only lottery strategy. For free!

Oh yeah, and don't make a special trip to play. Adding in the risk of that trip ruins everything. OK, that's two strategies. Still free!

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