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Comment Not quite that simple (Score 3, Insightful) 547

The big spoiler that makes models a bit more difficult is water vapor. It is both more prevalent than CO2 in the atmosphere and more variable in the amount (CO2 is pretty uniform, water vapour varies a lot based on location, time of year, etc). Also when you look at the absorption spectra, water vapour absorbs larger bands of IR than CO2, particularly in the thermal IR region.

That's not the only extra bit of complexity, but it is one that confounds the situation.

Now before you fly off the handle and start screaming and ranting: I'm not challenging the validity of the theory here, I'm just saying you are oversimplifying things. Going after people for being stupid, but then showing ignorance of the complexity of the issue is rather silly.

The problem is that it is complex. If it were a simple system, we'd likely have a very accurate model for it. The complexity is precisely why despite general agreement on the theoretical mechanism of action there are such wide error bars on the predictions.

Comment China isn't called China either (Score 2) 192

The proper name is "Zhonghua Renmin Gongheguo" or People's Republic of China in English. Of course then there's also "Zhonghu Minguo" aka The Republic of China aka Taiwan.

Then there's the fact that not everyone calls it the "South China Sea". Vietnam calls it "Bien Dong" aka East Sea. In fact China calls it "Nan Hai" meaning South Sea.

My point being simply that a name doesn't imply ownership under any reasonable standard. The USA is widely just called "America" but that doesn't mean that it owns the Americas. The PRC is widely called China but that doesn't mean it owns the South China Sea.

Comment The learning new trends is big (Score 3, Insightful) 370

The biggest problem I notice with older tech workers (IT in my case) is lack of flexibility and lack of knowledge of how things are done currently. I work for a university so we have a good mix of ages. We have student workers that are 18-22ish, we have staff that are in their 20s, 30s (I'm 34), 40s, 50s, 60, and even 70s. We have pretty good employment stability, being a state institution.

Now you see good and bad workers in all age groups. It isn't like all the young people are good (we get some dopey students sometimes) and the old people are bad. However what I notice is that when an older employee is not as good as they should be, it is often related to being behind the times.

We have a guy who's retiring, thankfully, that is like that. He's a good guy and he's not an idiot, but he's real stuck in his ways, and his ways are about 20 years out of date. He does not deal with new technology and methods very well. He wants to do everything how he did it in the 80s-90s, which just doesn't work so well now. I imagine he would have real trouble finding another job if he tried because of that.

So staying up to date on new trends is a really valuable thing. Doesn't mean you need to jump in to everything with both feet right away, but be up on what is happening, and learn it/use it if it is in demand. If you have the attitude of "this is the way we've always done it and there's no reason to change," then it won't be surprising if you can't find many positions.

Comment Same shit as the Chinese Longsoon processor (Score 3, Insightful) 340

This isn't something serious, just nationalism and/or cronyism. A real domestic processor project? It wouldn't be "dozens of millions of dollars" it would be tens of billions. Intel spent $10 billion on R&D... in 2013 alone. TSMC, who's just a fab not a designer, spent $1.4 billion in 2013.

Semiconductor manufacture is EXPENSIVE. A single modern fab easily tops a billion dollars to build, more like $3 billion. That's just to build it, running it and upgrading it can easily cost that much again over a few years. That is projected to grow to about $15 billion for a high end fab in 2020. All that, and you only have the ability to make chips, you don't actually have any chips to make.

Designing chips is again expensive. You need a bunch of smart, skilled, and experienced engineers and they need to put in a ton of work. It takes years. Companies that do fast design revisions have multiple teams that trade off working on chips, one team will be working on the next gen chip, another team on the gen after that, so that there is enough time to get the designs done.

So if Russia really wanted their own chips, like their own design, their own production, and all that, and wanted said chips to be on the same level as modern chips from Intel, IBM, etc, well they'd have to spend a ton of money, and a good amount of time.

This is, as you say, posturing. License an existing core design (made by Western nations), build an older technology fab, and produce some low end chips that aren't really that useful.

Comment No, that means it is still being used (Score 3, Interesting) 340

The shuttles could still be made/maintained/used. They aren't, but that is a financial and political decision. It isn't as though they reached a magic expiration date and crumbled to dust. A new one could be built and used, no problem, if there was the money and will to do so.

The GPs point stands.

Comment I'm sure he learned nothing (Score 2, Insightful) 281

The funny, though rather predictable, thing about the bitcoin faithful is that this did nothing to shake their faith in it. The problem, according to them, wasn't the lack of tracking, regulation, oversight, or any of that, no it was clearly that MtGox "did it wrong" and that this "makes bitcoin stronger" and so on.

They see this an as anomaly, not an inherent risk of their chosen currency. They have a poor understanding of economics. Same reason why they think BTC's built in deflation is a GOOD thing.

Comment Also if you take the "only following orders" thing (Score 1) 682

Then where do you draw the line? You clearly need a line, but that means you have to define it, and you need reasoning behind that definition.

I mean think: If we say that you are never on the hook so long as you were given an order by a supervisor, well then that means if they order you to kill someone, you are off the hook for that. Now clearly that is ludicrous. Everyone would say "Of course not in THAT case, they should know that is wrong!" Ok fine, so that means we need a line... Where's the line?

A pretty easy and clear line is illegality. You may not do something illegal just because someone ordered you to. In fact, that is where the military draws the line with their official oath. They pledge "hat I will obey the orders of the President of the United States and the orders of the officers appointed over me, according to regulations and the Uniform Code of Military Justice." So if an order is NOT according to the UCMJ, then they are actually not supposed to obey it (I'm not saying there are never situations where this becomes a conflict in real life). So one can argue a similar idea for civilians, particularly since unlike the military you are not bound by law to obey supervisors.

Regardless, if you want the line to be something other than illegality, you need to define what that line is, and you need justification for why.

Comment How is it weakly spec'd (Score 1) 192

Specs look in line with other phones to me. The Note 3, which ran me like $700 (no contract), is 2.3Ghz quad core and an Adreno 330. So this seems pretty similar.

Only thing I see is the screen rez, but that really isn't that big a deal. The ultra high rez for phones thing is a little silly. Once you get around 300PPI or so, which this is, there really isn't any visual detail to be gained. Pixels are too small to be perceptible. So it is spec wanking to go higher and higher on small displays.

Criticizing the lock-in is very valid, but the price and specs seem in line with the other stuff out there.

Comment Depends on the vendor (Score 1) 431

Some are great like that. Foxconn is one. They will build to your spec. You spec the cheapest shit with every corner cut? No problem they'll do that. You spec the highest of the high end? They are all over that too.

Not the case with all vendors though. Some will cut corners, sub parts, ignore QC and so on to make extra money and/or offer a lower bid.

It can be a crapshoot.

Comment If you haven't tried the Enemy Within expansion (Score 1) 50

Do so now.

The Firaxis reboot was good, but with the EW expansion it is amazing, probably the best turn based tactical game of all time. They hit the right balance of simplicity of mechanics and complexity of strategy, kept everything nice and balanced, gave you a lot of different valid strategy options and so on.

I've been extremely pleased with it and spent a shit ton of time playing it.

Comment At least there is some reality to that (Score 1) 686

You can actually make realistic predictions, see the results, etc, etc. Doesn't mean it accomplishes much, but it is more grounded in fact and reality than this kind of crap.

We know -nothing- that we need to know to determine if there is other intelligent life in our galaxy, if so where, how advanced, etc, etc. We have no idea and there's no way at this time for us to have any idea.

So it is nothing but babble when people start speculating as to what might be going on. It is in every way as vapid any any talk about celebrity gossip and even less relevant and founded in reality.

If we ever start to have some of the information we need, then it might be useful, however right now we just have no damn idea.

Comment Related to #2 (Score 1) 686

We are kinda in the middle of the sticks in our galaxy. We are a good bit out in one of the arms. So even presuming there is other intelligent life in the galaxy (which of course we have no way of calculating the probability of) it could very well be quite far away. If they haven't figured out a method of FTL travel, or if indeed FTL travel is simply impossible, then it is the kind of thing where contact might ever happen.

Never mind the silly idea that there MUST be other intelligent life out there and that it MUST be way more advanced than us (neither of which have any evidence for or against) but it could easily just be way too far away for the laws of physics to make any kind of contact a reality.

Comment I'm actually not sure it makes much sense at all (Score 3, Interesting) 519

The thing is, what I see it do, working at a university, is protect old professors from having to do any work. We have professors who teach one class, or even none at all, do not have a research lab, and are barely around on campus. Yet they are not fired, because revoking tenure is a near impossible process. So they get to collect their paycheck and do next to nothing.

It doesn't seem to help with regards to unpopular research because you have to do a bunch of research to begin with to get tenure. Who decides if you get it? Your peers, of course. So if you show up and do unpopular research, well then you aren't going to get tenure. It is a very real popularity contest.

The only way it would help is if someone came in, didn't say what they really wanted to research, did popular research for 6-8 years, got tenure, finished up that research to satisfy the grants they had gotten, then started on their unpopular research. That requires an awful lot of planning and subterfuge. Hence you basically never see it.

It really seems mostly to function to protect a good old boys club and make sure that if professors want to be completely useless during their twilight years, but not retire so they can still collect more money and get to play big shot on the university's dime, they can do so with no real fear of retaliation.

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