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Comment Re:Bitcoins built-in failure (Score 1) 600

Here's some more entries for your disadvantages column:

The disadvantages of Bitcoin:

thanks.

* It's anonymous and therefore it is hard to trust
    * Transactions are not traceable to real world identities and therefore it is hard to trust, and impossible to trace theft properly
    * Transactions and organisations are not regulated as banks are, and therefore it is hard to trust
    * It is impossible to insure properly against theft and loss, because there are not traceable transactions and anonymous transactions are allowed

Bitcoin itself (I consider it a scarce commodity, like gold) indeed has these problems. However they could be worked around by an entity setting up a secondary system on top of the Bitcoin network (think: paypal handling bitcoins). That way you'd have traceability, auditability, chargebacks and all the features some desire.
Your above criticisms also apply to traditional cash and gold.

* It is not backed by the assets and credibility of a nation, and therefore it is hard to trust

Excuse me, but I find this disturbing. I trust in the value of silver, for example, a lot more than in the value of the EUR, specifically because it is not controlled by any one nation or group of nations who are very likely going to expand the money supply rather than reduce it.

* It is subject to massive speculation, hoarding and other manipulation, and therefore the value fluctuates wildly

True. Bitcoin is still in its infancy. It's already getting a lot better, though: Markets are becoming more liquid and larger every month.

* It's controlled by a cartel of core developers, and the rules could be changed at any time (in this sense it is a fiat currency!)

That's not true. There are various alternative implementations and the thing that would have to be controlled is not the software, but the protocol rules used in the wild. A disagreement on the rules results in a fork of the blockchain. There is then a Bitcoin A and a Bitcoin B and people have to decide which one they use. The users (merchants, individuals, miners,...) decide which ruleset they use, not the developers. Firstly: a fork like that would be bad for both chains and secondly: one chain would likely win (because more people like the ruleset of it better than the one of the other chain and only accept coins from that chain) and we'd have only Bitcoin again after probably quite a short while. So what I'm saying is: the cartel of developers cannot simply change the rules by rolling out an update. For an example look at how hard it was for them to rollout BIP16 (multisignature transactions)... a very positive change, but still it was tremendously hard to achieve consensus of a large enough portion of the rule-setters (all participants, basically)

* Savings are not guaranteed by law as they are in national currencies

Let me paraphrase Alan Greenspan: "We can print as much money as you want, we just cannot guarantee its value". I think this makes guarantees of savings, pensions or whatever a moot point. In addition: saving is in the current scheme greatly discouraged anyway by keeping interest rates artificially low.

Comment Re:Bitcoins built-in failure (Score 1) 600

Limited supply should go in the disadvantages column.

why?

You also forgot that its lifetime is limited by the security of the underlying cryptographic hash function. That's not expected to be very long, I'd be surprised if SHA-2 isn't broken (preimage attacks) in the next 50 years.

True, I forgot that. I'm sure you're aware that the hash function used can be changed. It'd make a hard-fork necessary (everybody update client with new rules)... but who wouldn't participate if the old one's broken?

Comment Re:Bitcoins built-in failure (Score 5, Interesting) 600

The main advantages of Bitcoin over other types of "real" money:

  * it's censorship resistant (can't be shut down, just like bittorrent)
  * it has low transaction costs and low barrier to entry (freedom of economic transaction)
  * it can be transmitted via the internet globally in short time (max 1 hour)
  * it's cheap and easy to secure against theft and loss

The additional advantages of Bitcoin over FIAT currencies:

  * the supply is limited
  * it's open source and not controlled by banking cartel or government, open to anyone

The disadvantages of Bitcoin:

  * its acceptance is very low, to say the least
  * it's hard to understand and therefore hard to trust
  * it offers an ideal playground for criminals and scammers
  * you can add your own criticism here

Comment Re:Bitcoins built-in failure (Score 1) 600

There have been anonymous digital cash systems before.

The main point of bitcoin (the innovation, so to speak) is not anonymity (which you can actually achieve with bitcoin pretty easily if you want, but it's not built-in), but censorship resistance: it cannot be shut down by nuking some server.

Comment Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. (Score 1) 600

With the introduction of using ASICs for mining, nowadays the large chunk of the cost will be upfront for the hardware anyway. A "jalapeno" from BFL (no ASIC is being delivered yet, btw) will deliver 4.5 GHash/s using around 5 Watts of power. Compare that to about 2000 Watts for a CPU rig of same hashing power.

Comment Re:Quick find all the people that care (Score 3, Funny) 600

Gold has actual mechanical uses (electrical contacts.) It also has bauble value.

BitCoins have zero intrinsic value, and they require electric and Internet connectivity to be used. Gold requires a civilization level just a step above pure anarchy to be useful.

IMHO, it is sort of suspicious that there is this ramp where early adopters get these bonuses, and people hopping on late end up having to put a lot more resources in for the same coins... that combined with the value of the currency going up/down in insane swings, makes it useless as anything other than a novelty.

I find it pretty unfair that the early gold miners got such large bonuses. It's much harder to mine gold nowadays. No more standing by the river with a sieve will do it :-(

Comment Re:Not a Ponzi scheme. (Score 1) 327

The Number of bitcoins in existance should have no direct influence on the number of bitcoin owners, since bitcoins are highly divisible (8 decimals).

I'd also like to know how udachny arrives at "the number of people with Bitcoins diminishes over time".

I agree with him on bitcoin not being a ponzi and fiat money not having the "store of value" property.

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