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Comment Re:Internet by satellite: non-news (Score 1) 105

Even in modern countries there are holes. I live in Iceland and we have one of the best rates of broadband connectivity and fiber deployment in the world. But my land is in a sparsely populated valley so it hasn't paid off to run a line out there, most people just use their cell phones for a net connection. If satellite could beat that (and wouldn't be too blocked by mountains), even in highly connected countries there's a real potential market here.

Heck, there's a lot of people who would get it if the price and stats were right even if they had ground-based broadband. Everyone here has bandwidth caps on international net traffic, only domestic is unlimited. So people who want to do a lot of downloads of foreign content might well choose that instead of or inaddition to regular broadband.

Comment Re:Internet by satellite: non-news (Score 1) 105

Yeah, I had written a section about this but must have messed up my tags and Slashdot ate it.. Delta clipper highest achieved altitude: 1 kilometer. Falcon 9 first stage alone highest achieved altitude: 130km. Delta clipper furthest flown from the landing pad before landing: 300 meters. Falcon 9 first stage alone, furthest flown from the landing pad before landing: 300km. Delta clipper mass ratio, 2,5. Falcon 9 first stage alone, mass ratio 20 (and the boosters on the Falcon Heavy have a mass ratio of 30). And on and on and on. Not to mention that they're built utterly differently.

Comment Re:Internet by satellite: non-news (Score 5, Insightful) 105

Internet satellite thingy - almost identical to Teledesic

Teledesic: Launched on Pegasus rockets which cost your firstborn child. SpaceX: Launched on Falcon rockets which are cheaper than the Russians and Chinese even without reuse. Teledescic: 90s computer and communications tech (this was the era where playing the original Doom game took a high end computer and nerds envied those with ISDN connections). SpaceX: 10 iterations of Moore's Law later. Teledescic: Communcation sats have to be large objects with heavy hydrazine thrusters for stationkeeping. SpaceX: Much smaller satellites available (all the way down to cubesats), with a wide variety of ion thrusters for stationkeeping available.

Yeah, totally the same situation.

Hyperloop - first theorised by Robert Goddard nearly a century ago and a staple of SF for decades

Goddard and sci-fi: vaccuum tube. Hyperloop: tube full of thin air. Goddard and sci-fi: maglev. Hyperloop: ground-effect aerofoils. Compressor on each craft. Goddard and sci-fi: massive trains holding huge numbers of passengers. Hyperloop: small computer-timed trains to spread out the load on the track and thus reduce construction costs. Goddard and sci-fi: Trains implausibly deep underground. Hyperloop: built like a monorail. Goddard and sci-fi: tubes take the shortest route to their destination. Hyperloop: Trains go primarily over already-built and permitted infrastructure to reduce right of way and environmental costs / challenges.

Yeah, totally the same situation.

Falcon 9 - It can land vertically, like errr, the lunar module or the Delta Clipper

Tesla - Okay, they're quite nice but electric cars aren't exactly a new idea

Aww, you didn't give me an example to compare it to! Let's just go with the EV-1, since that was probably the most modern commercially-produced EV before Tesla EV-1, range 60 miles (older version) to 100 miles (newer version). Tesla Roadster, range 230 miles, and Model S, up to 300. EV-1, 0-60=8 seconds. Tesla Roadster and Model S Performance, 4 seconds. EV-1 production: about 1100. Tesla: produces that many cars in *1 1/2 weeks*. EV-1: Loved by owners but panned by critics. Tesla Model S: not only loved by owners but has been getting some of the highest ratings for any kind of car period.

Your "analogies" are akin to saying "So what if he won the Indy 500 - I raced my go-cart down the street the other day and beat a soap-box racer!"

Comment Re:Why use hydraulic fluid? (Score 1) 248

"Cruising speed" is otherwise known as "terminal velocity" and is hundreds of meters per second. And I'll reiterate: the *point* is to go slow. Drag is a *good thing* on the way back down.

Other corrections: It's false that there's no part of the rocket that reliably faces a given angle - it doesn't tumble, it maintains an orientation generally between 0 and 15 degrees relative to the direction of travel. And the concept that bloody air is going to kill a pneumatic piston in a matter of minutes is the height of absurdity. .

Comment Re:Try Again Next Time (Score 1) 248

Apart from actually launching a rocket to space and then having it descend and attempt to land, what's your proposed method to determine how much the fins have to move during a real-world descent and thus how much hydraulic fluid they'll consume? (beyond the simulations, which SpaceX uses extensively; they're invaluable but don't correspond 100% to real-world flight scenarios)

Comment Re:Why use hydraulic fluid? (Score 1) 248

I believe what they're saying is instead of any hydraulic system at all, which would be a simplification, no? And I have no idea what you mean by "efficiency leeching ramscoop", the whole point is to slow down.

I'm sure that SpaceX had reasons for not going with such a design. One that comes to mind for example would be during hover/low speeds - no ram air. But you don't need to be mean to the GP for suggesting that.

Comment Re:"plenty of flat land to go around (Score 1) 165

It's funny, but there's really three analogies I use to explain the "whats" and "whys" of the hyperloop concept, and one of them is a roller coaster (the other two being the "super-high altitude airplane" analogy and the "building a pipeline" analogy).

Compare a roller coaster ride with going on a train. Are roller coasters built suchly that you have to wait half an hour or more between rides because they haul many hundreds of people at once? Do you have to spend 5 minutes boarding and later 5 minutes disembarking because of the scale? Does a pilot have to take the controls to maintain spacing and occasionally handle the risks of merging traffic and the like? And the tracks massively heavy and expensive to support these giant roller coaster cars?

No, of course not. Roller coasters are well optimized. Roller coaster cars are small, maybe two dozen or so riders at once. Because of this, they load and unload quickly. They're predominantly computer controlled with only a bit of human "central control" to send craft on their way and the like. They're all "expressways", no intersections, so all the computer has to do is make sure that it's not too close to the cars ahead of or behind it. Because the cars are small, the track can be made light, which makes it a lot cheaper.

Hyperloop implements the roller coaster paradigm to a tee.

That said, the current stage they're at, I wouldn't put people on it. They need to make sure that things are going to go as expected. Most of what they're doing is mature tech, but a few of the things, like the air-bearing skis, are going to need a lot of testing to prove their reliability. Right now they need a proof of concept and to iron out the basics. The next step up, where they have to prove the predicted reliability, repeatability, throughput, economics, maintenance etc, that would be more of the stage where an amusement part ride would be a possibility. Though I'd personally prefer that their next testing stage be built as something that, if it goes well, one could just expand into an actual hyperloop route. Maybe several dozen kilometers here - that should be enough room to accelerate up to top speed, coast a bit and deal with some curves and the like, then decelerate back down. And if it works out well, I have trouble picturing that some Vegas casino magnates wouldn't pay to link it up between them and LA. 6-ish billion dollars to enable millions of people in the LA area to pop over to Vegas in half an hour for $20 and unload a couple hundred dollars in the casinos? The amount of additional traffic they'd get would pay that off in a heartbeat.

Although... hmm, you know, they designed Hyperloop to limit passenger vertical acceleration to 1G and lateral acceleration to 0,5Gs, for reasons of passenger comfort - but not reasons of structural integrity or acceleration capability. So you know, even on actual routes, they actually could potentially let people purchase tickets to a... ahem... less G-force limited experience. ;) It'd require more car spacing, so the tickets would cost more, but when your base price is only $20... Plus, you'd get there a little faster. ;)

Comment Re:"plenty of flat land to go around (Score 1) 165

but why would it be lighter than a conventional train?

The main reason is that hyperloop isn't designed to achieve throughput by bundling everyone together into (proportionally) rarely launched trains, but by frequently launching smaller trains fully under computer control - spacing on the order of a few minutes instead of a half hour or so. There's only 28 passengers per pod. That launch rate is easier than many other computer controlled transportation systems, mind you, because there's no intersections - the only thing you could possibly hit is the car in front of you or the car behind you, and only by doing something really ridiculous (it's also more than enough time to stop if something goes wrong, as per the calculations, and the numbers look quite realistic).

but at the least it's going to have to support the tube plus the train cars itself

The tube isn't actually as heavy as you might think. Unfortunately I dont have my numbers on me right now, but it works out to not materially change the picture.

Is it simply that new materials and not having to share tracks with existing trains allow for different, lighter construction?

The real enabling technology for this is high launch rate, and the enabling technology for that is computer control with a simplified control problem (one way, don't hit the car ahead of or behind you). Yes, they'll use modern materials to try to keep things light, but that's not the key factor; the key factor is spreading out the load. It also adds a great deal of convenience for passengers - near constant departures and quick to get in and out of. The proposal really has more in common with a roller coaster ride than with a train: frequent small cars, quick loading and unloading, computer control maintaining spacing, etc.

But I'm concerned that it might be too optimistic

In the beginning I did too. But I've read the proposal and cross-referenced the numbers, and I'm sold. The cost figure is totally different from rail because it's really nothing like rail. For example, the track construction is far more like pipeline construction (really, it *is* a pipeline construction), so you need to compare to pipeline construction costs, not track construction costs. And it actually favors comparably with most types of pipeline, like oil pipeline, which are bogged down in environmental regulations and almost always lots of lawsuits, plus face high construction costs from having to generally go through wilderness areas, and a ton of other things. In most aspects oil pipelines have a far tougher time of it; the only thing that Hyperloop has harder is establishing and maintaining tolerances (but they have some very good proposed solutions for achieving the them quickly and affordably).

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