Comment And Maybe Elections Are Coin-Tosses? (Score 1) 292
The margin between the major parties has been shrinking over the last 30 years, mostly due to ambivalence. It really matters less and less who you vote for as the deep pockets have already ensured that you have the choice of Tweedledee or Tweedledum, candidates who will do their bidding no matter what their party affiliation.
Here's my previous rant on the subject with U.S. presidential election data since 1980:
Obama: Maybe It's Time For Mandatory Voting In US
The statistics on the previous N coin-tosses will not tell you who will win on the N+1 toss.