Comment given finite resources... (Score 1) 583
I have to ask, aren't there things (in space) that have a higher return on investment? A ballpark figure for a moon colony would be well north of $200 billion.
It seems that the science return from unmanned space probes has been enormously high, and it doesn't seem clear that the science return from manned space travel has been all that high. I'd also worry that the resources spent on a lunar colony would be taken from other space programs, like the unmanned exploration programs. So we'd be trading a high-return program for a somewhat lower one.
I'd also argue that if we want to build a long-term presence in space, focusing on technologies that will let us have sustainable, affordable space travel would be a wiser way to go -- I'd rather see a moon colony in 2050 or so that was permanent and affordable rather than one in 2020 that was abandoned in 2022.