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Comment Re:Given a healthy input of science fiction... (Score 1) 265

I'm going to assume this will end somewhere between a net effect of zero and a problem that's 1,000 times worse than what they're trying to solve.

Why assume? This particular version of the sterile insect technique has already been applied to great success in Brazil and the Cayman Islands.

Comment Re:What could possibly go wrong? (Score 5, Informative) 265

Why predict when you can retrodict?

In experiments conducted by Oxitec in Brazil and the Cayman Islands, millions of modified mosquitoes were released over a period of several months, and they ended up decimating over 95 percent of the targeted insect population. Both countries were so impressed by this result that they’re now hoping for larger-scale operations.

Comment Re:So.... (Score 5, Informative) 265

Will this genetic variation die out in a localized manner, or will it spread globally and wipe out every mosquito?

Yes, it will die out, it's guaranteed. The technique works by releasing a large number of sterile males which overwhelm the breeding population for one cycle, resulting in a massively smaller next generation. Those males die and by definition they have no offspring. Plus it's already been used internationally without such issues - TFA even mentions this:

In experiments conducted by Oxitec in Brazil and the Cayman Islands, millions of modified mosquitoes were released over a period of several months, and they ended up decimating over 95 percent of the targeted insect population. Both countries were so impressed by this result that they’re now hoping for larger-scale operations.

Comment Re:Not a problem (Score 1) 393

What I intended with Welfare is actually the mass of solutions that people are provided with when they "need" assistance.

Why the scare quotes? Do you simply not believe that ~17 million Americans live with food insecurity and ~50 million have annual incomes under $12,000?

This used to be just "Welfare", "Food Stamps", and "Medicaid"

Unlike SNAP (food stamps) and Medicaid, "Welfare" is not and has never been the name of a US aid program. Indeed, contrary to the commonly understood meaning of the term, there are no unconditional cash transfer programs in the US. Since existing programs are highly conditional / restricted lumping them together and implying they consist in UCTs seems misleading at best.

dozens of additional programs today

192 programs IIRC.

Comment Re:Who cares? (Score 1) 393

That's only if you interpret the poverty line in terms of individual discretionary income as opposed to a standard of living.

Not even then. The federal poverty line for a single person is $11,670, not $20,000. The poverty line for a five-person household is $27,910.

I'll grant you that things like health care and auto insurance would still be a problem, but that's because they're still broken.

I wont dispute that our health care system is broken, but...$100,000 per year is easily enough for auto insurance and Brone or Silver level subsidized ACA plans. If the five 20-somethings in the example somehow managed to file together, a Bronze plan would cost them ~$250 / mo. This is out of a monthly income of $8333 and includes all five individuals. Actually, if they filed separately, the Bronze plan would be free (estimated cost of $0 for 1 adult making $20,000).

Now, Medicaid (Medi-Cal here) provides free coverage to an individual making 133% of the poverty line or below ($15,521 or $37,120 for five people). At this level, the main barrier to receiving healthcare are knowledge of the process, transit time/cost and the local availability of Medicaid doctors, as opposed to direct health care costs.

Auto insurance is a different story in most places. But in California, the CCLA program provides very low cost insurance to people making less than 250% of the poverty line. For one person in San Francisco County, the annual premium is ~$265.

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