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Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

I didn't say a specific institution you'll randomly select went up by any amount. I said that some had seen that increase. And you can see in the general budget figures that there has been a massive increase in funding. And that's just US federal spending.

You're just wasting my time now. My point is made. Thank you.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

I couldn't see raw global temperature data sets, the total methodology of the given model, and then the output data listed anywhere.

If I had that, then I could take the raw data... run it through the stated methodology, and then get the same or similar output.

Obviously my resources and ability are not enough to do a complete run of the system. However, I could do a rough approximation with generalized figures.

I suspect there are fewer then 20 steps the data goes through. I could put a sample through 20 steps. I could even write a script to do it for me so I could try out various variables.

What I'd be most interested in is the actual methodology of the models. Precisely what is done to the data set from initial input to final output.

Is that unreasonable?

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

What you're saying is that if the temperature goes up you can't be falsified.

Sadly that doesn't mean CO2 is increasing the temperature. That's the distinction between causation and correlation.

It would help if your theory were constructed in such a way that it could be vetting indifferent to temperature fluctuations.

What if its alien heat beams from Klandaxu that are causing the rise in temperature and not the CO2?

You see the issue.

In any case... I was wondering if you'd look at something for me. It was a blog post someone linked to me recently and maybe you can give me your opinion:
http://theendofthemystery.blog...

The general premise of the post is that the temperature of venus is the same as on earth if you compensate for atmospheric density, distance to the sun, and the difference in blackbody radiation.

I am not a scientist. But neither am I afraid of math. I found this argument to be elegant. It might be wrong for all I know but it seems like an interesting argument and I'd love to hear what other scientists think about it. If only because I might learn something.

I am genuinely curious about nature, science, and yes whether the world is warming. But I feel it is intellectually lazy to just accept doctrine and I've thought that much of the conduct of the pro global warming groups has been unbecoming of ethical scientific practice so far as I understand it.

Anyway, you're probably not a scientist either. But I think I'm going to start linking this around and hope that someone is a scientist and can shed some more light on then me if only by telling me its wrong. Of course... I'd want them to try and tell me why while they're at it.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

Let me elect the people that will be controlling this climate institution and I'll consider them valid. Short of that... they have no right to political power.

Further, as to international groups... Any group I elect, will be elected by my people and only my people for my people. I will not submit to the control of a foreign power unless that power has defeated my country in war. And even then... I'll cooperate only so long as they maintain their control... which I'll be honor bound to frustrate.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

That is very interesting... do you have more? A post on a blog isn't very compelling. I could verify the calculations but I'd love to see more on this because it seems like a very elegant and provable line of argument.

The only squirrelly issue is if all the variables are being taken into consideration. This is where science is so useful. Many minds all reviewing something.

I'd love to see more of this... or at least hear from someone that its wrong. Anything.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

Right... the only politics is from the deniers... never mind Al Gore pushing your platform. Never mind the UN. Never mind the hundreds of politicians lining up one way or the other.

You're blinded by your own cognitive dissonance. Its a human tendency... very common.

Have an open mind and at least try to listen. Some people are incorrigible jackasses. But most are honestly trying to have a discussion here... and this attitude makes it impossible to do anything but draw up battle lines.

I'll point out that the fight only profits the politicians. Even the business interests lose in a fight. But the politicians can turn a fight into passion and passion can be converted into voter turn out.

You're being played.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

You don't have 99% of anything.

And even if you did... which you don't... science isn't a democracy anymore then reality is a democracy.

You can't vote the laws of gravity away and you can't cite support numbers as scientific evidence.

What you've just proven again, is that you're thinking POLITICALLY.

Politically, support numbers matter. Scientifically, they're irrelevant.

The first people to think infections were caused by germs were ridiculed by the majority of their peers that thought them insane. Little invisible creatures spreading unseen from place to place? It sounded like nonsense. But eventually it became accepted fact.

If we went by your logic, then that discovery would have never been given credence.

Now, I know that isn't what you want. But the price of allowing such things to rise out of obscurity is to not shut down scientific discourse with political bullshit.

Its that or at the very least you'll have set a precedent that will be applied elsewhere. Possibly in medicine. Possibly in physics. And sooner or later it will bring institutions to their knees unless they have the humility to simply let the process play out.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

As to cynicism, you're apparently an appalling reader. I didn't refute anything with my cynicism. I doubted your interest my reasons. The above was quite obvious.... Just pointing out the obvious.

And frankly... that half baked attack basically validated my assumptions. So... Good job... you're proving me right.

1. Citing the oil industry does not refute my point.

2. I have no problem with voluntary compliance. But that is individual.

If you want to compel my compliance with law then you're going to need to make a better argument and submit to more stringent standards.

Short of that... if all you've got are dry political talking points and insults... then I feel quite justified in holding my ground.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

So, lets put north korea as the head of the human rights commission.

I'd love to hear their views on human rights. Its doubtless hilarious.

As to dialog, etc... you assume the opposition is going to talk to you in good faith.

That is... specifically you are assuming the iranians are going to discuss this in good faith.... Really?

That's another one of those regimes that we'll just tolerate and contain until some lucky series of circumstances allows for actual reform from within.

Till then... you're just jerking yourself off.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

1: Let me google that for you:
http://lmgtfy.com/?q=climate+c...

You should just be embarrassed with yourself.

2. As to charlatans, obviously they shouldn't be given time. However, you're attempting to disqualify a larger group then can be labeled a charlatan. The occasional kook... fine. But not this many people.

Further, its dangerous in science to shut people out when this much money and power is on the line. Consider for a moment... just for the sake of argument... that the skeptics are correct. What do you think will be effect of removing all criticism and oversight from the pro AGW crowd while they're getting billions in funds and increasing amounts of naked unquestioned power?

You're creating a dangerous situation here. Are the skeptics annoying and often wrong? Yes. But shutting them out could be a disaster that could bring whole scientific institutions to their knees. Its not worth it.

Tolerate people with different views... its a lot cheaper then the alternative.

Further, they're not just going to go away. So you won't accomplish much by shutting them out.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

I'd say both, really. I realise that having a lot of people think something doesn't make it right, but if you show your idea to enough people, at some point you start to think that all the holes must have been found by at least one of the eyes that looked at it.

As I said, its a classical logical fallacy.

Its not valid thinking. So... if that's your position, your position is indefensible.

The process is very transparent. Even with the whole "climategate" bullshit a few years ago, there was nothing that wasn't open and honest apart from a couple of informal emails using words that the MSM didn't like. To be accepted to a science journal or conference you need to be doing science, not just spouting a conspiracy theory.

There were computer programs that were getting their papers into journals and into conferences so I don't know what you think you're talking about.

The system is never perfect. It can't be perfect.

All that can keep it honest is transparency and public scrutiny. Journals are not transparent... and whatever you might feel of the openness of the issue... it isn't open enough for people like me.

Would it be so bad to just give me what I want? I don't want to tell anyone what to think. I merely want enough access to these things that I feel comfortable with the way they are run.

Nothing more or less.

Your job isn't meaningless because your manager is trying to get himself more power. Sport isn't less fun because a player went to another team for a bullshit reason. Just like carbon dioxide won't magically change it's IR spectrum because some greedy politicians are sticking their noses in.

If you want me to sign off on programs that will cost trillions of dollars and give power over myself to various agencies... I must trust them.

So long as they are obvious political agents that financially profit from the issue I can't trust them. The conflict of interest is too great. Surely you must see that.

Lets reverse the issue around so maybe you might grasp the problem.

Lets say that democrats/socialists/various left of center groups were against doing anything about global warming. And that Republicans/capitalists/various right of center groups were for doing something about global warming.

Just for the sake of argument... Now lets say those groups started getting very excited about it. And they proposed a big plan to fix the world. And buried in all those plans they basically claimed a lot of power for their factions, made their allies rich, and screwed over their opposition.

Would you sign off on that or resist it?

Do you perhaps begin to see the problem? The AGW movement has been hijacked.

Until the hijackers are removed it will not be treated as legitimate.

End of line.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

You don't get to terminate debate on any pretext AND preserve the mantle of scientific integrity.

And really, your efforts to disqualify me likely apply to yourself as well. Which means you're saying you have no right to a voice either.

Or do you have a right to a voice?

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

And don't forget the People's republic of North Korea.

Which is a republic about as much as most of those Scandinavian countries are monarchies.

Do you want to play stupid word games that wouldn't fool a child or do you want to actually discuss the issue like an adult? Because these sad little games where morons try to score points with obviously fallacious arguments is pathetic.

Use your brain to come up with a rational argument that you find credible. Then have the humility to see if your peers think it holds water. And then the integrity to deal with the vetting process.

That is a principle science education was supposed to teach glorified monkeys like yourself.

Sorry... your stupidity bores me so I'm now just amusing myself with silly insults. Don't take them too seriously if you actually start taking the discussion seriously I'll put all of that trash away. But if you're going to be snippy and rude I see no reason not flick frozen peas in your general direction.

Comment Re:Projections (Score 1) 987

Only because you automatically define anyone that does question it as not a real scientist.

Its circular logic.

Really... your thought process is childish and crude. And yet you presume to claim superiority while spouting logical fallacies that no one that graduated high school should utter.

Its pathetic.

If you want to play the condescension game... then you'll find I'm likely better schooled rhetorically slapping you around then you are me.

Will this accomplish anything? Short of a dim pride in my own abilities... not much.

It would be nice if we could have a real discussion. But so few of you even know how to have a discussion.

You're like wind up robots all set out and marching mechanically along. Utterly unable to think for yourselves or adapt to changing circumstances. Its a pity.

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