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Comment Re:45 million? Tha's all? (Score 1) 154

It can be easily argued that any money spent to reduce waste that results in expenditures above what the waste would cost is itself waste. If you have a $1 billion project and identify that $100 million of it is waste (whether through fraud, abuse, or inefficiency), spending money to reduce the waste only makes sense as long as the combined costs of waste and waste-reduction are equal to or less than $100 million. Anything more than that and you're just adding to the waste.

When you have a more complex situation like a federal budget, it might be argued that the money can be more effectively spent elsewhere, and that's where it can get subjective, but that doesn't stop money spent to avoid waste that costs more than the waste becoming waste.

Comment Re:Waste of Time vs Waste of Money (Score 1) 154

It's not a correction. It's a lie. The original article says $45 million, not billion. The total revenues for the commercial satellite industry were about $195 billion in 2013, and that includes satellite TV, photography, and communications. Even the US military isn't providing a quarter of that industry's revenue.

Comment Re:Waste of Time vs Waste of Money (Score 1) 154

Sometimes looking at the smaller items gives a better idea of systemic problems that contribute to larger amounts elsewhere. The procedures meant to prevent losses have gummed up the works to such a degree that an alternate path was found that, while more expensive, got the job done. It might provide some opportunity to alter how things operate and ultimately save money later. (I'm not holding my breath, but it does sometimes happen.)

This is pretty common in the military. Red tape is just an obstruction to go around.

Comment Re:45 million? Tha's all? (Score 4, Insightful) 154

That's just for this part of things. One of the problems with putting in mechanisms to deal with fraud, waste, and abuse--a major part of the red tape--is that it adds waste to the process. Financially, this is acceptable up to the cost of the waste it's fighting, but after that, it becomes a bigger drain and should be curtailed.

Any large system is going to have some level of fraud, waste, and abuse, and it should be dealt with to a degree. Perfection in such systems cannot be obtained, so a certain amount of loss must be tolerated. Unfortunately, that's a lesson that politicians can never publicly learn.

Comment Re:What does your union think? (Score 1) 165

Show floors are one of the places where union control got *WAY* out of hand. When someone paying to rent space for a booth can get into trouble--and sometimes even be fined--for emptying a trash can because of union rules, it's gone overboard. It contributes to the sky-high cost of exhibits and puts small companies at a disadvantage.

Comment Re:What does your union think? (Score 1) 165

It's not that unions are dead. Unions are very much alive in some places and working for everyone's betterment. Many nurses' unions fall into this.

Unions have seriously declined (they peaked at only about a third of all workers in the 1950s), but that's because protections have been built into the law to ensure that most of those things unions fought for are available to all workers.

Comment Re:Lawyer (Score 1) 165

He specifically says he's not looking for advice. He's asking opinions on the moral and ethical lines associated with the practice itself. Some people are going to be fine with it, others outraged. He's formed a basic opinion of things, but he's still fine-tuning it and wants to hear potential alternate viewpoints to factor in.

Morally, I have no problem with it unless the 1099 staff is being dramatically underpaid (which often happens to inexperienced people and that leads to its own inefficiencies when undertaking projects). Ethically, the state has a duty to ensure that its laws are being followed, and the contracts should state all requirements related to them. If the law requires W2 employees, an exclusion of 1099 employees, at least on a general basis, should be in the contract and be subject to auditing by the state, which should happen at least once for every contract term. Exceptions could be made for specialists brought in for short time periods, depending on the law.

Comment Re:Isn't the answer more nukes? (Score 1) 163

Hitler actually reduced firearm ownership restrictions starting in 1938. Jews weren't allowed to buy guns, of course, but most Germans could buy long arms and ammunition without a permit, it got much easier to get a pistol permit, and members of the Nazi Party (and some other groups) were exempted from gun control laws altogether.

The laws that Hitler used to disarm portionsthe populace were actually from the previous government, the Weimar Republic. The Nazi Party just took advantage of what was there.

Comment Re:Insurance? (Score 1) 204

UPS and FedEx don't manufacture their trucks, but they're heavily involved in the development of the vehicles they use (other than perhaps the tractor-trailers). They have engineers that work directly with manufacturers on the layouts, materials, aerodynamics, and powerplants to find a mix of cost, fuel efficiency, security, and even safety.

SpaceX is trying to break into a business with a completely new cost model, and a relatively new rocket model (mix of some proven technologies with some new ones and even some completely experimental items. They have every incentive already to become more reliable, especially since the goal is reuse of at least Stage 1. If NASA wants them to buy insurance to cover future failures, that's NASA's call, but it will ultimately come out of NASA's pocket and won't change the push for highest possibility reliability all that much.

Comment Re:A long time coming... (Score 1) 364

China, perhaps (there might be regulatory issues associated with moving US loans overseas, even if China had banks chartered in the US), but probably not Chinese banks which would be interested in relatively solid loan portfolios. US securities are still seen as guaranteed payoffs, so even if the economy sours, they can still be as certain as possible of a return. Loan assets don't have that luxury.

However, I've had concerns about the Chinese economy for a few years. They're much more shadowy about these things than Western government, and it's hard to say how much money they have. The Chinese government may be hiding a fiscal nightmare that is worse in percentages than Greece and will certainly have more worldwide impact than a complete collapse of the Greek economy.

Comment Re:A long time coming... (Score 1) 364

The bond purchases are at trick that might get used more often in part because of the slow rate at which additional money enters circulation. Social Security has done it for decades, but that's been even more of an accounting trick because the first step of the money stays within a smaller group (namely, retirees and the disabled). The profits from the Fed can get paid out to government contractors, employees, tax refunds, and anything else the government chooses to spend its money on.

There's a tipping point, of course, but I think it's far above what's being used now. Still, QE purchases ended last year because the Fed believed the economy to have stabilized sufficiently, so if it does get used again, it's going to make a lot of news, and may rattle the markets.

Comment Re:A long time coming... (Score 1) 364

That's an historic claim, and one that keeps the people happy (they want to believe their country is the strongest in the world, or at least in the region), but it's one they need to let go of because it's based on China's power from centuries ago, and it could lose an actual naval war if all of the other countries with claims to the area fought against it, even if the US didn't get involved. The problem is that they can't figure out how to do that and save face with the people. The government fears the people far more than it lets on largely because a country with 1.3 billion people and only 3 million soldiers (including reserves), it's in a precarious position, even if all of the millions of national and local police could be pulled in.

Comment Re:A long time coming... (Score 1) 364

They are a very long way from their roots. Deng Xiaoping threw off the last of Maoism, and since Deng's death, the country has only expanded its capitalist tendencies. They don't have the unquestioned authority that they once did. One of the major reasons for the highly public corruption purge (and probably private power consolidation) is the perception among the people that the entire government is corrupt all the way through. Public protests, once almost unthinkable in China, grew to be so common and vocal that the government decided to let them happen on occasion, as long as they are somewhat limited in time and size and don't call for government overthrow. That provides a vent--at least for now--for public anger, but it may not last.

China's past economic moves of shuffling people from the fields into the cities to boost the economy by providing cheap labor can only happen once or twice more because so many are in the cities now. It's an effective move in the medium-term, but Beijing wants to keep it as a last resort because it knows it's limited in how many more times it can happen. I think a lot of companies were relying on that to continue, and that's a big part of the construction drive. Few hedged their bets, and now entire residential blocks and apartment buildings sit empty, their owners unable to pay their mortgages, and their banks unable to collect and so unable to issue new loans. A similar effect happened to Japan in 1991 when the commercial real estate market crashed, taking the rest of the country with it. They're still trying to get out of that morass 20+ years later, barely keeping an average GDP growth rate above zero even before 2008.

So many people have been claiming that China is eating us alive because they focused only on Treasury bond purchases and see China's economy as this monolithic block when the situation there is very complex. China would not have bought those bonds if it didn't think they would pay back. They may end up being part of what cushions China as that $1.2 trillion returns over time, but I think the next few years are going to be at best very shaky, and at worst could see China plunge into recession or even depression. That will not bode well for the rest of Asia, and if the EU doesn't improve soon, could see the world economy dragged down again.

Comment Re:A long time coming... (Score 4, Informative) 364

Quantitative easing didn't work the same way that literally printing money does, something that many who don't have a solid grasp of economics don't understand. QE has kept the money circulating within a very limited span, and was used in part to purchase weak loan assets from banks. While those banks held them, they created significant risk and could impact the minimum holdings required by law. The Fed doesn't have the same kind of problem, and by purchasing the assets (which, collectively, are profitable) it could strengthen the banks and increase its own profit levels. Those profits are then largely sent to the federal government.

QE was also used to purchase a lot of Treasury bonds, but that's much more an accounting maneuver. When the Fed purchases the bonds from the Treasury, it holds them until maturity. When they mature, they're cashed in and the Treasury pays out to the Fed, which becomes part of the Fed's profits, the lion's share of which are turned over to the federal government. However, that part is closer to printing money because it increases the amount of money available to the federal government to spend in the more general economy.

This has turned into an important revenue stream for the federal government. In 2014, the Fed sent $97 billion of its $101 billion in profits to the Treasury. That number may continue to climb for a couple of years, but will decline over time as assets draw down; of the $4.5 trillion in assets held by the Fed, some $800 billion of that is in Treasury bonds that mature by the end of 2016. Other bonds will continue to mature, and loans will be paid off. The money created by the Fed will enter circulation eventually, but it will do so over time, and not in the same way as literally printing the money would have.

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