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Submission + - NSA Chief Says PRISM Foiled 50+ Terror Plots Since 9/11 1

Trailrunner7 writes: Speaking before the House Intelligence Committee on Tuesday, senior intelligence and law enforcement officials said that the FISA-authorized collection of telephone records and other data revealed by Edward Snowden’s leaks has prevented more than 50 terror attacks against the United States since 9/11.

Gen. Keith Alexander, the director of the NSA, said that the documents that Snowden, a former NSA contractor, leaked to the media paint an incomplete picture of the U.S. intelligence community’s capabilities and efforts and that the NSA PRISM program and other collection programs may have been seriously damaged by the leaks.

"From my perspective, it’s a sound legal process. Ironically, the documents released so far show the rigorous oversight our government uses. I would much rather be here today debating this point than trying to explain how we failed to prevent another 9/11," Alexander said.

Comment Re:Supercomputers are pretty useless (Score 3, Interesting) 125

Not the poster upthread, but as someone else who runs fluids codes on big machines, I will chime in:
A lot of the guys on the big NICS machines aren't using ANSYS. They're using their own research codes that are tailored for parallel performance and/or to solve specific and difficult problems that commercial codes don't do well, like fluid-structure interaction. I know there are guys that depend on licensing somehow or another and this is artificially limiting. But I never really understood it. If all you want is a basic, parallel fluids solver, there are some open-source options. Probably won't scale well, but it sure beats spending half your lab budget to get only 8 processors.

Even if you have your own in-house solver, you will of course run into problems with latency as you scale up. I usually run on around 100-200 processors, depending on the problem. I would love use more, but the communication costs start to take over. Some guys can run on 10-100,000 processors. Not sure what they are doing, but I am guess whatever they are computing requires very little communication between nodes, or has been optimized to an extreme degree. Hard to imagine those guys are running a normal fluids solver with an unstructured grid. That'd be a huge waste.

And I agree to whomever said that if someone know of a big wasted supercomputer with idle time on it, please advertise it here! All the ones I've ever seen are more-or-less utilized to their full extent.

Comment Re:and they wonder why they dont make money... (Score 1) 206

I'm not an expert on constitutional law (or any law), but I don't think it would require much of Congress. Just a bill that says something like, "The USPS can manage itself as a completely independent entity until further notice by Congress". The USPS could then get into retail banking, or not, of their own accord at any point they so choose.

Surely all those people who talk so loud about ineffective government management would be all for a scaling back of congressional control of the Post Office, right? Right? Oh wait, they'd rather micromanage it into oblivion to make a political point. Maybe you're right.

Comment Re:You're not going to get that loop (Score 1) 206

I used to live in a stand-alone, single family home, in the middle of a major US city. The streets were gridded and well-marked, and my address was displayed. It was close to the heart of the city, not out in some suburban snake-pit of cul-de-sac roads.

I never had a problem with packages from USPS, or FedEx. But UPS... Oh holy god. I ordered something online, and waited. And waited. I checked the tracking only to see it was labelled as "undeliverable address" or something like that. I drove to some distribution point way out of my way to pick it up. I thought somehow I must have typed in a bad zip code or something, but when I picked it up, everything was correct. The driver just couldn't find it.

When it happenned a second time, I decided never to use UPS again, and damn the cost.

Comment Re:and they wonder why they dont make money... (Score 4, Interesting) 206

They're losing money for a variety of reasons. The most important is that they are mandated to exist by congress, and are supposed to be financially autonomous, but are micromanaged by congress. You'd have to think long and hard to come up with a worse group of PHBs. Congress told them to pre-fund in full their retirement fund for the next 75 years. The USPS has basically said, "This requirement is bankrupting us. If you relax it, or let us make our own decisions we'll be fine." People wonder why they can't compete with FedEx, UPS, DSL, etc, and the answer is simply that those companies don't have to listen to Congress dictate details like telling them to pre-fund the entirety of a 20 year-old employee's pension right now. I'm all for fiscal responsibility and responsible funding of pensions, but is ten years of secure pension funding not enough? 20? 30? I mean, 75? How do you even estimate your pension needs 75 years in advance?

On another note, one idea I've heard that was intriguing would allow them to operate something like a bank. Not a financial investment house, but a low-end and low-cost branch bank. Sure, I might not switch all my finances over to it, and most people probably wouldn't either. But I might open an account and seed it with some cash if it were convenient. I could send mail and have it draw on the account without having to buy stamps or wait in line. Just drop it in a box at the post office and enter my account number/pin. It could work really nicely. There's already a branch in every city. And for a lot of working poor that have no bank affiliation, it might be the most convenient place to open an account, reducing the population of unbanked. Basically a public option for retail banking.

Believe it or not, it works like this in most other places, mostly with success. And this is the way it used to work in the US as well, but it was not FDIC insured, and was phased out in the 60s or 70s.

Comment Re:MS Office mewlers and shills, queue here! (Score 2) 249

Fair points, all. I have no problem with using LibreOffice myself, I find it works as good or better than Office for most things.

However, the lack of interoperability with MS Office is a major sticking point. You may be correct that this is mainly because of the multitude of crappy and proprietary file formats that MS puts out, but as a practical matter, MS Office is what most people use. When I have a client or my boss that asks me to send them a few power point slides, or someone sends me some powerpoint slides, I simply can't use LibreOffice, as much as I would like that. And I can't simply tell clients and authority types that "You're doing it wrong. Use this other software that I use!" I have to pull up Office in wine, or reboot. It sucks, but that's where it's at.

So, it may not really be LibreOffice's fault, but it's still a problem. Even for people who would like to use it.

Comment Re:Couldn't we just charge them tuition? (Score 1) 689

Yeah, there are DOE, NSF, DOD, etc., grants that require US citizenship. And you can't be foregin and get an NSF Fellowship or something. But I can promise you... Almost no international STEM graduate students self-fund. They are all paid. And they account for over 50% of graduate students in these fields. Most of that funding is from US based organizations or agencies.

Comment Re:Couldn't we just charge them tuition? (Score 1) 689

I am not really that concerned with the ultimate economics of the situation. I have no real problem if we, as a country, break even, make money, or end up in the red on international students. I have a problem with the strange policy of paying for a particular individual's education and then asking them to leave. I do not believe it is good national policy, and it also disrupts real human lives after they spend 4-6 years here getting an advanced degree, and are then often told to go home. In many cases, they have already started building a life here, and they want to stay. Why not make it easy for them? If they stay, they are likely to add to our economy and culture.

If they want to go home, I have no problem with that. It's not ultimately about how much money is spent/earned on international students. It's about having a sane and consistent immigration policy. An immigration policy that says: "graduate students that cost money GOOD, educated professionals BAD" is not consistent.

Comment Re:Couldn't we just charge them tuition? (Score 1) 689

Sure, I guess. If I go to someplace in Germany, supported on German taxpayer money, the same problems may exist. (At least, that's how I interpreted your post...) But I have two problems with that:

1. Without bringing up specific examples of high-barrier-to-entry-for-residency-status-after-getting-a-free-education at other locations throughout the world, the argument is a strawman. Maybe other places do the same thing, but maybe they have different policies. I don't know.

2. Even if you come up with a slew of examples of how Germany also kicks out American students that travelled there on a grant paid by the German government, it is irrelevant. The question is not: "What do other countries do?" It is: "What should we do?"

I'm not trying to advocate for less money being spent on foreign students. All I mean is that if there are educated, professional people out there who want to come to the US, then the US should make it easy for them to come in. They will add to the culture and economy. If they want to stay home, that's fine too. The point about where the money comes from and where they are educated is really secondary. But inviting people in, paying for their education, and then asking them to leave is the worst possible solution in my opinion.

If Germany also does this, then Germany should make it easier too. If I were educated in Germany at German expense, lived there for 4-6 years, and I wanted to stay and build a life for myself over there, I think they ought to let me. It wouldn't make much sense to kick me out after all that. But I don't know what they do, and it's kind of immaterial.

Comment Re:Couldn't we just charge them tuition? (Score 4, Interesting) 689

For undergraduate degrees, yes, we do. But the main point is for advanced degrees in STEM. For graduate students, yes, tuition is still charged. The university gets paid whether you are international or not. The question is: Who pays?

It may surprise you that most STEM graduate students don't pay for their own tuition. In fact, most get paid out of some grant money somewhere. So, in effect, the American Heart Association, or the National Institutes of Health, or the National Science Foundation, etc, etc, will pay a professor at a university to study a problem. The professor then hires a graduate student to work on said problem. The professor takes the grant money and pays the student's tuition and a small salary. So, in effect, US organizations and taxpayer dollars fund an overwhelming amount of international students. This is fine, the professors, universities, and various agencies want to attract the best talent, and it's a worldwide marketplace.

Now, the real kicker is that after they graduate with a masters or doctorate, we make it difficult for them to stay here if they want. There should be an easy path in place for recipients of advanced degrees at US universities to stay here if they want. There's not. An awful lot of them are sent back home against their will. So I ask you: What is the point of bringing someone to this country, funding their education, and then demaning that they return home?

Comment Re:Not really a problem... (Score 1) 130

I find the notion that reality conforming to a semi-obscure prediction market based in Ireland to be patently ridiculous. Something like an election is decided based on millions of individuals who go out and vote. An example from the most recent election in the US:

Every statitician worth their salt was predicting Obama as the likely victor. Nate Silver was only one, but he had the biggest microphone. There was also Andy Tannenbaum (electoral-vote.com), Larry Sabato (UVA center for politics), and even one with a conservative bent, but I can't recall the guy's name (electionprojection.com).

However, despite that, you'd NEVER have known that Obama was likely to win if you watched the news. The media drummed it up as the "closest election EVAR!". I have relatives who only watch the news, and they all told me afterwards that either they were relieved and surprised Obama won handily, or upset and surprised he won handily, based on their political preference. The bottom line: Reality matched what the polls said, not what everybody was told on the news. The media is an indisputably powerful force for changing perception, but it didn't seem to actually make the election any closer. So why should we expect something like intrade to be able to move the needle of reality? If intrade had predicted a Romney win due to some serious market manipulation, it would have been roundly mocked afterwards, and Obama bettors would have laughed all the way to the bank. So I guess I still don't really see what the issue is...

That said, if you have an academic paper that might explain the concerns in a more proper form, please feel free to send me a link. I'm an amateur in this field, and I know that my ideas can have gigantic holes in them.

Comment Re:Not really a problem... (Score 1) 130

I see. Well, in that case, he might be right, but I still doubt it... He posits then that the effect of the market manipulator will dilute across all markets. Okay, but so what?

I would argue that a heavily skewed market would then attract heavier volume, which will dilute the manipulators influence until we reach an equilibrium. Going with the same example, lets assume the two markets have closed the gap, and finally reach the same odds, say 5:1. That doesn't mean that equilibrium has been reached. That only means they will now more or less move in tandem (ignoring further manipulation) to the equilibrium, presumably 4:1.

Analogy: Suppose there is an active weather prediction market, and someone manipulated it heavily for whatever reason. You notice one morning that there are 2:1 odds that it will rain tomorrow. You check several markets, and they all have the same odds. You check, and the weatherman says there is a 90% of rain. Do you take the bet? I bet the markets see some big bets and heavy volume until the odds go up to approximately 9:1...

TL;DR: If the odds don't match what the "crowd" thinks, then the "crowd" will bet untill it does. The crowd will exploit the easy money left on the table by the manipulator, and if the odds aren't right, the "crowd" will continue to bet until it matches the groupthink, regardless of the manipulator.

Caveat: Of course, with deep enough pockets, manipulators can have an effect regardless of volume. That's true in any market. So again, I fail to see what the point is... It's certainly not peculiar to prediction markets.

Comment Not really a problem... (Score 2) 130

Not disputing that two sites might have different odds. Just curious as to why it would be considered a problem? The disparaity should be self-correcting in at least the folloiwing two ways:

1) Savvy bettors will help even it out. If the odds are different, as you point out, a risk-free gain can be made by clever wagering. With free money on the table, people will write automated scripts to detect this sort of thing. They will bet as much as they can when this scenario happens, because hey, why not? This will in effect bring the odds closer together.

2) Typical bettors will help even it out. Suppose you think Obama is going to win. You're pretty sure of it. You check the two sites, and and see odds of 4:1 and 6:1, respectively. Why on EARTH would you place a bet on the 6:1 site? If you only have $100 to bet, it will go further on the 4:1 market. When this situation occurs, the average Obama bettors will flock to the 4:1 site, while the Romney bettors will go to the 6:1 site. The odds will converge.

If, in a scenario where someone has money to burn and continually manipulates the market, then these markets lose their predictive value, yes. However, in that case, there is easy money to be had... Might as well stop complaining and ride that train.

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