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Comment Ha hee hee ha ha ha (Score 3, Insightful) 281

And then they are one court order away from being unlocked.

Seeing that it turns out that nobody's tinfoil hat was big enough, I am going to make a prediction. It will turn out that Google was sharing data with the NSA as part of a deal where the NSA would share software patent data from potential foreign competitors with google so that google could keep the market on just about anything it wanted.

I wonder how many foreign companies went to file a patent only to find that an American company that was friends with the NSA had filed the patent days before? Siemens filing patents only find that GE had done so the day before?

The NSA would only have had to monitor a very few IP lawyers' offices to vacuum up a huge number of patents. This would then give the NSA something that they could afford with which to trade and it would "Protect" US commercial interests; as it would be a complete disaster for the next facebook or Google to be in a country that isn't friendly with the NSA.

Even within the US I suspect that it would be easier to not have to negotiate a new data access deal with even domestic companies so why not hand their patents over as well.

Think of it this way. If a company were to come up with a better search algorithm (one that didn't always bring up yellow page directories for every damn search, or spammy product sales sites) and I said you should try boobla.com (I made that up) as a search engine and you tried it and it was so much better, would you ever use google search again? How fast would you tell all your friends about boobla? Thus how long before google was seeing 40% month on month drops in search traffic? Unlike companies like Ford where a better car coming along doesn't get you to dump your ford and immediately buy the better car google can see the rug swept out from under them. If they lost search then all their other services combined would not be able to prop up the company. Plus there is no reason that boobla.com can't be Chinese, Korean, Icelandic, German, or Tanzanian?

Comment I hated Sync soooo much (Score 1) 233

I rented a car with Sync and it then wanted to tie the phone into 911; I declined. But then every time I started the car this grating woman's voice would come on and tell me that the emergency connection wasn't active. That plus a general late 90s interface told me two things. Microsoft is just coasting and that Ford is run by morons. After sticking with Sync for all these years yet finally dumping it Ford must have at least one halfway witted human there but it also tells me that Microsoft is becoming less relevant than ever.

Adobe switched to a subscription model and is making a fortune. Microsoft is switching to a subscription model and is about to find out that people used Windows because they couldn't bother to find anything better. With a subscription model trying to reach into everyone's pockets MS is about to find out that by giving people an incentive to dump Windows that windows will be dumped in record numbers.

What I love are the grand statements that MS puts out with every new product. I recall MS asskissing commentators breathlessly saying that the new Windows phones were going to have 30% market share by the end of 2015. Let me see, what is the MS mobile market share right now after all those billions in marketing..... oh look it is 2.5 percent after having dropped 20% year on year.

As for Ford being morons, lets see they jumped from a sinking ship with 2% market share to one with 0%. Good job, everyone's a winner.

Comment Re:bullshit (Score 1) 280

This depends upon the range. For instance quite a bit of New York City's Electricity comes from Churchill Falls which is in the far north of Atlantic Canada. Far far far north. So it is a bit higher. I am amazed that more energy than a 9 volt battery shows up at the NYC end.

One of the other factors that encourage people to go off grid is that they are no longer reliant upon a complicated and vulnerable grid. Thus as batteries + solar come into the economic range of grid power the next giant blackout will spur many people to make the switch when they see a few neighbours here and there with the lights on and the cold beer flowing.

I doubt that the power companies will all collapse in an overnight homedepot run for home solar systems but that their monopoly of providing electricity to people's homes/businesses will slowly be eroded one panel at a time. The real key will be when people can afford to have enough reliable batteries to go off grid. Right now that is a finicky expensive nightmare but it is getting better. Plus with more and more people installing LED lighting + far more efficient appliances the graph of usage vs generation ability are converging. Also when enough people start to go off grid a whole host of mainstream appliances will be for sale that do things to accommodate a battery/solar power system.

I was reading about a local factory that went fully solar and basically got hate mail from the local utility where the utility was accusing the company of encouraging the utility to build out its infrastructure to accommodate their needs and then going solar/wind. The company responded by publishing the hate mail and two power bills; one from 2006 and one from 2013. Their 2013 bill was about 40% larger. They also claimed that the payback was going to be under 10 years and potentially under 5 if power rates went up at the same speed. The company said that they would have then eliminated one of their biggest expenses. As I pointed out power rates in this area are about the highest in North America.

Comment Re:bullshit (Score 1) 280

I wasn't thinking so much as their physical ability (which is great because of the land area available) but more the financing. Someone typically living in a nice neighbourhood can financially make the switch on a whim. Whereas a more typical rural person will both have less capital and less access to financing to make the switch.

Two things that might balance this though is that someone of less means might have a greater incentive to trim their budget and will be willing to make compromises to achieve the switch. The other is that rural people often have less reliable power supplies because the power company treats those long extended power systems like crap.

But the person I see switching first is a retiring urban baby boomer who will make the switch for the dual reason that it gives them some more fiddling with their house (no more expansion renovations for the kids) and it will lock in their power bill seeing that their income is now also fixed.

For instance in my locality they are doing a big stupid power project that seems to have a once sided contract that was vetted by a wandering group of drunken monkeys. My guess is that the result is that the power company is going to see the costs on this project go up and up and up. All those "ups" will be passed on to us. So we might go from one of the highest power rates in North America to the highest rate in North America. So from a financial point of view we might very well be a test bed of boomers running for the hills.

Comment Re:bullshit (Score 1) 280

Fuel is a significant cost but not as big as you would think. Running the powerlines, the transformers, etc, and all the administrative aspects of a power company is very very expensive. Also they have losses that a small producer (your roof) doesn't have such as massive transmission losses over distance. Assuming a company is making $0.10 profit per dollar of revenue that they have the problem that if they lose a dollar in revenue they don't lose the entirety of the remaining 90 cents in costs. They might only lose 5-10 cents in costs. Thus a point can be reached where they become profitless without having to lose a significant number of their customers.

The other key is that while there are high density customers who can't easily leave (apartments) there are lots of rich downtown homeowners who can afford the capital costs to go off grid the moment it looks vaguely sensible to do. These are people who can afford the installation costs along with potentially replacing low efficiency appliances with high efficiency one and will be extended the credit to finance the switch. The cost of providing electricity to these customers is lower than those out in the rural areas who are less able to make the switch. Plus as each customer goes off grid they are gone. The trend toward this sort of technology getting cheaper means that it will only be more and more making the switch along with even the larger industrial power users.

Where this will all get interesting (right after I finish my bankrupt power company celebratory dance) is that the remaining few power users are going to be asked to pay for the entire grid. This means that a few companies and tall buildings will be told that they are going to prop up the entire power company's infrastructure. Thus I suspect there will come a point where various governments will try to force people to pay a tax that subsidizes the power company. A solar roof panel tax or some such. That government will not be re-elected.

Comment Partially driven by hate (Score 1) 280

I can say that I hate my local power company. They have thwarted renewables and competition at every turn. I presently pay some of the highest power rates in North America while our Tiny power company's CEO earns one of the highest wages of any power company. Thus if some technology comes along that is 20% more per Kwh I will buy it if can give a big FU to the power company. I very much doubt that I am alone. Minimally nobody "loves" their power company and thus will feel no loyalty and stay if there are better options.

If I had a rooftop solar, a great set of economical batteries, and some sort of crunch time generation capability then I would literally smile each and every time I saw that the power company was struggling financially.

So anyone trying to figure out how many people will make the switch at any given cost they need to remember that customer inertia will be lower as people will be all too happy to make the switch if it is possible.

My hope is that the richer people in my locality will make the switch first which will be in the high profit downtown areas which will put a tiny dent into their profits. Then they will raise the rates a bit which will put another tiny dent into their profits. I hope that this becomes a bit of a cycle until they manage to corrupt a few local politicians into promoting a bill that will make rooftop solar illegal. Then this will hopefully cause a huge uproar that not only loses the government their next election but causes people to redouble their efforts to go off grid because now it is a political statement. Then I hope the power company goes bankrupt.

Oh and we will have a greener planet.

Comment Re:What? (Score 1) 127

I suggest that they advertise it in Neflixes basically how many simultaneous netflix streams the household can handle. This is complicated because it depends upon the device but I suspect that an HD Netflix stream could be an acceptable standard.

And you are correct. If I had a 256k connection with awesome ping times then pretty much every game would be fine. But 1Gbs with a 200ms ping time would leave me a bleeding/resetting corpse in most games.

Comment What? (Score 2) 127

I think these guys don't know what they are talking about. How about 1mbs for $10. That is not net neutrality just a crappy connection. I don't think that anyone disagrees with various speed connections in that it is the end user who makes the choice as to how much speed they want, not some backroom strongarming where they screw the upstream providers out of business.

Comment Re:Boomers (Score 1) 346

Engineering? I did a bit of work with a different engineering company that has recently screwed up a local mega project. The average age of an engineer there was around 55 and I could tell the under 40 engineers were just pencil sharpeners. Not a single one of the senior engineers could use any cad software. But the best part was that I got to see a drama played out from both sides. They were hired by someone I know to construct an atrium like building. So just as the aluminium frames were being craned into position a friend of the customer said, "those are aluminium, right? Those bolts in the cement are steel, right? Aluminum and steel are on opposite ends of the galvanic scale, right?" So the engineering company had to eat the cost of the entire building contract as not only were the aluminium frames not accepted but since their incompetence was underlined the whole contract was lost (Concrete frames were used in the end). But when all was said and done all the blame was put on the client. These bozos had all the experience in the world and are doing 100's of millions in local government contracts. Yet there are hundreds of under 30 engineers who would make none of the mistakes they are making.

So the only industries where experience helps much are those where people aren't actively learning as a matter of course or are learning the wrong things.

I program computers and about the only talent that I have developed is the ability to identify bullshit solutions and to learn a new programming language quickly. But anyone who is 25 can easily keep up with me. And my talent to learn new languages is actually rare among people going into their 50s and non existent in software people in their 60s.

Comment They can now go after my parents (Score 1) 268

My parents bought a branded machine at a big box store and within weeks it popped up and said that the software wasn't genuine. So I ran the software to make it appear genuine and moved on. There was a zero percent chance that I was going to deal with either the branded company's or the big box company's tech support. Zero.

And these companies wonder why we are switching so much of our buying to online. When their tech support people begin by doing a market survey and end with a sales pitch or a bill then nope.

Comment Re:Boomers (Score 1) 346

If the person running the company (that is actually running it day to day) can't look out at their minions and know who delivers the goods and who doesn't then that person sucks. I certainly have seen many companies where a few blowhards have the ear of the boss but those companies often suck as well. But those few highly profitable highly productive companies that I have visited over the years ran a tight ship. I can certainly tell you that if someone walked into the bosses office and said, "I have 20 years here and deserve a bigger bonus than that new guy who ran profit circles around me." that there would be laughter. But in those sclerotic companies that are in death's waiting room (Sears like companies) seniority is everything. Where I would see seniority as a bonus is that a company should show some loyalty to those who have shown loyalty to it. So if a guy with 20 years royally screws up for the first time then he should be given another chance before some guy with two weeks in. But their pay should be the same if their performance is the same.

Comment Re:Boomers (Score 1) 346

In nearly every company that I consulted for if the pay was job based then the young person turnover was very low. If the pay was seniority based then the young person turnover was very high. Basically those people who felt shafted by the company were as loyal as the company deserved them to be. But in no case did I see them leave lightly. It was either one of two situations: Should I leave for another $10,000? Or should I bother even asking these geriatrics to match my $50,000 larger offer? But in either case equal pay would have kept them.

But the best that I ever saw was a company where they lost a pile of junior engineers who started their own company when one particularly charismatic engineer asked over and over to go on a course that would give him a fairly critical new skill. The course was fairly cheap with the main cost his being away for a week as it was just a bit too far for him to drive every night. They said no no no. But then a contract was coming up where one of the engineers would need that course to qualify for bidding (as the young engineer predicted one would) so an old engineer with a few months until retirement was paid to go to a warm and sunny location and take the course with his wife. This way the company could claim they had an engineer who was qualified when they won the contract even though the guy would be gone. The young engineer then took sick leave got the course himself. Came back to find that the older engineer had managed to have a heart attack and didn't do the course. So the young engineer started his own company with 3 of the other young engineers and were the only ones in town with that particular qualification giving them a huge edge in the bidding. They bid low and won. The other company basically lost their shit and tried to scuttle the contract, tried suing, and even went to the engineers society and filed a complaint. That was 10 years ago and I would guess that there are maybe 25 people working their and not a single one over 40. One thing they do that freaks out the other engineering companies is that they pay their co-op students very very well and let them do actual work. Thus they are the number 1 local choice for students.

Comment Re:Boomers (Score 1) 346

Actually in my local area the best two news outlets are online only with actual investigative journalism. The printed papers are in a race to the bottom just printing press releases, news wire, and pushing the same agendas that they won't drop. None of the printed outlets for instance will say anything bad about real-estate or car sales. Their "How to buy a car" articles are written by car salesmen. Their "How to buy a house" articles are written by real-estate people. And their business articles are written by a guy who has vested interests in the companies he writes about (promotes). Then these same outlets try to blame the internet for their downfall. But the online journalists are not only going out an investigating interesting things with articles that aren't op-ed at best but actually reaching over and picking apart the existing print outlets' articles for their terrible journalism. For instance they had a blow by blow article the other day after a puff piece was printed about this start up where they tore the article (and the company) to bits. The company is falling flat on its face with government money the only thing propping it up while the print article made all kinds of claims about their successes (all of which are old and turned to failures long ago).

So I don't know what you call it when a physical paper is basically all click-bait but online is where things are happing in my area.

Also the online newspapers are nearly 100% subscription. They typically only have one or two free articles with all the rest paid. And they are booming.

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