Please create an account to participate in the Slashdot moderation system

 



Forgot your password?
typodupeerror
×

Comment Re:Any materialized predictions? (Re:Sudden?) (Score 1) 268

I (and quite a few scientists) think the IPCC report made a mistake in talking about a hiatus. As shown statistically by Tamino it's a meaningless distinction at this point. Looking at the temperature trend only since 1998 is too short a period climatologically speaking as the standard climatological period is 30 years.

The only way climate models can account for natural variability is by using uncertainty ranges since by its nature natural variability isn't predictable ahead of time. The fact that temperatures are still within the uncertainty range of the climate models means it's impossible to say they're wrong.

Comment Re:Any materialized predictions? (Re:Sudden?) (Score 3, Interesting) 268

I'm not going to try again because I've already presented you with this peer reviewed paper that compares IPCC projections to observations for temperature and sea level rise. The fact that you won't accept the format I present it in just shows how you lack intellectual flexibility.

Comment Re:Global air conditioning (Score 2) 268

I'm in the Philippines at the monent and its 40 degrees celsius plus and all the malls and everything else seems to be airconditioned down to 22 degrees celsius or so. Could someone crunch the numbers of the global heating caused by air conditioning starting with their power consumption and efficiency for example? I'm thinking that insulation might be a better investment to prevent climate change because otherwise, what we are doing is expending huge amounts of energy to cool small sections (and thereby heating everything else) on a massive and unprecedented scale...

The numbers have been crunched here. They show that the heat emitted by all human activities are about 1% of the heat from enhanced greenhouse warming so it's pretty much just at the rounding error level.

Comment Re:How do you define southern Antarctica? (Score 1) 268

Being as it is the continent that encompasses the south pole, how do you define what is southern?

Antarctic is a big continent. The Antarctic Peninsula stretches out toward South America. The article specifically talks about the southern Antarctic Peninsula which is well north of the South Pole.

Comment Re:Any materialized predictions? (Re:Sudden?) (Score 1) 268

How about you look at the predictions made by the scientists rather than random pundits in the media.

I'd be happy to — could you post any? Being as "intellectually honest" as you are?

All you have to do to get the predictions made by scientists is to read the IPCC reports. Here's the latest one.

Comment Re:Any materialized predictions? (Re:Sudden?) (Score 1) 268

Yes, I would accept some of such. For example: "By 2015 Arctic will be ice-free" [telegraph.co.uk]. Do you have any?

The article you cite also has this line:

While the IPCC suggests the ice will remain in place until the 2030s, Dr Maslowski's study also takes into account the rate at which it is thinning and calculates that it will vanish much more quickly.

So Dr. Maslowski's prediction was at odds with the IPCC report that presents the general consensus of the field so it isn't a good example of a prediction.

Comment Re:Any materialized predictions? (Re:Sudden?) (Score 5, Interesting) 268

I've had the same problem with mi. Apparently his mind is too simple to parse out the comparison in a single link and he rigidly requires responses be presented only in the format he wants.

In response to your post temperatures are still within the uncertainty range on the model projections so it's impossible to say they are wrong.

Comment Re:Sudden? (Score 1) 268

Have you ever visited a coal mining town that doesn't mine coal anymore? The end result is almost always a severely depressed area, rampant poverty, high unemployment and underemployment, high drug use and abuse, prostitution, etc.

The same thing has happened in a lot of timber towns in Oregon. But in the end things change, the world moves on and people have to accept reality and move on with it rather than clinging to a lifestyle that is no longer viable. Yes, we should assist them with the transition but they need to help themselves as well.

Slashdot Top Deals

Serving coffee on aircraft causes turbulence.

Working...