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Comment Re:The Same Winners (Score 1) 153

It is interesting to see how this unfolds.
A lot of the US exports have pricing power today due to Ukraine war shortages - petroleum/gas, food, weapons. The US is exporting inflation to other counties via these goods.
On the other hand, imports are cheaper and it's helping with inflation internally.
Most of the inflation currently being experienced is due to supply-side problems. (There is a real-estate and stock market bubble, but it is imploding or about the implode.) High interest rates don't fix the supply-side, actually makes it worse because it hinders CapEx spending and capacity expansion.

The Fed is trying to cause a severe recession in order to curb the inflation in consumer staples (and they probably will next year, if not sooner) and wants to export as much of it as possible via a strong dollar.

I wouldn't be one bit surprised if the Fed is aggressively cutting rates in 2024 to restart the economy (also presidential elections).

Comment Re: So he'll be releasing his emergency powers, r (Score 1) 339

The lockdowns forced people to rethink their living situation. Lots of people used to show up for work because of work habits and how they were brought up. Then, during the lockdowns, they realized that their living situation really didn't get much worse, even possibly better in some aspects (social, family, health).
We broke the work habits we were coasting on, so people naturally don't see the need to go back in the rat race for no meaningful gains.

Also, with all the "means tested" welfare programs we've truly incentivised people to hide income. "You can get this and that if you make less than this" is a good way to encourage people to make less than this. Some stopped earning, others moved to the Grey economy.

Comment Re:Stop binge model on new releases. (Score 2) 27

Maybe, maybe not.
There is value in the binge format, as it creates more hype and generates revenue elsewhere in the form of interviews, merchandise, web-clicks, etc. I don't have the data on this, but is seems that hype makes a lot of money in our consumer society.

Which format does the audience prefer - binge-watching or episode-per-week? It's reasonable to say that those who are now used to binge-watching will absolutely hate being spoon-fed and may stop following the show. Alternatively, they will just wait for the whole show to be released and then subscribe, binge-watch, unsubscribe.

Comment Re: So drug users are free and clear (Score 2) 138

This is an excellent point.
Recently I've been more worried about drivers under the influence of drugs. I see a lot more of them on the road - they are erratic and they reek.

There is currently no legally accepted way to measure and proof DUI of drugs in the field. Druggies get a free pass.

Comment Re: Quarantine the country dammit. (Score 1) 403

Why do you think that if everybody gets vaccinated the pandemic would end? Although covid vaccines improve recovery, they are non-blocking and vaccinated people can still contract and give covid.
If we are going for "zero cases" then the pandemic will never end regardless of vaccinations.

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