Statistics is the only important math skill for non-engineering/math/etc majors. Honestly, I think its a travesty that calculus is a mainstay of the GE curriculum while basic statistics is not. Most students will derive zero value from their education in calculus. All students would derive huge value from a greater understanding of statistics. An understanding in statistics would make one a smarter consumer, a better-informed citizen, and a more productive worker (in nearly any job, from carpentry to law.)
I honestly believe that our entire math education in this country should be devoted to getting all students through a course on stats. They should be taught other subjects only as necessary to provide the foundation for stats.
What happened is that the geeks took over marketing. Honestly.
In the past marketing was run by a lot of "creative" types who used their social intuition and some conventional wisdom about what worked to appeal to the consumer. The marketing department preferred hired people who majored in marketing (obviously) but also psychology, comparative literature, communications, sociology, etc. The thought was that these were the sort of people who understood what makes people tick, and so were better qualified to persuade (or manipulate, if one is feeling uncharitable) people.
In just the past 5 years thats changed completely, though, and Google played a big part in that change - though the Internet played a large part too. The hottest major in big marketing organizations is a hard science: Stats. The analytics revolution means that marketing is now about precisely targeting your demographic and producing quantifiable results on a lots of fine-grained metrics. (The only metric we had 20 years ago - did sales go up? - was helpful, but obviously the tools we have today are far more precise). As the ubergeek Google is obviously the top dog here, and smaller companies basically outsource all of their stats requirements to Google, but larger companies also like to have in-house talent with stats and algorithms to help them break down their analytics.
Right now marketing is a collaboration between "creative" types who come up with campaigns, and then geeks who run the numbers and tell us if those campaigns worked or not. Marketing needs to meet quarterly benchmarks on hard, quantifiable numbers of customer engagement such as click-throughs, impressions, leads generated, CPM, etc. If we have a question about whether strategy A or B will better resonate with the consumer, we don't try and come up with some BS psych theory. Instead, we tell IT to load up some A/B tests, and empirically we can PROVE which one is better. For now, the people in charge of marketing still tend to be creative types (or, higher up, your typical MBA types), but that's only because the creative types have been around longer. But everyone can see where the future is headed. Right now "creatives" generate content and then geeks crunch the numbers and tell us whether that content is any good or not. It's pretty clear where the division of authority will lie 20 years from now.
Ah, ignorance of basic economic science on Slashdot once again. If productivity (automation, 1 man can do the work of 4, etc.) created unemployment, we would be at 99% unemployment or so by now. Instead, unemployment has been mostly stable, on a historical scale. 10% is actually about the unemployment pre Civil War, IIRC. So why, even though the avg. worker is 20x as productive as we were 200 years ago (a guess, I'm too lazy to look up the actual figures, but suffice to say our productivity has gone up a LOT thanks to automation) are we are not working 20x less hours? we have lots of extra stuff and services. Obviously this extra productivity hasn't stolen jobs yet. No, the extra productivity didn't disappear, it went into more stuff ("higher standard of living", for economists)
I'm not joking. On the macro level, all of that excess productivity gets channeled into making extra "stuff" that people want to buy. If everyone were happy with a 1810 standard of living, there would be no one to buy this extra stuff, and there would be much less work (because that excess productivity is wasted). But since we like having a standard of living higher than that of the average 1810 worker, there is demand for extra stuff. That's where the extra productivity goes. So while it takes fewer people to harvest food/make industrial widgets than it did in 1810 thanks to machines, the people who would have been working on the farm in 1810 are instead hard at work making cars, computers, telephones, and providing services that weren't cheap/widely available in 1810 like modern medicine, tour guides, or yoga training.
But ok, you want to take this extra productivity gain and translate it into more free time, not more stuff. It is still possible to do this, if you can find the right part-time job. Let's say you work for $10/hr for 20 hours a week, that's a half work-week.. That's $800/month. If you're willing to downsize to a 1810's lifestyle, it's very possible to live on $800/month. (For the purposes of this discussion we're ignoring gov't assistance). No telephone, no electricity, smaller house (a shack in the woods is nice), cheaper food (McD's probably more cost-efficient calorie- and protein-wise than an 1810 meal - meat was EXPENSIVE back then because they were more valuable as farm animals). Of course if you have medical bills you are sunk, but they didn't have modern medicine in the 1810's either. You can do this because you live in a high-productivity economy, and you have chosen to trade that extra productivity for free time, not for higher standard of living. As it happens, most people like a modern standard of living, and enjoying the benefits of modern science, so they work a full work-week instead.
On a national level, we can see a similar pattern in other countries. Underdeveloped countries still have low productivity and low levels of automation. People in these countries work full hours and have a low standard of living - they're basically 100 yrs behind us. There are some socialist developed countries that have, on a national level, decided to trade productivity for more free time, not more stuff. So the French worker gets 3 months of vacation a year, but has less stuff than the average American worker - smaller car, smaller house, smaller TV, less stuff (this is reflected in consumption statistics), less food (probably a good thing all in all). America didn't go that route, because we're not lazy like the French. Also, we kind of like being the biggest kid on the block, and that means work. But if YOU want that kind of lifestyle, if you make the right kind of decisions/are smart with career planning it is possible to downsize your life and trade excess productivity for time. Instead of devoting your education/work life to climbing the career ladder, devote it to engineering an exit into a decently compensated part-time, contract, or freelance position. Then reap the benefits of extra time. No robot butler yet, though, sorry. Of course if you WANTED a robot butler, you'd have to work full-time to afford one. Because on a macro level, that's where your increased productivity compared to an 1810s worker is going - into the stuff and services we can have that they can't have.
TL;DR - extra productivity from machines/automation doesn't cause unemployment, and doesn't disappear. It goes into higher standard of living. If you are willing to accept a lower standard of living, you can convert that extra productivity into free time.
Ah, ignorance of basic economic science on Slashdot once again. Ok, this is why, even though the avg. worker is 20x as productive as we were 200 years ago (a guess, I'm too lazy to look up the actual figures, but suffice to say our productivity has gone up a LOT thanks to automation) , we are not working 20x less hours: we have lots of extra stuff. Keep in mind that unemployment has remained fluctuating but within the same range for the past 200 years despite massive productivity gains. Obviously this extra productivity hasn't stolen jobs yet. No, the extra productivity didn't disappear, it went into more stuff ("higher standard of living", for economists)
I'm not joking. On the macro level, all of that excess productivity gets channeled into making extra "stuff" that people want to buy. If everyone were happy with a 1810 standard of living, there would be no one to buy this extra stuff, and there would be much less work (because that excess productivity is wasted). But since we like having a standard of living higher than that of the average 1810 worker, there is demand for extra stuff. That's where the extra productivity goes. So while it takes fewer people to harvest food/make industrial widgets than it did in 1810 thanks to machines, the people who would have been working on the farm in 1810 are instead hard at work making cars, computers, telephones, and providing services that weren't cheap/widely available in 1810 like modern medicine, travel, or yoga training.
But ok, you want to take this extra productivity gain and translate it into more free time, not more stuff. It is still possible to do this, depending on what kind of jobs you can find. Let's say you work for $10/hr for 80 hours a week, that's a half work-week.. That's $800/month. If you're willing to downsize to a 1810's lifestyle, it's very possible to live on $800/month. (For the purposes of this discussion we're ignoring gov't assistance). No telephone, no electricity, smaller house (a shack in the woods is nice), cheaper food (McD's probably more cost-efficient calorie- and protein-wise than an 1810 meal - meat was EXPENSIVE back then because they were more valuable as farm animals). Of course if you have medical bills you are sunk, but they didn't have modern medicine in the 1810's either. You can do this because you live in a high-productivity economy.
On a national level, we can see a similar pattern in other countries. Underdeveloped countries still have low productivity and low levels of automation. People in this countries work full hours and have a low standard of living - they're basically 100 yrs behind us. There are some socialist developed countries that have, on a national level, decided to trade productivity for more free time, not more stuff. So the French worker gets 3 months of vacation a year, but has less stuff than the average American worker - smaller car, smaller house, smaller TV, less stuff (this is reflected in consumption statistics), less food (probably a good thing all in all). America didn't go that route, because we're not lazy like the French. Also, we kind of like being the biggest kid on the block, and that means work. But if YOU want that kind of lifestyle, if you make the right kind of decisions/are smart with career planning it is possible to downsize your life and trade excess productivity for time. Instead of devoting your education/work life to climbing the career ladder, devote it to engineering an exit into a decently compensated part-time, contract, or freelance position. Then reap the benefits of extra time. No robot butler yet, though, sorry.
TL;DR - extra productivity from machines/automation doesn't disappear. It goes into higher standard of living. If you are willing to accept a lower standard of living, you can convert that extra productivity into free time.
Someone's either bought into the Mubarak propaganda, or is just trafficking in easy, poorly informed cynicism. The despots have been using the fundamentalists as bogeymen forever. It's actually one of the reasons Egypt hasn't exploded before now: most of the population does NOT want to see Islamists in power, so the whole "It's either me or the Muslim Brotherhood!" talking point was very effective at keeping Egyptians in line. The recent events have exposed the utter falsehood of this argument though. These are the facts on the ground:
(1) The MB issues an official statement a week ago instructing their members not to participate in any protests. They are happening anyway. This is a pretty clear indication that MB is not leading or even a part of the current movement.
(2) Current "leaders" of the protest movement - to the extent that the very inchoate protests have leaders, they are probably more like inspirational figureheads - are dissidents like Ayman Nour.
(3) The Egyption MB is more like the Turkish MB than the Taliban. Which is to say on the Islamist spectrum they are "moderate", and they don't question the fundamental legitimacy of the electoral process. "Sharia through the ballot box" would be their strategy. Which is still pretty awful to be sure, but it's important to be clear about what we are dealing with here. And even in it's "moderate" state, MB can only count on about 20% of the population. All of which suggests that, were Mubarak to be overthrown, the subsequent state would probably look more like Turkey than like Iran. The Islamists would be a formidable political force, and would even win elections from time to time, but they would not be in absolute control.
Would a popularly governed Egypt look exactly like we Americans want? Of course not. But I think we can all agree that Turkey, for all of its faults, is a far better model for the Muslim world than Egypt or Iran. A democratic post-Mubarak Egypt would look more like Turkey than like Iran.
The iPad is a very limited deice that does one thing very, very, very well: it is a great reader. Note that "reader" is a large category that includes web, magazines, books, and email.
The iPad is a much better reader than a smartphone, for reasons that should be obvious to anyone who's ever compared browsing the web on their tiny phone screen to browsing the web on a full-sized computer screen. The iPad is a much better reader than a netbook, because it is lightweight (both physically, which makes it easier to carry, and software-wise, which makes it more responsive), has longer battery life, and has a form factor that more closely resembles a printed page. If you've ever tried to read an e-book or even a longer article on a a netbook, with all of 600 pixels of vertical resolution, you'll see the appeal of the iPad. Instead of constantly scrolling you can just "flip" a virtual page occasionally.
Every time I use the iPad to read something I'm reminded of how much I love it. Every time I try to do anything other than reading on my iPad - write an email longer than two sentences, say, or make a few quick tweaks to a document - I'm reminded of how much I miss my netbook.
This line of thought crops up a lot, and Eurocentric commentators often wave the "Enlightenment" as a sort of mystical talisman without investigating very closely what, exactly, it was about the Enlightenment's interaction with Christianity that created modern civilization as it we know it today. Because on the face of it, the Enlightenment actually did very little to Christianity. The holy text didn't change. The leading institution of the faith didn't change. The number of faithful didn't change (or at least didn't until centuries afterwards).
So what, exactly did the Enlightenment accomplish that transformed Christianity from a backwards zealous militant ideology to what we know today? (And yes, the preceding sentence is a horrifically reductive caricature and I largely phrase it that way in order to paraphrase a certain way of thinking.) Well, empiricism diluted religion to the point where even if thinking people professed to be Christians, they were no longer stupid enough to actually take the written dictates of their faith all too seriously. That's it. That's all. It wasn't very revolutionary, or very difficult, and there was nothing about it that was particularly unique to Christianity or the West.
The same process is happening throughout the world, including in Islam, including in Turkey, where the cosmopolitan educated elite professes to be Muslim but finds a YouTube ban just as silly as we do. Trust me, Turkish college students want to be able to watch cute kitten videos. The problem is that the Turkey's highly federalized political structure gives disproportionate voice to fringe elements - imagine if that one Catholic dude who's always on TV bashing South Park could actually get courts to file injunctions on his behalf, and you've have an approximation of what is happening here.
Again, this is the issue of concentrated losses vs. distributed gains. After your company was bought out, lots of workers lost their jobs. Very perceptible concentrated losses. But... (a) Having sold out, the previous owners of your company are much more liquid. That's capital that has to go somewhere. (b) Having bought, the foreign owner has injected wealth into your country and not into their own another country. (c) Ultimately though, thinking about capital "here" and wealth "here" is incoherent in a globalized system. Having expanded their business, the foreign owner owner is increasing the wealth in their "home," which means a larger, stronger, overall global market for goods and services, including those from your own country. I think this is the key. You complain the "The rest of the money is... gone." The money hasn't disappeared. It's simply sitting in a different bank account now, and thanks to globalization, it will still flow through all the same places it flowed through before (though perhaps the path it takes will now change, it will still end up in all the same places). The beauty of globalization is that money "over there" is less and less distinguishable from money "over here." And I don't want to sound like a starry-eyed one-worlder, but I can't deny that the eventual social and political consequences of this growing global economic integration have their appeal as well.
Do I think you should have as much freedom of movement as capital does? Yes, I do. I think that's one of the foremost challenges to the global system right now, actually - governments should treat immigration policy the same way they treat trade policy; they should negotiate mutual lowering of immigration barriers, but they aren't. But the solution here is more free trade, more globalization, not less.
It's easy to locate jobs that are lost to free trade, but more difficult for us to immediately identify the many jobs that are gained - but they are there. Think about where you work right now. Is it a foreign-owned company? If no, does your company have any foreign investors (shareholders, bondholders, etc. etc. etc.)? If no, does your company do business overseas? If no, does your company do business with foreigners? If no, does your company do business with recent immigrants? Everyone one of you, if you are honest, should have answered "yes" to at least one of the above. For that matter, this is Slashdot - chances are many of you work at a company that was FOUNDED by recent immigrants. The negatives of free trade are intensely concentrated (factory is shut down and people lose jobs) while the positives we get from free trade are huge, but widely distributed. It doesn't necessarily follow that the positives are greater than the negatives, but it certainly creates an obvious bias. Which means that at the very least, we should interrogate our anti-free-trade intuitions very carefully.
The reflexive free-trade bashing that occurs among otherwise educated, thoughtful people frankly astonishes me. Especially when I encounter it on Slashdot, which is a community that prides itself on a generally high level of scientific literacy (and frequently derides the scientifically illiterate). Yet there's an astonishing economic ignorance that goes entirely unquestioned. Now it's perfectly reasonable to be skeptical of free trade, as there are plenty of very smart economists who are similarly wary, and I am myself. But any informed critique of the system needs to account for, at minimum, the following questions:
1) How is your opposition to free trade any different from the Luddite fallacy? (Or put another way, how is using cheap foreign low-skilled labor for part of the manufacturing chain any different than replacing weavers with weaving machines?) The Luddite fallacy was that each weaving machine represented jobs that were lost forever, which is fallacious because it fails to take into account that cheaper clothes means more clothes sold AND more economic activity in other industries because consumers now have more money left over after buying clothes.
2) If free trade is exploitative, how is it that so many countries that were once sources of cheap outsourced labor have ascended the value-add chain and now have economies that contribute at the middle (Taiwan) or top (Japan) end of the manufacturing chain?
3) A straightforward application of the law of comparative advantage would indicate that completely unrestricted trade increases everyone's absolute wealth as each nation specializes in its field of comparative advantage. How do real-life factors confound this theoretical model? Alternatively, is it a decline in America's absolute wealth that you are worried about, or are you simply worried about a decline in our relative wealth? (Put another way, does it bother you if everyone, including us, gets richer if that means the rest of the world will catch up and surpasses us in wealth?) And if the latter, how do you justify indefinitely concentrating relative wealth in one country out of proportion to its global share of the population?
1 + 1 = 3, for large values of 1.