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Comment Re:One thing's for sure... (Score 1) 870

I really dislike using the term "inflation" to mean "higher prices". I know people use it that way but it confuses the issue. I prefer using inflation to mean strictly "increased money supply" and deflation to mean "decreased money supply". Thus your post reads "the minimum wage certainly affects prices in an upward direction", which is pretty straightforward. If the same amount of labor now costs more then either prices go up or less stuff is produced.

Comment Re:One thing's for sure... (Score 1) 870

Nice post. I agree in that I don't know what they would end up doing. Ideally they'd find a job doing something, but what if no one wants to hire them and they have no familial or friend-based support network? You could pay them not to work but then that also encourages other people not to work. OTOH letting them starve and die if they can't help themselves seems less than ideal given the wealth of the entire society. Damned either way. Ideally we'd get to the point where food and shelter are so ridiculously cheap that it's essentially free, but we're not quite there yet.

Comment Re:One thing's for sure... (Score 1) 870

Trying to race automation to the cost bottom is an exercise in futility; it's a race humans will not win. The only ones that benefit from it are the employers that get cheaper labour faster as a result.

Not only the employers. Consumers also benefit from the lower prices resulting from cheaper costs of production. Basically the only ones that are worse off are those people who did the jobs that are now automated. That's only in the short-run since increased production always ends up leading to new jobs, be it in that industry in other capacities or in other industries that wouldn't have existed otherwise (consider whether we'd ever have something like a computer industry if 90% of the population were still farmers as in 1862).

Comment Re:One thing's for sure... (Score 0) 870

What would really fix a bunch of stuff is outlawing fractional-reserve banking. With anything besides currency, it would be considered fraud. It creates currency out of thin air, as you put it. Depositing money in an account should yield zero interest, or even charge a fee, as it's just providing a service: convenience and safety of your money. Loaning your money out should be a totally separate concern, which gives you interest, but your money isn't usable in the meantime since you just gave it to somebody else. Then interest rates would naturally adjust to what the price of money is, there wouldn't be inflation constantly devaluing everybody's money, saving would be encouraged. The more savings, the lower interest rates, which makes borrowing money cheaper. Lower interest rates would encourage businesses to borrow money and expand, and they would do this precisely at that point where consumers have savings, i.e. money to spend, which is precisely the time when new businesses or expanding businesses have a chance to succeed.

As it is now, banks can make profit off of something they never had in the first place, and if they gamble too much they get bailed out by the government. The net result is the screwing over of everybody else.

Comment One thing's for sure... (Score 4, Insightful) 870

The higher the minimum wage, the more incentive there will be to automate those minimum-wage jobs. If it'd average out to $11/hr to have a robot do some cleaning, and the minimum wage is $10/hr, then a janitor willing to work for $10/hr will have a job. If the minimum wage goes to $12/hr, the robot will take the job instead.

I read somewhere an essay written around the time the minimum wage was being increased a few decades ago. This was during a time when there were still elevator operators. The author predicted that after the increase, elevator operators would get phased out in favor of automated elevators. That probably would've happened anyway, but raising the minimum wage probably helped speed up that process.

If it gets really bad there will be pressure to illegalize automation of certain classes of jobs.

Comment Re:No big surprise there (Score 1) 301

Sorry, by "inflation" I meant "increase in money supply". It would be really easy to have constant inflation - just set the block reward such that every 52600 blocks mined (~1 year) would increase the amount of bitcoins in circulation by 2%. This would also be predictable. However it would constantly devalue everybody's bitcoins, just like with fiat money, so I don't know if it'd be ideal. It would incentivize mining though.

Comment Re:why it's an issue (Score 1) 301

[...] otherwise a surprise 51% attack from a botnet could steal all of your bitcoins.

This is patently false. A 51% attack cannot steal anybody's bitcoins. Stealing coins requires knowing somebody's private key, which amounts to cracking ECDSA, and if somebody can do that they don't need 51% of the computing power to mount it.

Here is what a 51% attacker can and cannot do:

An attacker that controls more than 50% of the network's computing power can, for the time that he is in control, exclude and modify the ordering of transactions. This allows him to:

* Reverse transactions that he sends while he's in control. This has the potential to double-spend transactions that previously had already been seen in the block chain.
* Prevent some or all transactions from gaining any confirmations
* Prevent some or all other miners from mining any valid blocks

The attacker can't:
* Reverse other people's transactions
* Prevent transactions from being sent at all (they'll show as 0/unconfirmed)
* Change the number of coins generated per block
* Create coins out of thin air
* Send coins that never belonged to him

As to:

If you own bitcoin, it's in your interest to invest heavily in mining even after the gold rush is over [...]

Right. Everyone who actually uses bitcoin will have an interest in making sure there's enough computing power out there to prevent even those weaknesses that remain. Plus, note that a 51% attacker doesn't gain that much, financially, from exploiting those weaknesses. They can't really steal very many coins. The most they can do is double-spend, but for large transactions, people will want to wait for at least a few confirmations, which makes the double-spending almost impossible. What a 51% attacker can really do is screw over the network and attempt to destroy it, but if they're investing that much in the computing power, they're financially better off just legitimately mining for the fees. Then they too have a vested interest in perpetuating the integrity of the network.

Comment Re:Bullshit (Score 3, Informative) 301

They're saying that the fee wont be enough to keep people in. Really, but bother to read their counter argument before you spout off about it.

I RTFA. I countered this point in each of my replies. Here it is again. I'll even bold the important parts:

As miners pull out, it will get easier to mine blocks. There will never be a shortage of computation power to run the network, because if half the miners pull out, it'll get twice as easy to mine blocks. If 75% of the miners pull out, it'll be 4x easier to mine blocks. If 90% of the miners pull out, it'll become 10x easier to mine blocks.

Get it? Whatever the number of miners, transactions will continue to be verified at exactly the same rate. Look at the hashrate chart. The network was chugging along just fine in July when there were < 1,000 terahashes/second. Now there are over 40,000 terahashes/second. So if 97.5% of the miners drop out, the network will run just as well as it did in July, that is, perfectly fine.

So when you reply, tell me again why it is a problem if some miners decide to pull out? Please don't just repeat once again that the article says that the fees will be too low and thus the miners will pull out. I get that that's what the article says. Why is this an issue, given the above?

Comment Re:Bullshit (Score 1) 301

Miners can simply choose to never include transactions below a certain fee. If enough miners do this then people can keep trying to freeload by posting free transactions, but they're going to take a really long time to get into the blockchain. Miners can and will choose to only mine blocks where the total fees are worth it to try to mine. So high-fee transactions will get in quicker, and low-fee transactions will take longer.

Besides, if miners do start to drop out, the difficulty will decrease (built-in network rule), and it'll become easier (and thus cheaper) to mine. Miners will drop out until the difficulty is such that it's worth it to mine the blocks, whatever the fees are. There's no danger of not having enough computation power to run the network.

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