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Submission + - SPAM: NASA increases cost estimate for SLS development

schwit1 writes: In an Aug. 27 blog post, Kathy Lueders, NASA associate administrator for human exploration and operations, said the agency was moving ahead with SLS development with the goal of a first launch of the heavy-lift rocket no later than November 2021.

In her statement, Lueders said NASA had increased the cost estimate for the development of the SLS and Exploration Ground Systems (EGS), the ground infrastructure needed to support SLS launches. For SLS, the “development baseline cost” is now $9.1 billion, while for EGS that cost estimate is now $2.4 billion.

NASA didn’t state by how much the programs’ costs increased. A U.S. Government Accountability Office report published in April assessing NASA’s major programs estimated the development cost of SLS at $8.75 billion and EGS development cost at $2.33 billion, both as of January. The new estimates represent increases of 4% for SLS and 3% for EGS over those in the GAO report.

However, both programs have seen their costs soar since NASA estimated baselines in 2014. At that time, NASA estimated an SLS development cost of $7.02 billion and EGS development cost of $1.84 billion.

The new estimates are both approximately 30% above the original baseline cost estimates. That is the threshold to trigger a formal congressional notification and rebaselining of the program. “NASA has notified Congress of these new commitments,” Lueders said in her statement.

A March report by NASA’s Office of Inspector General argued that the SLS program had already hit the 30% threshold required for notification and review. That report argued that NASA had removed nearly $1 billion in costs for the vehicle’s solid rocket boosters and RS-25 engines, but did not adjust the baseline cost estimate accordingly.

Who thinks SpaceX couldn't do the SLS mission at half the cost and in half the time?

Link to Original Source

Comment My "ungoogle" script (Score 2) 231

I've come up with a quick-n-dirty bash "unggogle" script to make Google links decipherable. This is especially usefull for PDF files. It's 3 steps...

1) Right-click and "Copy link location" of the Google search URL

2) Paste the link into a text file (e.g. foo.txt) with your favourite text editor. NOTE: ***IT MUST NOT LINEWRAP***

3) Execute the command... ./ungoogle2 foo.txt > bar.txt

where the "ungoogle2" script is...

#!/bin/bash
sed 's/%3A/:/g
s/%2F/\//g
s/%2520/ /g
s/&usg.*$//
s/^.*url=//' ${1}

The real URL that you want ends up in bar.txt. This works in native bash in linux. I assume it would also work in in bash in WSL (Windows Subsystem for Linux).

Comment Better idea to use Pale Moon add-ons (Score 1) 124

https://addons.palemoon.org/ex... and https://addons.palemoon.org/th... are native Pale Moon extension and theme sites. No worry about compatability, because these are native Pale Moon add-ons. Each profile is independent, and can have its own combo of themes/extensions/bookmarks/preferences and about:config options etc, etc. Set your program launcher menu to do stuff like...

palemoon -new-instance -p covid
palemoon -new-instance -p slashdot
palemoon -new-instance -p youtube
etc, etc

Notes:

1) The "-new-instance" is necessary to prevent another profile from launching. If the desired profile is already running, you'll get an error message that Pale Moon is already running.

2) These profiles have to already exist. To create a new profile, from a terminal run...

palemoon -new-instance -p

and select the create-profile option.

Comment Re:Voc (Score 1) 70

> Sering as FAANG are the new megacorp to rival the Dutch East
> India Trading corp, I doubt a few dollars for the small views
> aussie media gets is really going to make any difference.

It's about *SETTING A PRECEDENT*. Australia is merely one of over 190 countries on the planet, and has approximately 1/3rd of 1% of the planet's population. If Google caves to Australia, the other 190+ countries with 99%+ of the planet's population are going to be demanding a payout too. *THAT* is what Google fears.

Comment Nokia 6015i (12 years) and Alcatel Go Flip (Score 1) 393

I got a Nokia 6015i on a Pay-As-You-Go plan with Virgin Mobile Canada (Bell Canada subsidiary) back in March 2006. It worked fine, and would still be working but Bell's 2G support had been dropped outside of central Canada by fall 2017, and eventually all of Canada.

I got an Alcatel Go Flip in March 2018. It supports 2G/3G/4G/LTE, and has a basic camera, so it should last me for a while. But in some ways, it's almost luddite...

* it actually has physical keys
* it's a flip phone
* it has a user-replacable battery. I recharge it once a week "whether it needs it or not"
* it has a working FM radio
* to listen to the FM radio (or music player) I plug headphones into the jack that "they didn't have the courage to remove".

Comment Re:A privacy "promise" (Score 1, Interesting) 83

> Nothing has changed, and installing a COVID tracking app does not give Google any extra information,

I know this is Slashdot, but puhlease RTFA

> Since 2015, Google's Android system has required users to enable location on their
> phones to scan for other Bluetooth devices, Mr. Voss said, because some apps may
> use Bluetooth to infer user location. For instance, some apps use Bluetooth beacons
> in stores to help marketers understand which aisle a smartphone user may be in.

> Once Android users turn on location, however, Google may determine their precise
> locations, using Wi-Fi, mobile networks and Bluetooth beacons, through a setting
> called Google Location Accuracy, and use the data to improve location services.

This Mr. Voss is an official Google spokesman, so this is not conspiracy bullshit. In addition to enabling Google to track you, Bluetooth and GPS/location-services drains your battery like crazy.

Comment Re:Good Riddance (Score 4, Informative) 154

> The industry is shifting away from "hub and spoke" to "point to point" since passengers have massively
> voted with their wallets for flights without stop-overs, (hence also the trend for ultra-long flights).

Another factor in "hub and spoke" abandonment is ETOPS (Extended-range Twin-engine Operational Standards). Based on experience with piston engine planes, the FAA wouldn't allow any twin-engine plane to fly more than 60 minutes from a "diversion airport". E.g. LA to Hawaii was illegal in a twin. This meant that only 3 or 4 engine planes could fly the route. Thus only honking big planes could fly that route, and only the honking big Honolulu Airport could handle them; forget about regional airports. Similar for US to Europe direct flights. Technically, twins could fly NE from New York, within 60 minutes of Canada, continue NE near southern Greenland, east near Iceland, and SE near Shannon, Ireland, to London. But the detour would cost a lot of extra fuel, and hourly wages for pilots and flight-attendants..

After the switch to jets post-WW2 it was discovered that there was approximately 1 jet engine in-flight failure for every 117 piston engine in-flight failures. Thus, in 1985, the FAA allowed twins to fly further from diversion airports. E.g. ETOPS-120 (120 minutes from a diversion airport) allowed direct great-circle-route New York to London by twins. Ratings as high as ETOPS-370 (just over 6 hours from diversion airport) exist. Note, the plane has to be ETOPS-rated, and the pilots, and the airline's maintenance program, etc have to meet specs, before long-haul flights by twins over water are allowed.

This allows small twin-engine planes like the 120-seat A319 and the even smaller A318 to fly trans-Atlantic routes with full passenger loads, that would result in 2/3rd-empty 747's. Smaller planes mean that they can actually land in Hawaii at places other than Honolulu. See https://www.youtube.com/watch?... for more details.

Comment Re:Why are the Jumbo-jets disappearing? (Score 1) 118

> His main points:
>
> 1. 4-engine design is expensive to operate
> 2. spoke-hub system is going bye-bye

He doesn't go into detail about *WHY* the "spoke-hub system is going bye-bye". See https://www.youtube.com/watch?... Small Planes Over Big Oceans (ETOPS Explained)

* Based on previous experience with piston-engined planes before 1950, it was considered very risky for a *TWIN*-ENGINE* plane to fly more than 60 minutes from a "diversion airport", i.e. emergency landing site. 3 or 4 engine planes need to be big and carry a lot of passengers to make money. So a plane had to have 3 or 4 engines to be eligible to fly the shortest direct New York to London route.

A twin engine plane could theoretically...
* fly northeast from New York staying within 60 minutes of St. John's, Canada.
* continue northeast staying within 60 minutes of Narsarsuaq Airport Greenland
* east staying within 60 minutes of Reyjkavik, Iceland
* southeast passing Shannon, Ireland
* and land at London, England
* this roundabout rote was longer and took more time, wiping out any fuel savings
* A twin-engine LAX to Honolulu flight was impossible, because there simply isn't any diversion airport along the way

In the post-WW2 era, it was discovered that jet engines had less than 1% of the engine failure rate of piston-engined planes. In 1985, the FAA started approving ETOPS (Extended-range Twin-Engine Operational Performance Standards). The old system could be thought of as ETOPS-60 (twin-engine flying up to 60 minutes from diversion airport). Twin-engine planes are rated by allowable time range, e.g. ETOPS-120, ETOPS-180, etc. The 787 Dreamliner is rated ETOPS-330 (5 and a half hours).

With ETOPS-330 a 787 could fly Melbourne to Santiago, a route that would not make financial sense ina 747. Other example include Air Canada'a A-319 (120 passengers) between St. John's Canada and London Heathrow. British Airways fliew (flew) the even-smaller A-318 between New York and London City airports.

So a 3-flight journey smalltown1-to-hub1-to-hub2-to-smalltown2 becomes smalltown1-to-smalltown2. A smaller single-aisle plame would take you direct rather tha fly you to a hub. Quicker, and less chance of missed connections or missplaced luggage.

Spoke and hub no longer makes sense, and planes built to service spoke and hub no longer make sense.

Comment Why commercials and expensive concessions (Score 1) 120

A little-known dirty secret of the movie-theatre industry... for the first-run big Hollywood movies, the studios rake off 95% (YES!) of ticket revenues for the first 3 weeks or so. The theatres don't start seeing much ticket revenue until week 4 or so. 5% of ticket revenue, even in a packed theatre, doesn't pay rent/electricity/salaries/etc. Raising prices doesn't work, because the studios grab almost all of any price increase. The only way movie theatres can survive the first 3 weeks is with "non-ticket revenue" that studios don't rake off. This is from commercials before the movies, and exhorbitant prices for pop/popcorn/candy. Now you know why.

Also, we're looking at increased expenses for cleaning as well as reduced revenue due to...

* reduced seating capacity, due to social distancing and blocking off 70% of seats
* fewer showings per day, so there's time to sanitize the place between showings
* no concession sales

Unless studios and theatres renegotiate the deal structure, the big movie chains will be gone. Today's kids will tell their disbelieving granchildren about "movie theatres".

Comment Re:Playing politics (Score 1) 73

> Can you expand on that comment?
>
> I'd like to hear more specifics.

Mozilla went out of their way to suppress gab.com's "dissenter" plugin, because Gab is home to a lot of "wrong-think". The dissenter plugin was a lot like "Disqus", an external server which hosted comment threads about specific website articles. It was used a lot by people who had been banned at those websites, or websites that insisted on using Fecesbook for comments.

* First, they banned the dissenter addon from the Firefox addons website

* But you could still "sideload" it. So Mozilla doubled down.

* They made Firefox require a signed certificate to recognize addons. "That'll teach them wrong-thinkers at Gab", they said.

* Somebody forgot to renew the expiring certificate, which had never been a critical issue before. But with the new setup, ***ALL*** extensions stopped functioning... oops. A case of "SJWs gone wild". https://betanews.com/2019/05/0...

Comment PPV on cable TV might not be an option (Score 1) 69

https://www.techdirt.com/artic...
> Traditional Pay TV subscriptions fell by a record 1.8M in Q1, the worst quarterly
> result on record, bringing the annual rate of decline to 7.6%, also a record

Cable TV is eventually just as doomed as movie theatres, but it still has several more years to go, before the last person to leave turns out the lights. So PPV on cable is probably a short-term fix. Another option is a studio offering Netflix a two-tier option...

1) Rights to show a certain movie; $X
2) Rights to show a certain movie plus give us metrics; $X - $Y

If that "bundling" runs into legal problems, they could re-word it as

1) Rights to show a certain movie; $X
2) Oh yeah, we're willing to separately pay $Y for metrics

The final option is for studios to separately, or collectively, set up rival streaming service(s) against Netflix.

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