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Comment Re:pyramid scheme ? (Score 1) 190

This notion comes from a flawed understanding of economics. Fiat currencies costs at least the same amount of resources to create , regulate and secure as Bitcoin.“Rent” always forces production costs (MC) to always equal sale prices (MR) or MC=MR. Fiat is simply more abstract and complex form or Proof of Work that uses more human involvement (which uses tremendous amounts of resources and has a tremendous environmental impact) as a PoW coin like Bitcoin. Humans instead of ASICs are shouldering more of the work to create, regulate , and secure each of those currencies; This is "work" whether it involves burning electricity directly or food and electricity that humans consume to perform their work. This is an inescapable economic reality. The more valuable something is the more it will cost to secure it because the more effort will be made to steal and or control it. This applies to any currency or asset. Consider the Dollar Auction Game - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

Comment Re:pyramid scheme ? (Score 1) 190

What happens when interest levels out and becomes a constant? Will the value of the bitcoin also flatten, or will it crash?

This is very straight forward , because consistent usage and purchasing from the same group of people simply would mean the price would on average roughly double every 4 years due to bitcoin being disinflationary. whether or not this will continue after 2140 is another matter because there would need to be enough transaction volume to sustain Bitcoins security model.

the less inclined I am to consider it a good investment.

This instinct is healthy because assets/currencies that appreciate too quickly should make you skeptical. The only issue here is this is not the first bull market cycle of Bitcoin. There have been many. So its worth investigating why this keeps occurring

Comment Re:Inane commentary (Score 1) 190

Bitcoin is primarily a reaction to the corruption from the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Satoshi's principle intention was to create digital scarcity that cannot be manipulated and inflated. Thus the message in the Genesis Block. Yes, bitcoin is still a fantastic tool for regulatory arbitrage but has a while to catch up to the king of illegal transactions = USD, followed by euros being second.

Comment Re:investment vehicle, or currency? Which? (Score 1) 190

intrinsic value is a misleading term that many gold fanatics like to use that seems to either suggest there is some inherent value in something physical or that gold has alternative use cases other than as money it can fall back on. Every currency and asset derives its value subjectively from humans. https://wiki.mises.org/wiki/Su...

Comment Re:investment vehicle, or currency? Which? (Score 1) 190

Bitcoin is far from perfect but the assumption that people hoard it during periods of rapid deflation is a myth. The opposite occurs during rapid appreciation. More spending and more charitable giving occurs. I am not referring to speculative trading(which also increases) but spending on goods and services and donations as well.

Comment Re:Transaction confirmation time (Score 1) 131

I can send BTC with my lightning app to a friend in Iran or china. There is an instant confirmation and fees are 0 as well. Bitcoin in most instances are far more fungible digitally than fiat and Bitcoin is also a global currency that doesn't need to barter across country lines and pay a spread and fx exchange fee everytime one passes a border.

Comment Re:Bitcoin is volatile (upside and downside) (Score 1) 131

A good currency is a stable currency that buys a loaf of bread for the same number next week as it did last week

It is fair to criticize Bitcoin as having poor UX, being difficult to understand by many people, and being volatile. You are 100% correct that being a stable unit of account is critical to having a useful currency. This isn't the only important quality of a currency however= fungibility, divisibility, scarcity, Durability, acceptability, and Cognizability are all other important aspects that make a good currency. Bitcoin excels in some of these other qualities which is why it has a inelastic demand specifically as a currency and has a circular economy of people who depend upon it as a currency regardless of this volatility. we expect in time as liquidity improves , volatility will drop but this is still an experiment in progress.

Comment Re:Holding on to my Coinye (Score 1) 131

Bitcoin can't be spent in any meaningful way, so it is not valuable as a currency. Bitcoin only has value because someone out there will exchange other currencies for Bitcoin.

You are correct insomuch as stability for a less volatile unit of account is a very important quality, among others, that make for a useful currency and Bitcoin is far more volatile than most fiat currencies which make it more difficult to use in some aspects than many fiat currencies. One distinction though is because Bitcoin has better fungibility digitally, it has a inelastic demand specifically as a currency and has a circular economy of people who depend upon it as a currency regardless of this volatility.

but that small set of transactions doesn't scale.

You aren't supposed to make day to day transactions onchain. These are supposed to be made offchain, in sidechains, statechains, and payment channels. Bitcoin already does scale quite nicely.

If you try, then the supply of crypto vastly out strips the demand, and the price falls (like a bank run except no one will bail out Bitcoin).

Volatility is not due to merchants insta-selling BTC for fiat but large speculators day trading. Even someone buying an exotic car has no effect because there is far more buy limit support than a couple million dollars of BTC being dumped for fiat.

Worse, the very structure of Bitcoin forces constant conversion to regular currencies vis-a-vis miners have to pay for their costs somehow, and even if their suppliers accept crypto, the suppliers are promptly selling the crypto to get real currencies. This puts massive downward pressure on the bitcoin exchange rate.

This is correct. At the price of 7k USD current inflation to secure the network requires ~12.6 million USD each day. If the price remains the same in 2020 this will drop to ~6.3 million USD daily, although its more likely we will see more appreciation next year which means the cost of security will be higher. (After next halving 900 BTC daily x value of BTC in fiat or gold) in resources spent to secure the network.

I would suggest fiat costs far more to secure than Bitcoin per value transferred, but this is a very complex calculation to perform(on the fiat side) and more research is needed

they cant stop. If they ever do stop, then Bitcoin is officially dead.

One key aspect is efficient miners will always remain profitable(except for rare short term events) because mining difficulty adjusts dynamically up and down.

Comment Re:$20 million is nothing volume (Score 1) 131

All currencies and assets are valued by the marketplace and Bitcoin is backed by a network of users, investors, companies, and physical infrastructure that are incentivized to keep it secure. Suggesting 0 is a possibility soon is a bit hyperbolic because even failed fiat currencies still fetch a price on the market, but my guess is you will keep delaying your estimated "death" of Bitcoin as we have seen critics do over the last 10 years. For something that keeps "dying" it certainly keeps growing in value and users - https://99bitcoins.com/bitcoin...

Comment Re:Wasn't $4,000 the Psych Level Just Last Year (Score 1) 131

Bitcoin is a useful currency for me and saves me a lot of money(I send money internationally and can buy things off amazon for 20% off as two examples) . All currencies and assets that people have investments in have different risks and tradeoffs. I don't advocate people invest 100% in Bitcoin , and many times I tell people they should just use BTC and not invest in it depending upon their circumstances.

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