[blatantly ripped off from here and stored for posterity].
It is now official - Iowa voters have confirmed: The Howard
Dean campaign is dying
Yet another crippling bombshell hit the beleaguered Howard Dean campaign when recent polls confirmed that Howard Dean accounts for less than a fraction of 15 percent of all voters. Coming
on the heels of the latest Iowa caucus which plainly states that the Howard Dean campaign has lost more vote share, this news serves to reinforce what we've known all along. The Howard Dean campaign is collapsing in complete disarray,
as fittingly exemplified by failing dead third in the recent Iowa caucus.
You don't need to be a Bill Schneider [cnn.com] to predict the Howard
Dean campaign's future. The
hand writing is on the wall: the Howard Dean campaign faces a bleak
future.
In fact there won't be any future at all for the Howard Dean campaign
because the Howard Dean campaign is dying.
Things are looking very bad for the Howard Dean campaign. As many of us
are already aware, the Howard Dean campaign continues to lose vote
share. Angry, lunatic rants flow like a river. Howard Dean's voice is
the most endangered of them all, having lost 93% of its volume due to
his apish shreiks. The sudden and unpleasant departure of long time
campaign contributor George Soros only serves to underscore the point
more clearly. There can no longer be any doubt: the Howard Dean
campaign is dying.
Let's keep to the facts and look at the numbers.
Polling leader Zogby states that 38% of democrats support John
Kerry.
How many supporters of John Edwards are there? Let's see. The number of
John Kerry versus John Edwards posts on Usenet is roughly in
ratio of 19 to 16. Therefore about 32% of democrats support John
Edwards. John Edwards posts on Usenet are about twice the volume of
Wesley Clark posts. Therefore about 16% of democrats support Wesley
Clark. A recent caucus put Dick Gephardt at about 11% of democrat
voters. Therefore about 1.00 - (.38 + .32 + .16
+ .11) = 3% of democrats support Howard Dean. This
is consistent with the number of Howard Dean votes in Iowa.
Due to the troubles of Howard Dean, temper tantrums and so on,
Howard Dean's voters went to other candidates and were taken
over by Dick Gephardt who sells another failed tax-and-spend
philosophy. Now the Dick Gephardt campaign is also dead, its
voters turned over to even less desirable candidates.
All major surveys show that the Howard Dean campaign has steadily
declined in vote share. The Howard Dean campaign is very sick and its
long term survival prospects are very dim. If the Howard Dean campaign
is to survive at all it will
be among far left peaceniks. The Howard Dean campaign continues to
decay. Nothing short of a miracle could
save it at this point in time. For all practical purposes, the Howard
Dean campaign is dead.
Fact: The Howard Dean campaign is dead