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Comment Re: No. (Score 1) 382

I don't see what would have been risky about isolating the nursing homes and having family doctors reach out to other high risk groups to advise them to either self-isolate or check into special accommodations set up for that purpose, then let the disease run it's course amongst the low-rosk population. That seems like an eminently sensible approach.

Even the countries with top-notch epidemic response early on and only a few hundred deaths so far failed miserably at isolating nursing homes and high-risk population. That's why it would've been risky.

Comment Re:This is going to backfire. (Score 1) 97

Writers and publishers were screeching that the Internet Archive is a bunch of pirates for years. Here's an article from 2017: The Internet Archive's OpenLibrary project violates copyright, the Authors Guild warns

They just didn't sue until now because they knew they'd be laughed out of the courthouse.

Comment Re:herd immunity may not be possible (Score 1) 389

That isn't clear. A vaccine may be more than a year away. It implausible that any country can maintain a lockdown that long. When they open, Covid will likely resurge.

Sweden chose to pay up-front with a higher first-wave death count, and avoid some of the economic cost of locking down. Other countries will pay later with a higher second-wave death count, and pay a higher economic price.

Nonsense. Getting herd immunity by allowing controlled spread will take 5 to 10 years. Letting the virus spread uncontrolled will still take 3 years (the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic lasted until 1920) and the death toll will be insane.

Any decent virus eradication strategy doesn't rely on indefinite lockdown. The most effective eradication tool is aggressive testing with contact tracing. Lockdowns are just a blunt instrument that can buy you enough time to ramp up testing and tracing capacity. South Korea, Taiwan and Vietnam have been testing and tracing since January and they never locked down. Contact tracing is also what allowed us to eradicate smallpox. We didn't need to shut down all of Africa and Asia or vaccinate 3 billion people to do that. Half of EU is coming out of lockdown now and switching to tracing instead. Only Sweden will stay in the weird not-really-locked-down-not-really-open-either limbo for a long time.

See also: Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance

Comment Re:herd immunity may not be possible (Score 1) 389

The problem with a herd immunity strategy is that you need to be able to be specific about who you target and who you protect. Sweden has apparently had a lot of trouble doing this.

If you choose the "controlled spread" strategy instead of virus eradication, there's no effective way to protect the elderly short of locking them all up in nuclear shelters for several years. Once the virus spreads far enough through the country, it's just a matter of time before the elderly get infected from their relatives or the nursing home staff. And then it'll be a slaughter.

Comment From The Journal of Unsurprising Results (Score 1) 123

Poorly designed study fails to find the thing it was looking for because the authors didn't know what they were looking for in the first place.

The study was measuring programmer effort and bug rate on a bunch of tiny test problems that were too small to show any differences between bad and good programmers. 10x programmer productivity is real. But it's not "writing the same code 10x faster". The root of higher productivity is in better code design which prevents you from getting tangled in your own technical debt and allows you to write 10x less code in the end. The productivity difference is visible only on large codebases.

Comment Re:well (Score 1) 156

Better question: Could the apparent lack of interest in ebooks in the millenial demographic be explained by commercial ebooks being a DRM-crippled piece of shit?

I'm a millenial. I read e-books regularly but I make them myself from public domain books on Wikisource. It's just a few lines of Python to convert HTML to DocBook and then apply the open souce XSLT stylesheets to generate Epub and PDF.

Comment Re:Reading in unnatural and not instinctive (Score 1) 333

Phoneme languages like Hindi, Sanskrit, Tamil are better. Each language letter/glyph is a distinct syllable. Each consonant+vowel combination gets its own picture. Usually you write exactly what you say and read exactly what you hear. Not much of silent letters, no ambiguity between glyphs and pronunciation. About 256 glyphs and you can write down all the sounds made in the language.

Romance script is more difficult. Not enough vowels. Short and long vowels have the same symbol. Consonants and vowels are written up and the reader has to put them together in the mind to create the sound. Very compact and efficient when it comes to number of glyphs to learn, just 26. Then it is a big mess.

Grammar is easy, reading it tough.

Czech uses latin script and each letter/glyph represents a single sound, except for single consonant digraph (ch). On top of the usual 26 letters, we use 8 accented vowels and 7 accented consonants. There is a little bit of ambiguity in spelling between voiced and unvoiced consonants (s/z, t/d) and the vowels i/y which is resolved through grammar rules. But there is always only one correct way to pronounce a written word. We don't bend our written language to accommodate foreign spellings. We change the spelling to fit into our written language.

Comment Re:About time, but nowhere near enough. (Score 3, Informative) 89

I had a video with a soundtrack which was "claimed" by a copyright holder. The soundtrack came from https://musopen.org/ which only has unencumbered music, so the claim was almost certainly bogus.

Copyright holders frequently use public domain or freely licensed content in their oh-so-precious proprietary content and then don't bother to properly mark the free/libre parts which automatic upload filters must ignore. Rightholders should get banned from using upload filters for claiming content they don't own, even if it's just a 5-second public domain clip in a feature-length movie. Alas, EU law does not allow that anymore...

Comment Re:Fauxes guard the henhouse, Phews at 11 (Score 2) 101

He doesn't care about the ethics or morals. He cares about the perceived notion that internet piracy is costing him vast amounts of money, and he wants that money. You're not going to persuade him to give up that money making capability with an argument based on an appeal to morality or ethics. Greed is the driving force behind him, and the only thing that will change his course is a bigger overriding force.

The copyright industry is so obsessed with the illusion of more money that it's leaving tons of real money lying on the table.

Comment Re:Yes speaking English doesn't make you a poet (Score 1) 354

Unfortunately not. I have found that a degree seems to have no bearing on sill (either positive or negative). I've seen people with degrees put out some truly awful code and self taught programmers put out some really good code. The best code I've ever worked with was by a guy who was an accountant who taught himself to code in his 40s.

That's because computer science/software engineering degree is not about learning to code at all. You're basically complaining that some English literature majors have terrible handwriting. Computer science and software engineering teach mainly math, basic statistics, graph theory, automata theory, computational complexity and how to prove that your algorithm really does what it's supposed to do. Learning to write Good Code(tm) is left as homework.

Give your self-taught accountant some simple task that requires knowing a little bit of above-mentioned theory and watch him fail spectacularly.

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