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Comment Re:since records started in 1940 lolz (Score 3, Informative) 255

Yeah, let's whack a big ol' "[[ CITATION NEEDED ]]" on pretty much all of that.

It must be all that tarmac around the poles which is causing icebergs the size of entire countries to break off and melt into the sea.

As for your pork:
Exxon scientists predicted global warming with 'shocking skill' in the 1970s
Assessing ExxonMobil’s global warming projections

Comment Re:How about... (Score 5, Insightful) 53

A baby wailing because it just filled its diaper and needs to be changed? Would the croc get excited about that extra load of nutrients?

Extra? Where do you think those nutrients came from...?

Why on earth would the researcher pick the sound of a baby upset because it's getting vaccinated? That isn't exactly something the crocs could have evolved to recognize...

I'd imagine that it was one of the easiest and most ethical ways of recording "injured" babies in distress.

Comment Re:Fake studies making it to publications (Score 1) 61

There's a big difference between profit driven no name publishing paper mills and well established journals of the likes of Nature, The Lancet, etc.

Managing to get published in a top journal is highly prized & scores big career points. And you're hearing this news because the journal did its due diligence to investigate suspicions of malpractice.

Comment Re:Fragile at best (Score 1) 36

ReiserFS every hard drive I had I would put it on it, and the drive would die within a year. Thank goodness at the time Seagate had 5 year warranties. The filesystem tech was cool, yet it really hammered the HDD.

ReiserFS came to be go-to fs from 2003 through 2006/7 as it was favoured by my employer. Around 40+ servers, a small office, plus my various home computer projects and laptops. I never had any issues with my drives.

Comment Re:Had that as a business idea (Score 4, Insightful) 154

Simply splurting out comments on strangers' physical appearance is inappropriate because it suggests you're oggling them, if whilst you might not be a creep and mean it out of innocence, speak with any women about their experiences in society and you'll understand that there are an unfortunate number of arseholes out there.

It's the same reason people (particularly men) should avoid making physical contact with kids if they aren't acquainted with their guardians.

The old trope, "It's because of arseholes that we can't have nice things."

When we interact with people, we need to take into account how they could perceive it. It's a basic consideration if we want to peacefully live in a society where we are likely to encounter people we don't know.

Comment Re:640kb (Score 4, Informative) 221

Gates didn't make any claims about the current models being AGI, and neither has anyone else.
I believe you're falling into the same trap as many other critics. You're conflating the hyperbole and exaggerations used by marketers to ride the wave and sell their products, with the real news and developments that are being announced by engineers and researchers.

Btw, let's define AI first.

Let's!

Cambridge:
Intelligence noun

  • The ability to learn, understand, and make judgments or have opinions that are based on reason.

Merriam-Webster:
Intelligence noun

  • The ability to learn or understand or to deal with new or trying situations
  • The ability to apply knowledge to manipulate one's environment or to think abstractly as measured by objective criteria (such as tests)

If you're spent much time with the models, you'd be aware that when they return a mistaken answer, you point out the mistakes (without giving the answer) and the model will correct itself. If you trip it up with a logic puzzle, you can ask it to rethink and try giving you the answer again, but this time explaining its logic step by step. Often times it will then "realise" where it tripped up & give you the correct answer. Follow up with a similar logic puzzle and it will have "learnt" not to make the same mistake.
It also shows signs of having Theory of Mind. The ability to understand that what you believe to be reality might differ from actual reality, and predict what you probably believe given your own mistaken conclusions.

It's a bit like interacting with a very well informed child.

ChatGPT knows 4*9=36 because it saw it on the web. Give it a 4 digit number times a 5 digit numbers, it could fail.

Correct. Another example, "What are the fourth and sixth words of this sentence?". GPT3.5 (ChatGPT) doesn't understand maths, it treats it linguistically.

GPT4 however, which has just been released to the public over the past few days, is multimodal. It knows how to calculate. It can take visual cues from uploaded images and other visual media and understand their context.
This isn't the hidden integration of differing models, which has previously been used to try to emulate such "intelligence". It's the same model.

I think what Gates is getting at is that the technology has suddenly seen an exponential jump and is advancing at an astounding rate. Predictions that were made only a few months ago of milestones we can expect for "some time over the next decade" have been blown away in matters of days and weeks.
ChatGPT was released barely 5 months ago, and it's already seeing widespread use amongst the general (non-technical) public.

Given the recent explosion in advancements and general adoption, I'm with Gates. We're on the cusp of a new age, one that could have a bigger impact on humanity than anything we've seen before.

For anyone that's interested in the topic, I highly recommend checking out some of the videos from AI Explained. It's really mind-blowing (even though I thought I'd been following the topic closely for years now).

Comment Re:Yeah, kind of (Score 2) 27

It's not necessarily new or ground breaking, however I definitely wouldn't call it "common". Especially being able to reliably identify 10,000 different complex neurological patterns. I'm also surprised that different people generate similar patterns for the same image. Given our non-homogenous biological nature, I would have expected more variation between individuals.

Comment Re:Yeah, kind of (Score 2) 27

Indeed. They're just matching patterns/signals generated from their own fixed dataset.

First they record the patterns whilst the subject looks at a known image, then they show that image again & try to make a blind match using.

Each image has a text description, and when they make a match, they throw that text description to Stable Diffusion.

They could have just as well given each image a number & reported that number when they got a correlated signal.

Not to diminish their work. It's still all very impressive & giving us a glimpse of what might be the future. But the AI isn't "seeing" anything - it can only match scenes from its own dataset.

Comment Re:He made the big mistake: taxes! (Score 1) 72

Which, if you think about it, is quite a smart catch-22 by the Government to facilitate nailing people for illegal earnings.

This isn't a case of the taxman crushing an honest worker, it's the Government having multiple avenues to curtail activities that arguably destabilise society.
In this case, someone making themselves very wealthy off the back of the work, effort, and investment of others.

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