Comment Glum future for Fedora (Score 2) 68
IBM jumped the shark with CentOS stream.
If my company is a typical shop that's been running their entire infrastructure on CentOS for decades (and I have no reason to believe they're not), CentOS is losing mindshare, as everyone's migrating to Ubuntu LTS.
Yes, we know about Rocky, and it may very well turn out to be a success. But it's not just the RHEL core, but whether the "aftermarket" software, i.e. VMWare, and the rest, will officially support Rocky like they support CentOS.
But the company is not going to take this for granted, and is migrating to Ubuntu LTS.
What IBM failed to recognize is that CentOS attracted mind-share. It did not translate into tangible revenue. But it was tangible mind-share, and attracted a pool of RHEL knowledge in the developer and sysadmin communities. And Fedora fed into it.
RHEL will be slowing bleeding mindshare, as a good chunk of the CentOS user base disappears. And, indirectly, this also impacts Fedora. I know: this is making me invest my own time into acquiring Ubuntu-centric skills and domain knowledge. Fedora's future looks glum.