PS3 Predicted to Lead Market Through 2011

eldavojohn writes "The Yankee Group (a Boston Technology firm) recently announced that it predicts Sony's PS3 to lead the market with a 44% share through 2011. Most interesting is their prediction that the Wii will maintain only 16% of the market share. From the article: 'The analyst group believes Sony will lead in next-gen market share by 44% in 2011, with Xbox 360 taking a close 40% share, followed by Wii with a wee little bitty 16% share.'"

Proposal:

[earthbound kid]

Slashdot has run a number of articles about analysts predicting this or that console manufacture will sell X or Y million machines in the next generation, so to help us sort through the archives more efficiently, I propose that we all use the same tag to mark these stories for quick searching.

The tag?

"Bullshit".

Re:Just Because Techies Are Excited...

[Anonymous Coward]

but the real money is in hardcore gamers

What about World of Warcraft? Why is it the most popular MMORPG in history, and one of the most profitable games ever?

And what makes you think that the Hard-Core Gamers are not excited about the Wii? At E3 Nintendo had more playable Wii systems then Sony had PS3s or Microsoft had XBox 360s and yet there was a 3 to 6 hour wait to play one of these systems; and E3 is not a casual gamer event.

What about the online experience - that is where games are moving going forward! You can't even argue that when you look back at the last ten years.

If the past 10 years have told us anything it is that everyone is expecting an online revolution that is never comming; the same 10% to 15% of gamers that wanted to play games online with Unreal Tournament are still the same 10% to 15% of gamers who play games online with Halo 2. The only games that have broken this mold are those where they have opened up online gaming to a more casual market (World of Warcraft, Mario Kart DS).

I don't see any Wii hype anywhere but on Digg and Slashdot.

Try looking somewhere besides TeamXBox or PS3.ign.com ...

The Wii was declared one of Time Magazines top 5 things that will blow your mind, it has been on the front page of Google News pretty consistently for the past 6 months, and there was a 6 HOUR LINE UP AT E3 TO TRY IT.

Re:Whatever

[AKAImBatman]

Just an FYI, Final Fantasy Crystal Chronicles is coming to the Wii. So you don't need to plunk down mega-$$$ to rehash the same old FF on Sony's PS3.

Re:Wii only gets 16% marketshare?!?

[Blakey Rat]

Let's get into full Slashdot Games mode.

Wii only 15%? Man these people are clueless! Wii will have a 300% market share as every man woman and child in the world realizes that it's the best gaming console ever! It appeals to everyone and the controller is innovative! Also I'm sure only a few months into its lifetime, Nintendo will release a game that not only turns your kids into supergeniuses but also can cure cancer if left on overnight. But leaving it on overnight won't be a problem because the Wii actually *creates* energy and solves the world's oil crisis at the same time! It's obvious that the PS3 and 360 will both die immediately as Wii is released, and both huge coporations that make those consoles will simply pack in and give up since they have no chance of competing.

Re:Doesn't sound right

[joshsisk]

My experience is totally different. I don't know a single person who owns a Xbox 360. I've never seen one outside of a store. Most of my friends are excited about the Wii... even friends who don't generally even buy consoles are kind of interested in it.

However, most of my friends are more casual gamers or non-gamers. You may know more hardcore gamers. I only really have 1-2 friends who would qualify as hardcore... and one of those is a Nintendo FANATIC. Like, scarily so.