Japan Plans 30-Year Supercomputer Forecasts 200
BaltikaTroika writes "According to a ministry representative, 'Japan is planning ultra long-range 30-year weather forecasts that will predict typhoons, storms, blizzards, droughts and other inclement weather.' Maybe they should tell their secret to my local weatherman, who usually can't even get tomorrow's weather right. Whatever happened to chaos?"
Chaos? (Score:5, Funny)
Pfft. Chaos is so predictable.
Forecasts okay now (Score:4, Funny)
Actually, those days are pretty much gone now. With all the latest computational models for weather, as opposed to what was essentially pattern matching before, I find that the weather forecasts on the whole are pretty accurate out to a few days. As for 30 years, I would be more than a little skeptical since you even have to account for things like solar flares and sunspots, or you get small inaccuracies that will grow more massive the further out you get. But, with the new Hello Kitty Supercomputer Center, perhaps they are able to account for this in their computations.
Yeah, but... (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Chaos? (Score:1, Funny)
It all depends on your assumptions (Score:4, Funny)
It all depends on your assumptions. Look at Venus. The weather there is dead simple to predict. Heavily overcast, highs in the mid 900's, with poisonous smog in low lying areas through the weekend.
The only reason the Earth's weather seems hard to predict now is that we haven't (yet) experienced a run-away feedback loop. If you posit that we're starting into one, making accurate daily forecasts thirty years out will be much easier than sticking around to see how well you did.
--MarkusQ
Re:Yes another person (Score:2, Funny)
http://www.worldjumpday.org/ [worldjumpday.org]
Re:A Few Things (Score:3, Funny)
Re:Useless indeed (Score:5, Funny)
That's true. Do you think they're going to install GPS trackers on all the butterflies in the world?
Re:Useless indeed (Score:3, Funny)
Don't panic. The 30-Year weather predicting supercomputer predicted this and is designing supercomputer that is powerful enough and specifically built for predicting volcanic activity.
However, it will take 30 years to do so... Much to relief of weather who were protesting that their livelihoods were at stake.
Re:Useless indeed (Score:2, Funny)
OK, here it goes:
Rain followed by Sun
Cooling trends with possible snow in the upper elevations
Warming weather after winter followed by hot summer weather
Godzilla attack
Occasional typhoon
Small chance of a tsunami followed by death and destruction
So either I'm a supercomputer, or this is easier than we thought...