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Microsoft

Bill Gates Handwriting Analyzed 609

Kaal Alexander Rosser writes "The BBC is reporting that a doodle left behind at a Davos press conference given by Tony Blair, Bill Gates and Bono shows the writer to be: "an unstable man" amongst other things. The Gates Foundation has confirmed the doodle was left there by Bill Gates."
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Bill Gates Handwriting Analyzed

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  • WHERE'S THE BEEF? (Score:1, Interesting)

    by SenatorOrrinHatch ( 741838 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @01:48PM (#11529927)
    so uhh the real question is:
    where's a scan of these notes and doodles?
  • Him2? (Score:3, Interesting)

    by Doc Ruby ( 173196 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @01:51PM (#11529988) Homepage Journal
    Blair left his doodles [fark.com] behind for analysis, too. And so we can conclude from the absence of Bono's doodles, and consequent lack of analysis, that Bono is paranoid, justifiably.
  • Re:Wow (Score:1, Interesting)

    by prash_n_rao ( 465747 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @01:56PM (#11530061) Homepage
    Personally, I prefer thumb prints to signatures.

    Anyway, I wonder what they can make out from my preference for the Lucida font family.
  • Re:Wow (Score:3, Interesting)

    by essreenim ( 647659 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @01:58PM (#11530093)
    I found a great sight with downloadable hand writing sheets in my final CS year. It had a sentance fully in hand (thatch-writing), with lots of sentances below with dots, so you could practice again and again. It was really good as it calmed me for the exams. I felt like I was back in playschool writing my lovely curly and puposeful writing. I actually felt like taking up caligraphy. There is something spitiual about this writing, something we are sadly losing in the computer age. I did it to recontruct my ability to write in time for my exams as my writing was awful before. Afterwards, not only could I write better, I felt happier, like a return to serenity. Sounds gay? Yeah I was surprised too but I can't knock hand writing. We should all do it

  • by Cyn ( 50070 ) <(cyn) (at) (cyn.org)> on Monday January 31, 2005 @02:00PM (#11530119) Homepage
    My analysis? He was practicing writing with his alternate hand - because he was bored. I tried this over the weekend, and my scrawl looked similar to this.

    I dunno - I don't consider myself all that anal, but my notes are generally a lot less flamboyant than that - a little more organized, legible, useful, etc.
  • by Mister Incognito ( 804547 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @02:21PM (#11530359) Journal
    FWIW. Years ago when I was still at school, I had an impacting experience over a weekend. I was at class, and when I switched "consciousness" on :) I was shocked at how different my handwriting had become since last friday.

    After that I decieded that hey, there may be a relation between personality and style. And that while it is true you might adopt a different style, who is to tell you that doing that won't affect your personality?

    Now.. thinking about the post above.. I may even point out that scribbing things in a hurry might also be relevant, if you think about it...
  • by oneiros27 ( 46144 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @02:31PM (#11530483) Homepage
    They're not by any means 100% accurate, but my grandfather used to do contracting analysing handwriting of potential executive hires for a few companies.

    Now, he'll be the first to tell you that it's not a perfect science -- but if you see five different indicators that suggest the person is dishonest, there's a better chance that there's a correlation.

    Here are a few points that I remember from reading the manual that he had written --
    • Pressure of the writing is an indicator of the person's stress level. [how hard are they pushing the writing implement into the paper?].
    • A person who tends to come back and write back over the top of their words (not to make a correction -- writing over it twice or more) is a sign of dishonesty.
    • Your normal handwriting tells your personality; Your signature tells how you want people to think you are. (so a person whose signature is like their handwriting is more likely to be comfortable with themselves)
    • A person whose lines slope downwards as they write tend to be pessimists (if upward, optimists)
    There are things that can be infered from the angle the writing, the general shape of letters, how the person dots their i's, the width of the margins, how they place the addresses on the letters.

    I would relate handwriting analysis to be more like reading someone's mannerisms and how they dress -- it can be a good indicator, but isn't a perfect correlation. Whereas, astrology and the like are basically just cold reading (normally, based on the person's reactions, mannerisms, and how they dress), and not really on the stars.

    Now, that's not to say that someone can read something wrong -- I'm sure it happens all the time -- my grandfather has one indicator (the size of decenders) that he attributes to 'passion' -- someone may attribute it to sexuality, sports, or even as agression and a tendancy towards violance. You have to read it in combination with other indicators.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 31, 2005 @02:37PM (#11530542)
    Well, according to my wife who is a Ph.D. psychology student, it may be legitimate, but it's not an exact science. You can't tell with 100% certainty whether the writer was male or female. The fact that the graphologists quoted in the article say a lot of absolute things about Tony Blair make me think that it's not very scientific. I would expect to hear something along the lines of:

    The indentations on the sample paper were measured under a microscope to be from 35 to 50 thousands of an inch when measured at 25 different points on the document. That means the writer was applying from 8 to 18 pounds of force on the pen, which is higher than the typical 4 to 10 pound range. Bailey's [1] work on the matter shows that subjects with a mean pressure measurement higher than 12 pounds are 38% more likely to have abnormally agressive thoughts (when measured using the MMPI standardized personality test) than subjects whose pen pressure fell in the normal range.

    That would be scientific.
  • by Xilman ( 191715 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @02:49PM (#11530658) Homepage Journal
    Ahhh but Gates is not a geek. He is a business man. A cunning business man at that. He knows little about technology other than what most salesmen know. He doesnt' have a deep understanding of the "how" of computing, mostly just the "why".

    Wrong, wrong, wrong!

    Have you ever met Bill? I have. He most certainly has the geek nature. He most certainly does have a deep understanding of the "how" of technology and asks very penetrating questions if you're demonstrating something to him. He's a good business man too, but don't let that lead you into underestimating his technical abilities.

    Paul

  • by aclidiere ( 698224 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @02:53PM (#11530687)

    There is already enough evidence that Bill Gates doesn't have the qualities of a leader, and that he has few social abilities.

    For example, look at Microsoft's keynote at CES [microsoft.com]. (Click on 100K or 300K to watch the video.)
    • If you jump at 26'30 into the video, you will see Gates failing making a demo of Windows Media Center.
    • At 27'13, he shows no concern whatsoever of what is happening. As Conan O'Brien makes a joke about the situation, Gates is showing total weakness.
    • At 27'25, Gates finally understands it is his turn to speak. He makes a remark that shows a huge lack of social sophistication: "How to you like this camera?" (Pointing to a Nikon D70 on the table)


    There is no need for more evidence than watching any of Gates's public appearances to understand what kind of person he is.

    I don't see what we could learn more from a handwriting analysis. There already is enough information available that is more relevant than what is mentioned in the article.
  • by i41Overlord ( 829913 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @02:56PM (#11530717)
    I saw a show on the Discovery Channel a few years back that sort of discussed the same sort of thing- handwriting analysis, art critiquing, phychics, etc.

    They showed art critics discussing the art they were looking at and describing, in detail, the emotions and message that the artist was trying to convey.

    The show's host didn't believe any of that so he showed some "respected" art critics a piece of art, which looked like scribble to me- it was just random strokes of the brush in different colors. The critics all agreed with each other and explained what exactly the artist was thinking, and the raw emotion that went into the painting.

    Very impressive, I thought- and maybe I would have believed them had the artist not been AN ELEPHANT.

    Yes, an elephant painted the picture with its trunk. The "respected" art critics were really just good at winning popularity contests- in reality they had no clue what they were talking about. It's the same thing between a "good" phychic and a "bad" psychic- neither one knows what they're talking about, but one just seems "more believable" than the other.
  • Re:The real scoop (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Foobar of Borg ( 690622 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @03:15PM (#11530883)
    I hope this isn't getting too offtopic, but I remember that one of the big problems with polygraphs was the need for baseline values to determine truth and lying. Apart from the fact that you would respond differently when deliberately telling a lie because it is part of the procedure and when telling a lie to deceive, the baseline questions usually show the prejudices of the interrogator. For example, an interrogator will often ask "have you ever smoked before?" or "have you ever tried marijuana?" assuming, of course, that everyone has tried these. Therefore, if you say no, they assume that your response is the baseline for lying since obviously anyone who says they haven't is lying. And it is an unfalsifiable position.

    The human race would be so funny if they weren't so dangerous.

  • What a non story (Score:2, Interesting)

    by olivercromwell ( 654085 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @03:17PM (#11530901)
    Damn, must be a very slow news day. Come on, I know taking jabs at Bill is fun, but this one is downright stupid. Even if they are Bill's doodles and chicken scratches, anyone with half a brain knows that handwriting analysis is NOT considered a valid diagnostic tool. So called "graphologists" who say they can detect personality traits from handwriting are no more capable of doing so than someone with a crystal ball can tell me anything about me. This type of graphology has basically been discredited in legitimate diagnostic psychology, but obviously reporters could not care less.
  • Re:The real scoop (Score:5, Interesting)

    by MightyMartian ( 840721 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @03:46PM (#11531195) Journal
    My understanding is that the problems with polygraphs are sufficiently numerous that they should be regarded as little more than mysticism. Cops use the excuse that they can feel out potential suspects, and providing that the potential suspects believe the test to be accurate, then I guess it may be just another tool like BSing a suspect about evidence, witnesses, etc. In other words, it's just a parlor trick to make a suspect screw up. So far as I'm aware no court in the US, Canada or Europe even allows polygraph "evidence" to be admitted.
  • by wuice ( 71668 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @03:53PM (#11531291) Homepage
    I hate to say it, but nerds have finally gone too far. Do you guys have ANYTHING better to do than player hate all over Bill's doodles?!
  • Re:The real scoop (Score:5, Interesting)

    by MirthScout ( 247854 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @04:00PM (#11531369)
    You don't need to refuse to take a polygraph test.

    Always agree to take it. They will want you to sign a release form (they have no liability, blah, blah). Refuse to sign the release form. They will decide not to administer the polygraph test. Remind them that you are agreeing to take the polygraph test and it is they that are choosing not to administer it.

    I did this with an employer many years ago. It was very funny.
  • re: Back that up (Score:2, Interesting)

    by Stunning Tard ( 653417 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @04:24PM (#11531617) Journal
    Seems like flamebait but I'll bite. How many BASIC compilers have you written in 2 months without touching the target hardware before you were 20? some bio page [vt.edu]
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 31, 2005 @04:30PM (#11531667)
    IMHO, you've entirely missed his point. After all, even without knowing Bill personally, it's obvious that his need for affluence and control so outweigh his technical qualities that it is quite safe to see him entirely as a business person with little or no real interest in the technical aspects of a particular development.

    Bill's geekness is simply marketing, so well done that I'm quite sure even he believes he is one.

    I'm also sure he thinks he's a good guy.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 31, 2005 @04:41PM (#11531835)
    > What always amazes me is when I ask a geek how they got into computers and they DON'T tell me it was because of music.

    Interesting that you mention this. When I was in college one of my computer science profs told us that in the early days of the computing industry (1940s and 50s) there were no comp sci majors at schools.

    So when companies like IBM, DEC and Sperry wanted to hire new college grads they had to find them in other, more traditional departments. Of course they hit the math and science majors, but surprisingly a lot of early programmers came from music departments.

    The reason was that they had years of experience working with a symbolic language (sheet music), had to follow sequences, loops, timing, etc and also were used to thinking about the complex interactions among multiple instruments and multiple pieces of music.
  • by SteveRosenbach ( 853845 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @04:51PM (#11532003) Homepage
    I never met Bill, but I know lots who have, some many times, and they agree with Paul (Xilman(191715)) A lot of companies have gone out of business by underestimating BillG. I must admit that I'm a big admirer of Bill's. See http://therosenblog.blogspot.com/2004/10/happy-bir thday-billg.html [blogspot.com] And to the best of my knowledge, Bill NEVER did anything like this: http://slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=05/01/15/143721 7&tid=221&tid=98&tid=1 [slashdot.org]
  • Re: Back that up (Score:3, Interesting)

    by BasilBrush ( 643681 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @04:55PM (#11532076)
    I wrote a forth compiler for the 6502 processor at the age of 17. A BASIC interpreter of the standard we're talking about back then was not as complex as you imagine. If I remember rightly, his was about 4K of object code. A couple of thousand lines of assembler. Big fucking deal. Impressive because he was the first to implement on a microprocessor, although there were minicomputer implementations for him to copy. But not a genius level accomplishment.
  • by bushidocoder ( 550265 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @05:03PM (#11532215) Homepage
    Larry Osterman wrote an article once where he talked about a presentation he had with Bill about a portion of the IPX stack in NT4. Bill wasn't familiar with the project prior to the meeting, so it started off with Larry just telling him what was supposed to be accomplished.

    After a couple minutes, they got into the technical part and after Bill had spent two or three minutes looking over stack trace information he abruptly starts screaming at the team about how the memory footprint was too large, and then stopped, thought a minute, and accounting for a dependant project off the top of his head, spit out what he thought was the appropriate memory size for the stack. Everyone in the room stared at him slack-jawed - he quoted a number that was too small by half. No one outside the marketing department would make up a number like that.

    But they had an explicit order from BillG to rewrite the stack to that size, so they went back to the drawing board and, after bringing in some more BSD hackers, realized that not only was his number achieveable, but he'd hit the number they could theoretically reach given the dependencies with other portions of the system right on the head. Although that section of NT has been revisitted in every version since NT4.0, no one has been able to improve on the memory footprint of that section of the kernel.

    That's not neccesarily the sign of a genius - I know people who can look at a database and give the same sort of summary judgements. But when a man can make realizations like that within 10 minutes of having learned about a technology, at a bare minimum you have to give him credit for being a geek.

  • by oneiros27 ( 46144 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @05:25PM (#11532565) Homepage
    My grandfather is Carl Pacifico [amazon.com], and after being a chemical engineer, moved to management, and then, after selling his company, became a business consultant. (which is when he was doing handwriting analysis).

    He started studying human behavior, and from that, thinking in general, and now spends his time trying to further research into cognative neuropsychology [drexel.edu].

    He's not some Miss Clio wanna-be trying to hawk his wares. I don't even know if he's done much with his handwriting analysis work in years, if not decades.

    From the times that I've tried analysing other people's (and my own) handwriting, it seems to compare well with what I knew of the people, but I haven't tried doing double blind studies or anything else that would provide statistical proof as to the accuracy of the studies.
  • Re:The real scoop (Score:1, Interesting)

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 31, 2005 @05:28PM (#11532617)
    You are correct that one of the requirements to establish a baseline is that the person being examined must respond with known lies and known truths. When I take my periodic polygraphs for my security clearance, the examiner asks me to pick a number between one and ten, then asks me "Is your number one?", "Is your number two?", etc. through 10, and I respond "No" each time. That establishes what my "lies" and "truths" look like on that particular exam.

    However, polygraphers admit that some people can lie convincingly on polygraphs, while others (especially those who get nervous) can't give reliable results on even truthful statements. At best, a polygraph examination is one of many possible indicators, and should never be relied on in isolation.

    For example, if classified material disappeared from my office just before I deposited a million dollars in my bank account, I would be a suspect, even if I passed my polygraph. Likewise, failing a polygraph would not land me in prison. Unfortunately, too many people place absolute faith in polygraphs, so my clearance would probably not be renewed if I failed the exam.
  • by NaruVonWilkins ( 844204 ) on Monday January 31, 2005 @07:31PM (#11534493)
    Larry walked by as I read that. Very strange. You know he just celebrated 20 years? He brought 20 dozen bouncy balls instead of 20 pounds of candy.

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