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Microsoft

Windows 2000 - Nine Months to Live 620

HeUnique writes "According the this story at The Register, Microsoft is planning to retire Windows 2000 as far as OEMs concerned. MS has asked OEMs to stop immediately the shipment dual-boot systems running Win2k/WinXP, so your choice now is either to upgrade to XP or else." Only if you're ordering systems running Microsoft Windows, though.
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Windows 2000 - Nine Months to Live

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  • by RenQuanta ( 3274 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @08:42AM (#3840814) Homepage
    Here where I work, we've still not completed the rollover from NT to 2000, and I have yet to see a single XP system installed, even in a development lab. Even in the UNIX world, we're just now getting rid of the last of our Solaris 2.6 (*perhaps* by the end of the calendar year...)

    Does anyone else see massive fragmentation of Windows like this, just due to the extreme upgrade lag of production shops? If it is widely spread, what do people think this mean for Windows in the corporate world?

    In addition, is this just a product being retired, or is this a move by Microsoft to start boostrapping Palladium?
  • by gripdamage ( 529664 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @08:43AM (#3840821)
    Since M$ doesn't even have a replacement server product one can assume this is either false, or the reporter is talking about Windows 2000 Pro only (not Server) and failed to get his facts straight.
  • by kipple ( 244681 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @08:44AM (#3840827) Journal
    No way I'm going to run XP within my company. It's an OS that I don't trust, and haven't had the chance to learn well (and don't want to).

    So either I'm going to buy a couple dozen licenses of win2k soon,

    OR

    I'm going to use the existing licenses and don't care at all about licensing (call it non-violent resistance, whatever)

    OR

    I'm going to start spreading linux on desktop OSes.

    Plus, I don't want to upgrade to the Software Assurance thing, 'cause it's going to cost much more and it's not worthed (office 2000 is WAY better than office XP, and I don't want to upgrade - same for win2k/winXP) if you don't want to upgrade.

    In any way, Microsoft will lose one of its customers. And I think I won't be the only one.

    Anyone else taking care of a network of more than a couple dozen PCs does think like me?
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 08, 2002 @08:44AM (#3840829)
    And never looked back. Even on my 'old' 366 MHz machine it runs beautifully. At work on my Pentium 3 Machine Windows 98 chugs along, and I must crash it 3 or 4 times a day.

    But since I'm taking a day off I can enjoy Windows 2000 :-)
  • Disturbing (Score:5, Interesting)

    by MrBlack ( 104657 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @08:45AM (#3840833)
    As a Microsoft developer I find this very disturbing. I think Windows 2000 is a very capable operating system for desktop use and small servers. My brief experiences with XP are that it is a little flakey(er?) than 2K, and all that WPA-invasion-of-privacy Gestapo crap makes me feel sick in the pit of my stomach. I use both Win2K and Linux at home (primarily Win2K) but I can see the day where the devide between my "home" computing life and my "work" computing life (which is all M$) will become like night and day. What about Win2K server? .NET server hasn't even hit the shelves yet AFAIK (or if it has it is still VERY new and unproved). Time to learn Java.
  • Riiiiight (Score:1, Interesting)

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 08, 2002 @08:46AM (#3840838)
    I guess if people aren't compelled to upgrade based on XP's own merits, Microsoft will force them to. Too bad most end-users aren't aware XP doesn't hold a hell of a lot over 2k, nor of the restrictive licensing scheme, nor the We-KNOW-Where-You're-Going-Today activation process.
  • by hoop33 ( 585222 ) <rwarner.interspatial@com> on Monday July 08, 2002 @08:48AM (#3840851)
    Where I work (a large corporation), we never began the rollover from NT to 2000. We still run NT 4.0 on the desktop, and have no plans to move. We also use Office 97 . . . .
  • Probably bull$hit (Score:2, Interesting)

    by billcopc ( 196330 ) <vrillco@yahoo.com> on Monday July 08, 2002 @08:52AM (#3840878) Homepage
    Microsoft sets a 5-year lifetime on all their OS products. Windows 98 is just about up now. Windows 2000 will therefore officially die (on paper) sometime in late 2004/early 2005. We all know Bill would like to sell us another hojillion copies of WinXP, but the truth is that the support contracts for Win2K are still valid for another couple of years. They can't just pull the plug like this, it opens them up to an easy class-action lawsuit. Although that wouldn't hurt their 40? billion bank account much, it would surely throw around an imperial storm cruiser-load of bad press and maybe finally take CNN's eyes off Pakistan.

    This isn't like some little free util going from freeware to cripple-ware or some other triviality. We're talking about hundreds of thousands of corporate users with long-winded paperwork to cover their asses against Microsoft. It's much more profound than the usual "This software has no warranties whatsoever" EULA trite.
  • Really.

    Our shop is about 30% into our Active Directory Migration, Windows 2000 server based with XP clients logging in. (Say what you will, XP's security isn't AS BIG a deal if you've got a properly designed -- and segmented -- network)

    Migrating off Windows 2000 workstation should be something you're already doing - not keeping a proactive upgrade policy is just ASKING for trouble. (How is this any different from cycling your hardware out every three years for desktops and every two years for laptops? That's been a standard business practice for a very long time.)

    In any event, the forced continual upgrade path for Microsoft products and OS's keeps me employed and keeps me learning new stuff. It also makes those residual Windows 9x boxes in our department look even more prime for replacement. Management has dictated that those machines stay in place for political reasons...Our being able to say 'look, _Microsoft_ hasn't supported 9X for X years' helps us move those boxes forward.
  • saddenning (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Jucius Maximus ( 229128 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @08:56AM (#3840893) Journal
    What saddens and bothers me most is that the brass at big companies that use a lot of offices and computers, but aren't actually software or silicon valley type companies don't have a clue about what MSFT is trying to rope them into.

    Where I work, we are still on NT4 and (thankfully) Office97 so there is no WPA in the system yet.

    The thing is, even if I went to my supervisor (which I already have) about such issues, the highest brass don't want advice even from their more technically oriented underlings. They just don't care or know enough to realise that they are getting hosed.

    Only in 5 years they will feel the noose tightening around their neck and by that point, it will be VERY hard to switch to other platforms, even though I expect that Linux will be very advanced by that time in comparison to today.

  • What can we do? (Score:5, Interesting)

    by oyenstikker ( 536040 ) <slashdot@sb[ ]e.org ['yrn' in gap]> on Monday July 08, 2002 @09:00AM (#3840915) Homepage Journal
    It used to be, when my [non-geek] friends asked me what kind of computer to buy, I told them to play around with Windows 95/98/2k and MacOS, and go with whatever they feel more comfortable with. (Yeah, I know this post will get modded down because I don't push *n?x, but they wouldn't be able to or want to use it.) If the only Microsoft option is Windows XP I'll just tell them to go buy and iMac or iBook. Microsoft isn't going to change its practices unless people STOP BUYING THEIR PRODUCTS.
  • by mccalli ( 323026 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @09:12AM (#3840971) Homepage
    Migrating off Windows 2000 workstation should be something you're already doing

    Why?

    The company I'm contracting for at the moment is a large multinational financial organisation. It uses NT4, with a smattering of W2K.

    Why should they dump NT4? It does everything their typical users need. W2K is being used on some desktops and servers due to the deployment of .Net apps, and eventually a full firmwide W2K rollout will take place. But W2K. Not the untried, untested XP.

    I use XP Pro my machines at home. It has features that I want - faster boot times (useful on the laptop), user switching and remote desktop built in. So for me it's useful. None of those features are required on a corporate desktop. NT4 will run Excel, Powerpoint and Word (in that order of priority for most people) quite well enough. The rest of the apps are usually either custom or web-based anyway.

    Why upgrade? Why force users to learn a new desktop for no extra benefit? Why junk perfectly good hardware to get more powerful stuff just to run XP? What, in short, is the point?

    All the above is practical of course. I know the actual point, that MS doesn't want you to do it and so won't support or license it. However, this 'do as I say or else' attitude is just ludicrous. There's a huge installed base of NT4 in the corporate world, a tiny installed base of W2K and absolutely zero base of XP. MS should support its paying customers.

    Cheers,
    Ian

  • by MORTAR_COMBAT! ( 589963 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @09:23AM (#3841022)
    the only way microsoft will get people to stop using windows 2000 is to force all the hardware vendors to stop supporting and upgrading their windows 2000 drivers. i wonder if they can pull that off...
  • by dazdaz ( 77833 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @09:37AM (#3841124)
    I can see this move by Microsoft backfiring in a big way. With a tighter economy, in particular less revenue coming into a company, the emphasis is on cost cutting, not increased expenditure. It's clear Microsoft has set the path for higher operating costs this will annoy people from the CFO's who are pulling back the reins and saying, whoa there boy to the techies who are content and in some cases still doubtful over Windows XP's performance and stability.

    This could be a golden decision for Linux.
  • by Zeinfeld ( 263942 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @09:50AM (#3841229) Homepage
    The article is pretty confused. I seriously doubt that Microsoft is nixing installation of W2K server since XP does not support any of the server stuff - including Active Directory and Kerberos domain controller.

    That said W2K Workstation and XP Pro are similar enough that just as a lot of folk see no advantage to upgrading, there is not a lot of downside to upgrading. If you want to have a homogenous IT shop in which everyone has exactly the same setup then you will be installing from a pre-mastered disk image anyway.

    The slashdot blathering against XP from people who admit they have never used it is simple ignorance. The sae people can be found lambasting Microsoft for unreliable software and then proudly proclaiming that they never upgraded from Win95. Well Duuuuhhh!!!!

    XP is a big improvement over w2k in a few areas. The big one being that you can run Win98 software on a system with an NT kernel. The nice to have feature is that my Vaio now reboots in 30 seconds instead of taking 4 minutes.

    I think that the real reason that so many of the slashdot crowd are so anti-XP is that they are scared of it. It takes several releases for any O/S to become reliable. In the early days of Linux the main attraction was that it was more reliable than several of the commercial O/S. When Solaris 2 first came out it was a byword for flaky, people were running SunOs for reliability.

  • Spooky prediction (Score:5, Interesting)

    by Rogerborg ( 306625 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @09:50AM (#3841230) Homepage
    1. Dozens of posts saying "This will be the straw that finally makes Linux on the desktop a reality!"
    2. Angry anecdotes from a few IT guys saying that they are pushing their employers to consider ditching Microsoft.
    3. In the real world, the guys who actually make the decisions are suffering from fear, incompetence, laziness, tardiness or just good old fashioned inertia.
    4. Absolutely nothing changes other than that Microsoft gets a tighter choke hold on their customers.

    Seriously. Anyone still buying Microsoft today is doing so because they have to, because they're counting down the years until retirement and don't want to take a risk (nobody ever got sacked for buying Microsoft), or because they really are just too dumb to see that if they don't bail out before Palladium arrives, they'll never get out. I pity those people, but I don't expect any of them to suffer an attack of clue in the near future.

  • by BitMan ( 15055 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @09:52AM (#3841248)

    According to the Microsoft MCSE FAQ [microsoft.com], they are planning to retire the MCSE 2000 concurrently with the retirement of MSCE XP/.NET and not before.

    "MCSEs on Windows 2000 will not be required to pass Windows XP Professional/.NET Enterprise Server exams to retain certification. The Windows 2000 exams and the Windows XP/.NET Enterprise Server exams of the MCSE certification are expected to remain available concurrently. Retirement schedules for all exams are affected by a number of factors, including the needs of the industry and release of the next version of the Windows operating system (code-named "Blackcomb")."

    This makes sense because they haven't even gotten some of their own study materials out for MCSA 2000 until recently, let alone MCSA/MCSE XP/.NET exams are still being introduced. God I hope so, I've just started investing into a MCSA cert (which I hope to have this month) that I plan to upgrade to a full MCSE within a month after that.

    But you never know when a vendor moves to "push product." And that's the #1 motivation behind for-profit vendor certifications.

  • chaos theory (Score:4, Interesting)

    by kipple ( 244681 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @09:56AM (#3841272) Journal
    mine it's more than "I don't like it and don't even want to try it". I had enough bad times trying to make all our win2k work together and I was lucky because I didn't have to tweak EVERY SINGLE installation of win2k I did.
    I know that I can manage something by using active directory to tweak at a registry-level every machine that logs into the domain, BUT
    - doing that requires a lot of time to plan, try, test and develop the tweaking
    - after the tweaking, basically all the xp machines will
    1. look
    2. be more ore less ...like regular win2k boxen. So why bother? win2k is more than enough.

    PLUS: office XP is REALLY bad. I mean, we have an application (SAP) that is CERTIFIED to give back some results as an .xls spreadsheet. Works perfectly in office2000. Doesn't work AT ALL in office XP. Office XP is not fully compatible with office 2000.

    So why bother, again? I'm more than happy with win2k. I don't have time, resource AND enough interest to TRY to LEARN windows XP, not even for myself. I've had enough of that crap, and I realized that if I had spent that same much time that I've wasted on microsoft product on Linux instead, we all in our company would have linux desktops with openoffice working smoothly. And I wouldn't be writing those angry slashdot posts :)

  • by mccalli ( 323026 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @10:00AM (#3841294) Homepage
    Bah. We should have stayed on those green-screen thingies with nice reliable mainframes behind them

    Well now, funnily enough most of what I do for this organsation is done on an XTerm set as either amber-screen (dev) or green-screen (prod), and involves linking backend Unisys databases to Sybase databases with Perl scripts.

    Low tech. enough? :-)

    All I really need is for someone to emulate ghosting from non-responsive screens, and I can properly recreate that 1970s look. If it doesn't whirr, scroll the screen with thousands of pointless log lines or simply go beep for no real reason, it just isn't worth programming for.

    Cheers,
    Ian

  • Predictable... (Score:3, Interesting)

    by JaredOfEuropa ( 526365 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @10:02AM (#3841316) Journal
    Someone said that Windows 2K and Windows XP are "Microsoft killers". They have finally come up with an operating system that works reasonably well. Sure, these latest Windows flavors have their problems, but nothing that would make one want to upgrade.

    And that is the nub. In the past, people snapped the latest Windows version like they were hotcakes, in hopes that this would finally be the Windows version that would solve all their problems. This is Microsofts problem: not the fact that there is something in XP that people would want, but the fact that Win2K is already doing a fine job.

    The only reason people will buy newer versions of Windows would be Microsoft forcing them to. Witness this move, and the recent "upgrade or pay triple for your licenses" extortion.
  • trusting XP (Score:3, Interesting)

    by kipple ( 244681 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @10:23AM (#3841476) Journal
    I don't trust XP because I'm not confident on what it's going to do, what is it doing, and HOW. Win2k is pretty settled down - with the microsoft's kb, websites, tweaks and some experience with microsoft operating systems you know more or less what's happening inside the machine. Plus, win2k has been around for enough time to let people develop some useful applications that runs on it.

    Now, XP has a fairly new approach to the concept of "operating system"; users, even users who wants to, have little chances to understand what's happening. I'm not talking about those "errors" that can be fixed by XP itself - I'm talking about strange behaviors that let the system usable, sure, but MAY give complications later on.
    IMHO, XP it's an OS that doesn't leave enough free space to the user to be considered "affordable" for business use.

    Let me explain in another way: I have a quite big amount of machines and users under my Power. With such a quantity of machines, troubles are going to arise much more often than if I had only a couple of dUh-SERS. It's statistic: the more users you have, the more stupid problems that you almost never encountered before are going to arise.

    Now, with XP the amount of time you have to spend to "hack" around and inside it to learn where the problem was and how to avoid it, well, it's just not affordable, given the amount of machines I have in my Kingdom. Unless I make my company hire other IT guys, either very well trained (and expensive) or I'd have to train them - and still waste part of my precious time, that I could use in better ways, say, reading their mail.

    Using microsoft OS at work is not just like at home when you can click the 'ok' button and forget about what the problem was. in a business you NEED to know why the error did arise, and how to avoid it, and probably how not to make it happen again on another machine - unless you want to go and check each and every machine you have in your business and fix that thing before the CEO hits it. It's a matter of experience (ah! pun): if a window box is configured perfectly, it's not going to give you troubles at all. If you leave even some stupid thing back, well, sooner or later you'll have to spend a great bunch of time fixing it - and trying to understand where the problem is.

    Dunno if I made myself clear about that, let me know. The topic here is much more a matter of "feelings": windows's behavior is not scientific, sometimes cannot be predicted.
  • by A_Non_Moose ( 413034 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @10:29AM (#3841557) Homepage Journal
    Anyone else taking care of a network of more than a couple dozen PCs does think like me?

    Bingo.

    I run a GIS lab, and quite frankly most of the apps are geared for NT and are just now being moved to Win2k.

    Yeah, they say it *should* work (esri?) but don't gurantee it. You see there is something about GIS that requires you be able to run for days and in some cases bend to the OS of choice to gurantee stability. Strangly enuf, moved from Solaris to NT before I got here and now *thinking* about 2000.

    See, the point is: Microsoft is killing off its own profit (potential/actual/otherwise) because most of us Sys Admin types are just now warming to the use of 2000. ( I know I am just now getting there )

    I offer myself and another admin as an example:
    I've got a few dozen boxes to maintain and the other admin (with a pfy) has 2 labs with a few more than me.

    Ok, I'm testing, re-creating a SAMBA PDC before I even touch my server and anything beyond 2 trial boxes (NT to 2k migration).
    Issues: Need to upgrade SAMBA (a given) or just perform a couple of manual steps (for each account, ugh) to get win2k to connect to my PDC.
    Upgrade goes smoothly, everyone is happy...if something bombs out or goes wrong, I have 2 "outs" at the least.

    The other admin went from 98 to XP directly...migrated over the weekend, ran into massive compatability issue, network issue, viral infection issues (new or existing is not clear... prolly both from the users POV) main file server crashed to boot (or not to boot, in this case) and guess what? No backup, naturally.

    Instead of rolling back to "the way it was", well, he pressed on and is still having problems.
    I wonder why.

    I'd asked his co-hort/pfy if they'd considerd moving back until things could be tested further.

    Nope.

    GAH....

    I'd never thought I'd repeat/rephrase this from the military (related to drugs/XP), but;
    Not on My Machines,
    Not on My Network,
    Not on MY WATCH!

    .
  • by platypus ( 18156 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @10:41AM (#3841686) Homepage
    One critical problem with mandatory upgrades is that Microsoft will be imposing risk on its customers.

    Indeed. And there's another point to that.
    I'm sure MS would *love* to get to a rental scheme. But, and this is a very big but, where I come from, and I assume it's that way in most contries, rental is a completely different form of contract than buying a license.

    From the law of my country it's quite clear that under a rental scheme, MS would be in big trouble, because they had to guarantee the functionality of the item in question. Just like you could cut on your rental fee of your appartment if e.g. the heating is out of order, the same could happen to microsoft.
    Also, IIRC, warranty issues would arise when a virus hits or stuff.
    Oh, and it's _not_ up to MS to decide when a contract constitutes rental, so they may well get into that situation just because a judge looks at their license and decides it is rental. Take for instance mandatory upgrades (really mandatory, not just upgrades driven by discounts).
  • by Lumpy ( 12016 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @10:47AM (#3841776) Homepage
    Ok I've got karma to burn...

    Bullshit... NT4.0 and Office 97 can carry any business today and for the next 5-10 years. You dont need office 2000 or XP to make money, or make more money, or any of the other lies MCSE's and Microsoft shovel's down everyone's throats.

    Dont get me wrong, I HATE NT4.0, it is the bane of my existance (Although I still support a fleet of NT3.5 servers...I have to as the pripetary(SP) software/hardware WILL NOT RUN ON 4.0 or higher) and I do love all my 2000 desktops compared to the NT4 destops I used to have here.

    Microsoft started Dying back in 1997.. they have yet to release anything that is needed by businesses cince then... and you can run a very sucessful business with all 1997 software/hardware without suffering from any ill effects if your sysadmins and netadmins + IT/IS staff are competent (read as NON MCSE's)
  • by Archie Steel ( 539670 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @12:16PM (#3842613)
    In an (modest) effort to counter MS's Palladium coup, I've started convincing those around me who won't switch to Linux to stick to Windows 2000. I'm actually having a rather easy time doing this (much easier than converting Windows users to Linux, unfortunately): most people who have Windows 2000 are happy with it and don't see much incentive to move on, especially if you replace their icons with WinXP-like clones (ah, the power of icons...). The motto seems to be: "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" (something I must keep repeating myself every time I feel the urge to upgrade my Linux boxen).

    I keep thinking this should be bigger though: we should all put MS in a tight spot and hail Win2k as their best offering so far...they can't say it sucks (after all it only came out, what, three years ago?), but at the same time their business plans hinge on the fact that people will naturally upgrade OS every two years or so. So we need to start a movement: I'd call it the Great Microsoft OS Freeze...basically, tell people to stick with their OS if it works (Win98 or Win2k) if they won't switch to Linux, *BSD or OS X...I think you'll find a lot of receptive ears...
  • by firewood ( 41230 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @01:32PM (#3843194)
    to get panicked MS sys-admins (who won't or can't upgrade to XP or linux) to stock up on some extra W2K licenses over the next couple quarters. This will boost MS's cash revenues to offset a suddenly more subtle use of "commonly accepted accounting practices" which make the earnings appear any way they want.
  • Re:Spooky prediction (Score:3, Interesting)

    by Rogerborg ( 306625 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @02:17PM (#3843569) Homepage
    • I suppose that in your imaginary world everyone who uses MS products is stupid, lazy, corrupt, or incompetent.

    I was very careful to say "buying Microsoft today"

    .
    • Windows 2000/XP are damn good server and desktop environments

    Win2K is, I use it myself. I didn't pay for it, but I'll do that when I get the refund for the Win98SE installation that I was forced to buy on my laptop. WinXP Pro is Win2K with a respun GUI, a vile licensing scheme, and an auto-update mechanism that's more of a liability than a benefit in a business context.

    • most companies that use them have most likely reviewed the alternatives and found them wanting.

    As we're just talking probabilities, I'll conjecture that most companies that use them have also ignored the mid term licensing and ownership issues, and the long term costs of being locked in to a proprietary solution, with every increasing costs to leave.

    • Grow up. Insulting, patronizing responses like this one

    Which one? Mine or yours?

    Take a flying leap into a bath of bat shit. I'm sick and tired of explaining to morons why the product isn't the same as the executable. The reason why I said "Microsoft today" is because anyone in a business context who doesn't have an exit strategy planned now is going to be pushed for time to get out before Palladium bites. And when that happens, they'll be paying to rent access to their own hardware and data.

    As I said, I pity you, but I won't shed a tear when you have to make the decision to pay to stay with Microsoft or pay more to leave. I suspect you'll just keep smiling and telling your employer to hand over the cash, because to do otherwise would demonstrate what a chump you were.

  • Re:Spooky prediction (Score:3, Interesting)

    by alienmole ( 15522 ) on Monday July 08, 2002 @04:26PM (#3844553)
    I agree with most of your sentiments - as you say in your point 4, the truth is that this announcement doesn't change much. So Microsoft doesn't want to push any more Win2K Pro into the channel, for obvious reasons. But this doesn't really affect anyone's strategy, unless they were asleep at the switch.

    I've already provided my clients with a response to this latest news, which amounts to "continue upgrades to Win2K as already planned, avoid XP and .NET until further notice, continue working towards open solutions (e.g. Java application servers), and don't panic or get excited."

    I don't have to twist any arms, and nothing really changes. No-one's rushing to upgrade to XP, but similarly, no-one's rushing to move to non-Windows desktops, nor are they likely to in the forseeable future.

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