Aerie Reviving Ricochet Network 70
lemmett writes: "It looks like Denver's Aerie Networks is stepping up to the plate and trying to make money with the Ricochet network. We'll see if their new business plan works any better than Metricom's did. From the article: 'Reducing both network and marketing costs and acquiring hundreds of millions of dollars in assets for a song means Aerie can offer cheaper service, which it plans to sell for $39 to $49 a month, according to Aaronson. If Metricom's strategy was to focus on high-end mobile users, Aerie's will be to provide commodity broadband to the many places DSL and cable modems don't tread.'"
Perhaps this is because I'm not a business grad... (Score:1)
Re:Perhaps this is because I'm not a business grad (Score:3, Interesting)
the company that went bust did so because of the enormous cost of settin the network up in the first place. Theese guys now have the same network without the billion dollar debt associated with setting it up.
It seems to be a common trend now, whoever sets up a large network like this goes bankrupt and whoever comes in behind em and takes over the fiber can clean up.
Re:Perhaps this is because I'm not a business grad (Score:1, Interesting)
Re:Perhaps this is because I'm not a business grad (Score:2)
-Don
Re:Perhaps this is because I'm not a business grad (Score:1)
Do you mean "who loses that money?" The people who lent Ricochet money in the first place--banks, perhaps equipment vendors.
$1B doesn't appear from nowhere?
If you're asking here where the debt came from, probably from the construction of the network, and from rent, advertising, setting up and running the service when there were even fewer customers than the 50K or so they had when they closed business ... that sort of thing.
Happened with railroads, too. (Score:2)
-russ
Re:Perhaps this is because I'm not a business grad (Score:3, Informative)
Not necessarily - if the previous guy went bust financing the build-out, which you then inherit for a song, then you are in a better position than they were
Also, by lowering the price point, they can sell more units. If you sell to three people for $40/month where the previous guys only sold to one person at $75/month, you're making more money. And the $30-$40 price point is the sweet spot for high-speed Internet access, as shown by cable.
Which leads to the real question - what's the bandwidth on this, and how does it scale as you add users? Since it's 7 nodes per square mile, presumably that's all the density you need to scale to, but I didn't catch the bandwidth in the article... it said 128 Kbps minimum, but didn't say what it scaled up to...
Re:Perhaps this is because I'm not a business grad (Score:1)
Re:Perhaps this is because I'm not a business grad (Score:2)
What I want to know is: when can I have my service back!?
Re:Perhaps this is because I'm not a business grad (Score:1)
The 'previous guys' had accrued a billion dollars of debt building the infrastructure to provide the service. They had to charge the higher price in order to have any hope of becoming profitable eventually.
Aerie has acquired none of that debt -- they got the entire network for a tiny fraction of what it cost to build it. So they can operate it at a lower cost (btw, this was what AT&T tried to do with @home).
This looks promising. (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:This looks promising. (Score:2, Insightful)
wireless broadband as a cable/xDSL replacement (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:wireless broadband as a cable/xDSL replacement (Score:2)
Here in SoCal there ARE a number of neighborhoods "stranded" without DSL, some are high income, some aren't. Mostly PacBell gives you the "we haven't received enough requests to deploy a DSL switch in that area." OR "The CO in that area doesn't have the ability to deploy a DSL switch" answers. Then if you call(ed) Covad/Verizon/??? or any of the other DSL competitors, you received yet another run around.
Aerie Networks will ONLY be able to make this work if they can get most of Ricochets customers back (i was a HUGE Ricochet fan) and due to the fact that they bought Metricom's assets for around 8 cents/dollar (good for them).
"To avoid the $4 to $10 fees Metricom paid on each pole-top transmitter, Aerie is negotiating with municipalities to exchange free service for pole space. This represents major potential savings: 10,300 radios sit on the utility poles of Los Angeles alone, according to Aaronson"
great plan, but in El Lay, where i live, we already have a ton of wireless in the municipal infrastructre (most city workers have city bought/paid for cell phones), i hope our retarded City Council goes for it, but we have BIG budget problems and traditionally they'd rather "take the money and run"...
However, many future deployments of NEW capacity are still likely going to cost Aerie the same that they cost Metricom, and the user h/w (the Merlin and AirCard 300/400) is still fairly expensive...
so, it sounds like they can revive the old Metricom network (though i've heard number of the pole top local transmitters have, UM, disappeared under strange circumstances)...
BUT, will they be able to deploy additional capacity fast enough to compete with other wireless technologies?
as
there have already been articles about some people assembing 802.11B networks in remote/rural areas and intentionally using "edge bleed" to connect their wireless networks into hybrid WANs ("Build Your Own Local Wireless ISP/VoIP Phone Company")....as wireless bridges become cheaper and faster, is Ricochet going to retain its appeal??...Metricom always pitched it at "IBM ad" mobile workers...who is Aerie going to make its "key customer"...
Re:wireless broadband as a cable/xDSL replacement (Score:1)
Sure It looks promsing (Score:1)
The funny thing is, whowever build the infusturce (SP) will probably ending up bankrupt (which is exactly what is happening right now, omnisky just filed chpater 11), companies later on might very well benfient from those fallen companies.
I wish I can have affordable, high speed wireless access here in Canada. 20 years perhaps...
Re:Sure It looks promsing (Score:2)
Expect to see the new Ricochet aim to place themselves on the telecom offerings list as an alternative to cable modems and DSL in terms of price with the slightly lower bandwidth being offset by the fact that you can drive around with your connection still working
Re:Sure It looks promsing (Score:1)
I doubt anyone is gonna pay 100+ for this but that's probably how much you need in order to break even.
look what's going on here with the DSL and @home filing for ch11, it cost way too much to get profit and no one would pay for it if it's too expensive.
Re:Sure It looks promsing (Score:2)
The advantage of a wireless last-mile is that you can eliminate a lot of the costs involved in providing broadband to users. You do not need to have lots of expensive employees driving around in their little trucks to try to get a wire run into some idiots living room over 90 year old internal wiring. In the bay area you could walk into Fry's, buy a Ricochet modem or PCMCIA card and have it activated by the time you left the parking lot. The Ricochet technology was also rather sophisticated when it came to cell hand-off and bandwidth usage, so Airie can also achieve closer to the theoretical optimum when it comes to making sure that there is enough upstream bandwidth for all of its users.
The only reason the high-bandwidth Ricochet service cost as much as it did was that users were forced to help pay off the debt burden incurred by metricom when it got too ambitious and tried to build a bigger network than it could effectively run. Metricom was also not interested in licensing the back-end equipment to anyone else; they wanted to own all of the pipes but the risk of this sort of strategy is that you do not have anyone else to share the risk with if things do not work out...needless to say, things did not work out according to the plan
How much longer... (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:How much longer... (Score:1)
internetnews.com [internetnews.com]
news.cnet.com [cnet.com]
allnetdevices.com [allnetdevices.com]
Thanks VCs (Score:2, Interesting)
I'm not surprised to see something like this happen. It seemed there was all kinds of venture capital dollars in the 90's, some of it was bound to be put to something durable, like a network like this one.
A few people just had to take a bath on it. It wasn't a bad idea, it just couldn't work the first time around. At under $50 though, it should do really well.
I wonder if they're going to support the old modems?
Re:Thanks VCs (Score:1)
From the article:
including modems that currently search in vain for service.
Speed versus price considerations (Score:5, Insightful)
That said, the monthly $39-$49 cost is comparable to current options, yet the speed is only stated to be 128 kbps (though actual throughput may be higher). If potential customers have a choice between Ricochet and cable or DSL, most would choose one of the latter alternatives because of the speed.
While 128 kbps is certainly better than a modem, the real test of this company's future is whether it can provide service in markets which are not served by cable or DSL. Otherwise, I am not sure how large a market share it could garner.
If you'd read the article... (Score:2)
But can they maintain or expand? (Score:5, Insightful)
But the question is: what about expansion? They can't expand, because that would mean going back to Metricom's business model (and the commensurate debt). When people demand more coverage or the spectrum becomes saturared, the answer's going to have to be: hey, we got this network used, live with it -- since I doubt at $50/month they'll make enough for any major improvements. Even if they don't expand, and their customer base remains small enough to offer acceptable service, will Aerie make enough money to replace failing equipment or renegotiate leases on their antenna space?
The answer is: probably not. Unless wireless truly is as much of a "niche market" as the pundits say, it would be very, very easy for Aerie to get killed by any sort of success. It's a damned-if-you-do, damned-if-you-don't situation, since it's bad for Aerie if nobody signs up, and it's bad if lots of people sign up, too. Doesn't sound like any sort of long-term solution to me.
But I still wish it were in my neighborhood...
Eschatfische.
Re:But can they maintain or expand? (Score:2)
Risk / Profitability of expansion (Score:1)
The lack of debt certainly helps (Score:3, Insightful)
In other words, hardware to do further expansion should be cheaper than it was for Ricochet.
These folks will probably still be a bit skeptical, as the previous business failed, but on the other hand have the two merits that at least the technology has been shown to be viable, and the business seems credible enough that something did emerge from the ashes.
Yes. (Score:2)
Expansion is only an issue if you're having to do it alone- they're planning on having parties with similar interests as theirs but not the resources/technical knowhow to help them do the expansion.
Conspiracy Theorists must be happy... (Score:2, Interesting)
"Hey, we could make a bundle if we didn't have to pay to build the infrastructure!"
"Ok, instead of playing politics, let's all pool some money together, convince a bunch of investors it will work, get 10x the money we put in, build it, then go broke, and take the loss as a write off."
"Great! Then we'll buy it out of Bankrupcty for less than we put in the first place! It's win-win!"
Re:Conspiracy Theorists must be happy... (Score:2)
Yep, I can see that. But, how is this any different from 30-50 politicians convincing the government to finance the infrastructure? Well, for one, if the government had built it, all the taxpayers would have gotten screwed. This way, only people who participated in the market got screwed. And, IMHO this is fair because people participated by choice, knowing there was a risk of getting screwed (and also a chance of making out like bandits along with the rest of them).
So, what it all comes down to is that the market is similar to the government starting a lottery to fund something, except that the market taxes people in a progressive manner. By progressive I mean that the wealthy tend to pay a greater share of the tax. So, and this will be hard for many hardcore Leftists to swallow, the capitalist system is more socially responsable than the socialist sytem, at least in this regard.
Re:Conspiracy Theorists must be happy... (Score:1)
However, I do believe that the first company most likely thought they were actually going to be profitable-- not just be the fall guy so someone else could have the infrastructure for free.
Re:Conspiracy Theorists must be happy... (Score:2)
-------
NEW YORK, November 21, 2001 - WINSTAR COMMUNICATIONS, INC. today announced that it intends to file a motion with the Bankruptcy Court in the District of Delaware seeking to establish procedures for an auction of the company's assets in early December 2001. As the company announced in August, Winstar has been working toward a potential sale of or investment in the company to speed its exit from Chapter 11.
In addition, William J. Rouhana Jr., Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Nathan Kantor, President and Chief Operating Officer have resigned in order to be in a position to submit a bid for Winstar as part of the auction process.
-------
That's right, the bozos that ran the company into the ground and $2 billion of debt quit their jobs so they could buy the assets on the cheap. So much for conspiracy theories.
BTW Winstar == Fixed Wireless last mile
hmm, its worth it if... (Score:2, Interesting)
Sign me up (Score:2, Insightful)
1. ATT just gave everyone one more reason to hate them. Nobody like the cable companies. Would I trade speed for convenience? Yes, at the speeds they have.
2. DSL still isn't an option for me. I live on the peninsula south of SF, but distance and really bad line noise make DSL impractical.
3. Cost saving. By renogiating pole-costs for free service to cities, Aerie will save money; guarantee modem maunfacturers/distributors a steady market; and build mindshare.
4. Changed the image. City employees who like it (assuming the service is as good as it was) will be walking ads. They may get their own service off the clock. Also, their friends/neighbors may be convinced this is a good thing. Nothing like seeing a new option in operation to show people that it really works and they are not taking a risk. This is important to reach a broad popular base. It would also help to shake the stupid Austin Powers-esque / Mobile spy image in Metricom's old ads. Do you really need to surf the web as your sports car cruises the tarmac to your jet?
Essentially, the service worked like a convenient fixed-wireless network for my friends. Boot up the laptop at home, at work, or over at someone else's house- not on the tilt-a-whirl.
Aerie should sell this as a non-intrusive way to get always on service for people who hate the telco/cable co. Sell it as a way to get net access at work without monitoring by your employer. Sell it to cities/governments/utilities as a redundant network for when the phone/cable service tanks. If I recall, the network was brought up in Manhattan to help with rescue efforts.
5. I hope they make a go fo it. I need the service and will pay those rates for it.
Aerie: charge whatever you want! (Score:3, Interesting)
I was a BIG fan of my Ricochet before they folded.
Did you know you can get 256k out of the Ricochet!?
That is right! If you have USB and big UART patch, you can get 256k in optimal conditions.
I would see 220-250kbps a LOT of the time.
Since the fell, I have been stuck using 802.11b.
There is starting to get *some* penetration in the market (mostly Starbucks) but 802.11 will not see the ubiquity that Ricochet saw.
That and the fact that 256k *with* ubiquity (in major cities) combined with 802.11 really make the two a killer combination.
So charge whatever you want! JUST GET IT WORKING AGAIN! I could seriously pay aroun $100 a month for this. Maybe more.
JUST GET IT WORKING!
Kevin
Re:Aerie: charge whatever you want! (Score:1)
Ricochet as a Broadband Alternative (Score:2, Interesting)
good (Score:1)
things I can replace (Score:1)
Re:things I can replace (Score:2)
I hope they make it sell (Score:2)
I beleive that the origional failure was that it wasnt sold in the right places to begin with. New york and Chicago would have been a better choice to sell than any city in california, the number of people is better per square mile and people in a big city would actually use it. (toronto comes to mind also, that would have been a great start city.)
Hopefully this time it will be marketed as a business and personal solution instead of the non-marketing mess they had last time.
Same Mistake Twice (Score:1)
Re:Same Mistake Twice (Score:1)
What will Kill Aerie (Score:2, Insightful)
I'm going to point to this [slashdot.org] +5 informative post I made before I jump in and flame on Aerie.
Now what the heck are you guys thinking? Cheaper my foot "which it plans to sell for $39 to $49 a month, according to Aaronson" This is the same price metricom had when they first introduced the ricochet service years ago. It was $20 for the ISP and $20 for the modem rental. Wheels in the sky keep turning backwards. (brain fart sorry) Following the link Michael provided I got to this paragraph, " To avoid the $4 to $10 fees Metricom paid on each pole-top transmitter, Aerie is negotiating with municipalities to exchange free service for pole space." This is nothing new, nothing new at all, Metricom had an entire department dedicated to just that purpose called the Right of Way department. When Ricochet was first rolled out in San Jose the same deal was made with the City of San Jose. I think we gave the city like 300 modems and free service in exchange for letting us use their poletops. Just about every city we ever made that deal with TURNED on us eventually. Wanna know something else? They kept the modems too, and continued to leech off of the service.
If Aerie really want's to make headway into the wireless ISP marketplace they need to do more than follow the obviously failed strategy employed by metricom. People will gladly let you put an unsightly pole on top of their house if it means free internet service. That was what metricom did in the beginning to create service area's. If there was a big gaping hole in the network somewhere, and somebody subscibed to the service and wasn't able to get it, metricom would either A. install a poletop, or B. install a wired access point (which was way cool cause it meant a T1 line coming to your house) If the 802.11 networks have proven [slashdot.org] anything, it's that a grassroots effort for wireless connectivity does work without having to get the city involved at all.
I wish Aerie the best of luck getting the ricochet network back to full operational status again, but if you don't learn from the past you're doomed to repeat it. Try and keep it down to $30@mo [mailto] if you're really serious about getting subscriptions. $39 to $49? Hell might as well say you're going to charge $40 to $50 a month. Sorry, it was just really insulting to see all this excitement over a one dollar change in price.
Re:What will Kill Aerie (Score:1)
This post perfectly illustrates the difference between insiders ant the company and clueless outsiders. The great thing about Slashdot is that we can have access to some of this insider info because people can post pseudo-anonymously.
It may not be "last mile" but it ain't much better (Score:1)
it requires a lot of infrastucture to make it work. You need even greater density thann you do with cell phones (about three times as much, IIRC). Even in the Bay Area there are tons of places you can get cell phone service where Ricochet service was flaky.
That makes it highly impractical for rural solutions -- heck, you'd have to have a tower located at each farmhouse, just about.
The value of the network will only be realized if 2.5/3G fails miserably, in which case, as a mobile substitue in dense metro areas, you might have a market.
But personally, I feel it's a branch of technology that eventually goes nowhere.
Why it won't work. (Score:1)
part the average net surfer. Most of the internet's content is
centered around text and html. Take this site for example.
I didn't come here to view fancy graphics or to download
anything large, I came here to read about what was going
on in the world and to contribute my two cent's worth.
Most of the more succesful sites on the net
(Amazon.com and Ebay come to mind) follow the
same formula this one does, first they use text to describe
the main points of interest and then they use gif images to
supplement that description. Finaly they use html and java
bring it all together and make it functional. All these aspects
of the net and the sites that rely on them are and will remain
easily accesable with a simple, low cost, dial-up modem. And
because of this the average consumer will not see the need
to spend 2 to 3 times as much of their money every month
for performance they won't use much anyway.