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The Economics of Free

Posted by kdawson on Tue Feb 26, 2008 01:30 AM
from the nada-zip-zilch dept.
Wired's editor-in-chief Chris Anderson is working on a new book, to be published next year, about the idea of "free" in the old and new economies. Wired is running a long excerpt from the book and some sidebars about the economics of giving away, e.g., CDs and directory assistance. Techdirt has a few quibbles about Anderson's ideas — mostly areas in which he may be shading the argument to sell more books — but mostly buys that the equations of economics continue to work when zeros are plugged in in judicious places.
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  • Well.. (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Creepy Crawler (680178) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @01:34AM (#22555646)
    Free, eh?

    Lets see what he says when his book ends up on Piratebay. He is giving away the book for free, right?

    • Re:Well.. (Score:4, Funny)

      by flyingsquid (813711) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @02:14AM (#22555824)
      I don't know about this whole getting stuff for free thing. I figure that if I just wait a while, then maybe the price will come down.
    • Lawrence Lessig has made his Free Culture book available for free [free-culture.cc]. Chris Anderson is not very credible unless he does the same with his book.
      • credible? (Score:5, Insightful)

        by enjahova (812395) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @10:32AM (#22558548) Homepage
        If you read the article, or even remotely follow the argument, he isn't saying that people should give things away, he is saying that there are new ways to profit in an environment where distribution is as good as free.

        He also wrote the book The Long Tail, which was a New York Times best seller. He made a lot of money from that, despite the fact that he wrote the book in public view and with public input on his blog thelongtail.com. In fact if you go to that blog right now you will see him discussing the monetary benefits of giving away books.

        I don't think it hurts his credibility that he sells the book, actually I think it helps him. Lawrence Lessig's book has a higher purpose of promoting free culture, while Chris Anderson's book is simply observing the changing state of economy. Mr. Anderson is already using the techniques he outlines by giving a long excerpt, and blogging about the contents of his book.
    • Re:Well.. (Score:5, Insightful)

      by PMBjornerud (947233) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @05:01AM (#22556476)

      Lets see what he says when his book ends up on Piratebay. He is giving away the book for free, right?
      Frankly, I don't expect him to care the slightest.

      He's not giving away the book for free, he's making money on a handy paper version that looks nice in a bookshelf and is easy to bring on the train. At the same time, he is strengthening the Chris Anderson brand.

      A good author will manage to get paid no matter how rampant piracy gets. JK Rowling sold a handwritten book for 1.95 million pounds.
    • Re:Well.. (Score:5, Informative)

      by jalefkowit (101585) <jasonNO@SPAMjasonlefkowitz.net> on Tuesday February 26 2008, @07:21AM (#22556954) Homepage

      He is giving away the book for free, right?

      Actually, yes: [mediapost.com]

      I have embarked on this project not just to sell a book but also to try to explore new models for books. We're going to try to make Free free in every way possible. The audiobook is going to be a free mp3 download. I am not going to promise what we will do, but these are things we are talking about. The e-book can be free. Again, the marginal cost of distributing that is zero. Price follows cost. Why should I charge for the book when it costs me nothing? People who do own the e-books tend to be influential early adopters, exactly who you should be giving the book to.

    • I run a couple of photo gallery websites (for free) which allow users to upload their pictures (for free) and print them through a partner printing service (for fee) of which I receive a percentage.

      I have yet another site that hosts some 20+ million pages that are all available for free, monetized by Google ads.

      Yet another site that I'm responsible for was built for free, because of their tremendous pagerank and my option to include my backlink in the site template, theoretically raising my pagerank (eventu
  • Too lazy to RTFL (link,) because I've already RTFDTA (dead-tree article.)

    The DTA mentions that you can get the dead-tree edition of the mag for free by going to www.wired.com/free [wired.com]. First 10,000 only, though, so better get crackin'!
  • Public Mindshare (Score:5, Interesting)

    by DTemp (1086779) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @02:12AM (#22555816)
    Just like the /. article today about Microsoft saying that several ad impressions work together to persuade a consumer to part with some of his money, this Wired article points to the same phenomena. Someone selling a product will spend money on marketing... he can buy ads on radio or TV or the web, he can get posters and go around stapling them to telephone poles, or he can give out freebies of his product so the potential purchaser can experience the product for himself. All of the above will work together to try to get consumers to buy. Just marketing...

    I really don't see the big statement he is trying to make.
    • tech advances (Score:3, Insightful)

      by Anonymous Coward
      you really don't get it? "I really don't see the big statement he is trying to make.". Tech advances get some good or service down to the ridiculously cheap to free level, so it, in fact, can be given away, quite literally. Our economies and societies are complex now, they change all the time, what used to cost tons can oftentimes be brought down in price in a fast fashion, "freeing" us up to spend money elsewhere, which garners more interest and research there, that in turn tends to drop prices, eventually
      • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

        giving something away does not equal free.

        as long as there is value in society, it will be offset by cost. you may be able to write off some cost, or make it so minimal that it is insignificant, but cost will always coincide with value...it will almost certainly always exist.

        his book should be called "offset value". free is worthless.
      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        I don't think that this idea is revolutionary: it's just capitalism. Companies have given away short films of and glossy photos of their products for years. It's called advertising. Nothing revolutionary about that.

        Revolutionary occurs when the authorities cannot enforce the market system at an acceptable cost. This is essentially what is happening with the online sharing of music. Musicians and music publishers can try to make a virtue of necessity, but they can no longer exercise any control over distribu
      • Free is the wrong word. The word you (and this author) are looking for is "cheap". That's it. It's not a new even a new application of an existing idea, let alone a genuinely new idea. Stuff gets cheap as technology progresses, and past a certain point, things are so cheap companies can afford to incorporate give-aways - whether their own stuff or someone else's - into their advertising. That's the entirety of this idea. The rest is fluff that reduces right back to the simple concept of 'cheap'.

        Nothin

    • Re:Public Mindshare (Score:5, Interesting)

      by TubeSteak (669689) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @03:57AM (#22556194) Journal
      I didn't bother reading past the first page.

      But until recently, practically everything "free" was really just the result of what economists would call a cross-subsidy: You'd get one thing free if you bought another, or you'd get a product free only if you paid for a service.

      Over the past decade, however, a different sort of free has emerged. The new model is based not on cross-subsidies -- the shifting of costs from one product to another -- but on the fact that the cost of products themselves is falling fast. It's as if the price of steel had dropped so close to zero that King Gillette could give away both razor and blade, and make his money on something else entirely. (Shaving cream?)
      First, he uses two definitions of a cross subsidy. With the 2nd definition being much broader than the first.
      Second, how the fuck is Gillette making money off shaving cream not a cross-subsidy?

      2 paragraphs later, he has this to say:

      Once a marketing gimmick, free has emerged as a full-fledged economy. Offering free music proved successful for Radiohead, Trent Reznor of Nine Inch Nails, and a swarm of other bands on MySpace that grasped the audience-building merits of zero. The fastest-growing parts of the gaming industry are ad-supported casual games online and free-to-try massively multiplayer online games. Virtually everything Google does is free to consumers, from Gmail to Picasa to GOOG-411.
      ::Sigh::
      Those are all cross-subsidies.
      Bands* are trying to drive sales of CDs, merchandise & concert tickets.
      Ad-supported gaming... the advertisers are subsidising it. My instincts say "not free"
      free-to-try MMOG. "to try" being the operative words. the "try" is subsidized full cost customers.
      Google... see ad-supported gaming. We pay for it by looking at advertising & hopefully making a purchase.

      If "free to consumers" is TFA's definition of free... I guess I have to disagree. Costs are being lowered & shifted around, but they are still there, someone is still paying and I'm still looking at advertisements.

      *NiN actually is a good example of free, they've literally given away the raw audiomixes for most of their Year Zero album.
      • ::Sigh:: Those are all cross-subsidies.

        Mod parent up.
        Open Source is another example of (dare I say it) not free. It takes labor to create and maintain. The difference is that, to some extent, the consumer is putting in the labor. The consumer becomes the vendor.

        In fact open source doesn't obliterate economic theory, it exemplifies it. Software exhibits economics of scale, the bigger you are the cheaper it is to produce. Traditional companies have to make significant investments to make a good product. Open source makes considerable invest

      • Very insightful, but Gillette making a profit off of shaving cream alone (and giving away razor/blades for free) doesn't smell like a cross-subsidy because you don't have to buy the shaving cream first to get the free stuff. I guess you could think of the razors as advertising for the shaving cream.

        As for the rest of the stuff... ad-supported MMOGs being the new wave of "free"? NetZero, AT&T, etc. did that crap to my parents with "free" ad-supported dial-up that always crashed full-screen games lik

      • NiN may be giving away the raw audiomixes for Year Zero, but that's in a format that 99% of customers don't want to dork around with. It generates some buzz from those who think it's neat, and is "free" to those very few who actually use it, but most just shell out the $18.99 for the CD anyway. Those who go the literal "free" route with Year Zero "pay" by creating buzz often, to a non-trivial degree, by using the raw tracks to remix into other material that raises more awareness; NiN is buying advertising b
  • by dorpus (636554) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @02:35AM (#22555894)
    Silicon Valley has and continues to derive the vast majority of its income from intellectual property protections for its software. I pointed this out on Techdirt, so the commenters there hemmed and hawed with their red herring arguments about how Microsoft does not make money from software written 14 years ago. Regardless, Microsoft (which is no longer a Silicon Valley firm, I know) would make no money today if XP and Vista were free. Intel would make no money if anybody could just copy Intel chips. If they were free, nobody would bother with Linux. Where are the linux billionaires? Nor would biotech companies make any money if anybody could just copy their inventions. Sun, AIX, etc. all made fortunes in their time from selling proprietary flavors of Unix. SAS and SPSS are the industry standards for statistical computing, and they are proprietary, intellectually protected, for-profit firms.
    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      Silicon Valley has and continues to derive the vast majority of its income from intellectual property protections for its software.

      Silicon Valley makes most of its money from hardware. [google.com] That was just a short list off the top of my head. Notice that they're all valued in the billions, 10's of billions, and 100's of billions.
    • by GWBasic (900357) <slashdotNO@SPAMandrewrondeau.com> on Tuesday February 26 2008, @03:44AM (#22556144) Homepage

      Silicon Valley has and continues to derive the vast majority of its income from intellectual property protections for its software. I pointed this out on Techdirt, so the commenters there hemmed and hawed with their red herring arguments about how Microsoft does not make money from software written 14 years ago. Regardless, Microsoft (which is no longer a Silicon Valley firm, I know) would make no money today if XP and Vista were free. Intel would make no money if anybody could just copy Intel chips. If they were free, nobody would bother with Linux. Where are the linux billionaires? Nor would biotech companies make any money if anybody could just copy their inventions. Sun, AIX, etc. all made fortunes in their time from selling proprietary flavors of Unix. SAS and SPSS are the industry standards for statistical computing, and they are proprietary, intellectually protected, for-profit firms.

      Basically, whoever is rich is someone who's smart enough to figure out how to get other people to perform labor for him. The pyramids were built without money, (as far as we know,) yet we would consider the pharaohs very rich.

      In a free economy, the rich person is whoever can figure out how to get the most people to labor his benefit. One becomes rich by organizing labor so that everyone benefits. The challenge is finding a motivation technique that can satisfy laborers more then money.

      • by Bottlemaster (449635) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @04:26AM (#22556324)
        The 18th century called; they want their economic theories back.
      • You're quite a few centuries out of date there. Value (being rich) is created by market values, and market values do not necessarily correspond to value. Quick example: you own something not valuable, and suddenly the value of it shoots up many times. Not a lot of labour has occurred, and you're suddenly a lot richer.
      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        In whatever "free" economy you wish to conjure, there are still going to be goods and services which are scarce (in the economics sense), and hence rationed, and hence have a non-zero price. Here are a few quick examples:
        • real estate
        • medical services (assuming that it's not performed by robots)
        • live artistic performances

        Furthermore, I can imagine a series of fabrication technologies, for example, that make mp3 players so cheap as to be essentially free. There's no imaginable (currently) technology whi

    • by Znork (31774) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @04:19AM (#22556284)
      Where are the linux billionaires?

      Spread all around the economy, ranging from Google to mom'n'pop shops. The linux billionaires are those who _use_ linux and save money. Coincidentally, the very same are often those who invest time back to solve their own problems, as the money they save far, far outweighs the money it'd cost to roll their own from scratch.

      The fact that someone is making money from monopoly protections does not mean that it's good for the economy as a whole. We could hand out monopoly rights for air, and you'd get a huge AirCo, developing amazing technology for measuring how much air each person was using and charging for it. They'd certainly make money, but we'd all be poorer by paying for a resources that would have been produced anyway.

      Linux, BSD, and all Free Software proves that software would be produced anyway.

      If anyone could just copy chips we'd get the same economy there. There are many 'open chip' projects around.

      The purpose of the economy isn't about 'making money'. The purpose of the free market economy is to maximize the creation of wealth by encouraging competition in overcharging sectors and constantly lowering the costs of production. When the cost of production reaches zero we've all won; we've got infinite wealth.
      • Spread all around the economy, ranging from Google to mom'n'pop shops. The linux billionaires are those who _use_ linux and save money. Coincidentally, the very same are often those who invest time back to solve their own problems, as the money they save far, far outweighs the money it'd cost to roll their own from scratch.

        Do they really save billions of dollars? Does every company have to become a Linux specialist to "invest time back to solve their own problems"? Or were you going to argue that "that's
      • The purpose of the economy isn't about 'making money'. The purpose of the free market economy is to maximize the creation of wealth by encouraging competition in overcharging sectors and constantly lowering the costs of production

        That, and to distribute scarce goods efficently (as in letting the consumer decide which scarce products he wants/needs the most).

        One thing that is often ignored in economics is the fact that in a free market, the price of the product has more to do with the cost to produce it than it has to do with the value of the product itself. As long as there is healthy competition (something needed for a free market to function) and the consumer are informed (another needed thing), the producers will never be able t

    • Silicon Valley has and continues to derive the vast majority of its income from intellectual property protections for its software.

      It could be true. Do you have numbers backing up that claim, or are you just assuming it must be true because that is how your world looks like?

      Regardless, Microsoft (which is no longer a Silicon Valley firm, I know) would make no money today if XP and Vista were free.

      I believe Microsoft Office would continue to sell well even if XP and Vista were free. I also believe that the vast majority of businesses and many home users would pay for a subscription to "Windows Update", even if the underlying operating system is free.

      Intel would make no money if anybody could just copy Intel chips.

      You mean, if anyone had a billion dollar fab in their backyard? Technically true, as you can interfer any

    • Intel would make no money if anybody could just copy Intel chips.

      The only academic research I know of that has been done into this came to the conclusion that patents made little difference to semiconductor R & D: the main incentive was to get products out before the competition.

      Like a lot of pro-patent arguments, your turns out to be an unfounded assertion.

      Where are the linux billionaires?

      That is a red herring. It does not matter how much money people make, as long as the products are developed. The ex

    • To be asking this on /. is obviously going to be a karma burn, but why would you ever measure the worth of a product by how much money was made from it?
      • why would you ever measure the worth of a product by how much money was made from it?

        Because, as a rule, people don't mind paying for something they perceive to be worth the expenditure of money. You can use any product you want; cars, movies, books, knives, all are measured both in number of units sold as well as how much money was generated by their puchases. Statistics are kept on the best selling products as well as the most profitable products. One can use those statistics to show that product

  • I love my iPhone, but it did'nt come for free. In fact it cost alot. iTunes is free but you have to have a computer to run it. To get my phone unlocked so it would work in Australia cost money. But I still prefere it over a free equally as good phone on a big contract. Alot of things that are 'free' actually cost you money in the long run. I think in the near future there will be an anti free backlash of people paying the big sum up front and foregoing all the greif of continuing cost. I can also see certa
  • Free = marketing. Just like you give away free commercials - you pay a million dollar for making a good commercial, another million to air it, but you do not charge your potential costumers any money. They get to enjoy the commercial for free. Wohooo.
    When I come to /. , I get to enjoy content. Because this content is delivered to me assuming a certain CPM value, which makes having a site like /. profitable. But thing is, end of the day, the economics of "free" is just the market of marketing and advertise
    • To remind you all, advertising is not where the money is at. NewEgg, priceline, travelocity, amazon , each make more than x4 the money facebook/myspace digg/youtube/ or any large advertising space makes.

      Yeah, you're right. GOOG [yahoo.com] isn't worth anything anymore and doesn't make any money.
      • GOOG is an advertising platform, not just advertising space. The entire market of internet advertising (70%+ ?) flows through google's pipes. The revenue of the entire internet advertising market is smaller than HP's revenue.
  • Nothing new (Score:5, Insightful)

    by clarkkent09 (1104833) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @02:40AM (#22555928)
    It all boils down to:

    - give some X for free so they buy more X later
    - give X for free and sell supplies for X
    - give X for free and sell advertising on X

    All done for many years by such a diverse group as drug dealers, razor manufacturers and magazine publishers. There is not a single example in the article that doesn't fall into one of those three categories.

    It may be true that the Internet is a making that kind of marketing much easier and more common, and it may be an interesting subject for a book. However his approach is needlessly sensationalist: "$0.00 is the future of business", "free changes everything", "freeconomics" etc. It's worth remembering that the same laws of economics (and laws of nature) still apply as they always have. A business can only survive if it sells its products for more money than they cost to produce. The rest is just marketing tactics.
    • Or, like Google, use revenue from one aspect of your activities to finance giving away all of your other stuff for free.
    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      A business can only survive if it sells its products for more money than they cost to produce.

      wrong. A business can only survive if it makes more money than their products cost to produce. It is not necessary to make the money selling the products. The point is that it isn't even feasible to sell products if they can be made extremely cheap, because people don't like using their credit card for 1 cent. But since you can reach a huge public with a product that cheap, you can find other way to make money, based on reputation/ mindshare / attention or however you want to call it.

      Is this new? Maybe

    • How about:
      1. Create X that you and some other people need.
      2. Make X freely available.
      3. Watch people helping to make X better do what you and some other people need.
      • by coppro (1143801) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @01:46AM (#22555700)
        Well, I started using Linux a while back, and now I'm addicted... I don't want to use anything else ever again... every time there's a new kernel, I must have it... a thousand curses on Linus, who has enslaved me to his operating system... I have learned so much since I started, that I am no longer ignorant - Linux isn't free - it costs you your bliss.

        The sheer elation that you get from the freedom provided is definitely not worth the ignorance lost. So remember folks, don't use free stuff because you might learn something, and that would be terrible.
        • Re: (Score:2, Funny)

          by Anonymous Coward

          don't use free stuff because you might learn something, and that would be terrible.
          The contents of your memory is finite.

          The amount of knowledge in the world is essentially infinite.

          It's best to stop trying to learn everything after you figure out that Grimace is the big purple dude.

        • by kklein (900361) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @04:02AM (#22556214)

          Yeah, see... Most people don't use computers to learn more about them any more than they (sorry in advance) drive cars to learn about them. They do both to solve problems in their lives. Linux solves basically none of my problems and meets none of my requirements of a computer.

          I respect playing with things to learn. I play with Linux, too. But I work with OSX and Windows.

          You're not better than people who don't care to learn about computers; you just have different interests. I know a lot about tuning 50cc scooters to go way faster than they should (and have, unfortunately, the 30-day suspension on my license to prove it). But I don't denigrate people who just want to hop on one and go to the store and back. They're not dumb or lazy; they just don't care.

          So, while I'm glad you enjoy editing .conf files, I encourage you to explore the possibility that people who don't just... don't.

          • You knowledge of scooters mean you can do your "work" (moving from point A to point B) faster than I can. Similarly, someone knowing a computer well can do his work with the computer faster than someone who don't.

            I have spend years playing with Emacs, and as a result, I can do stuff in seconds that others spends hours on with lesser tools. Seconds compared to hours sounds like a great win, but only if you ignore the years mentioned earlier in the sentence.

            Basically, learning your tools does wonders for pr
          • Re:Free as in beer? (Score:5, Interesting)

            by Flambergius (55153) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @05:37AM (#22556596)
            You're not better than people who don't care to learn about computers; you just have different interests.

            This statement needs a bit of clarification before I can argue with it. As it would be too slow to ask for clarification I'm going to assume the following:
              - stuff the people don't care to learn is stuff like intermediate and advanced levels of configuration, programming, CLI and the like, but also set theory, theory of data, theory of communication etc.
              - the better you are referring to is not ethical, but mainly economical, societal and utilitarian.

            First off, I would want to agree with you that people do need to make decisions about what to learn. Even though you will spread that learning throughout your whole life there's just too much stuff to know. However, it a dangerous self-deception to think that you can ignore computers and not have negative consequences to yourself in terms of your economic prospects, your fitness to society and your personal happiness.

            It is really hard say what level of knowledge with computer should be considered a citizen skill(*), but it is more than basic OS usage and knowledge of specific applications. I think people should be able to command their computers. To this logic and set theory are most important, although any specific formalism unimportant and those used by experts of the particular fields are probably counterproductive. A working knowledge of a general command language is probably a must, although you may be able to get by with GUIs. A general command language is of course also a programming language, but don't let that fool you. Programming (i.e. building computational systems) isn't part of the operational ability to command a computer.

            For better or worse, computer skills aren't just another technical skill that might be fun to have. Computers are the foundations of our current and future prosperity. They are the means of production and communication of our societies. Computer knowledge is power. Computers can't be just a purview of engineers.

            (*) A skill nearly every citizen has or is expected to acquire. I know this is a very Finnish concept, but I'm not ashamed of that. :-)
          • by mapkinase (958129) on Tuesday February 26 2008, @07:05AM (#22556908) Homepage Journal
            Linux is number one OS in science, in algorithms, in calculating stuff that matters. On Linux I verify genomic annotations, find distant relationships, parse scientific texts for data mining (extracting scientific facts). I code all of it too.

            On Windows I submit weekly reports about hours and answer emails of people who are lazy enough to lift their behinds and walk 10 feet into my office, I write documentation that nobody reads, I waste my time browsing websites.

            Linux makes me think. Windows makes me a slob.
    • Re: (Score:2, Funny)

      by Anonymous Coward
      and support.. you are relying on the continued interest of a bunch of nerds. wtf happens when they discover girls?

      Their hearts are broken. Their spirits are crushed. They retreat to their parent's basements to bask in the comforting glow of boxen and resume coding free software to numb the pain.

    • Because then normal people don't know what you're talking about.

      (Yes, contrary to what NERD RAAAAAGE will tell you, this is important. If normal people can't understand you, they'll write you off.)
    • Free is too ambiguous and may be pejorative (as in no value).
      This is a very big misconception in many people's minds. That the market value of something has something to do with the real value. Although it sounds intuivly correct, it is isn't the case.

      As long as you have competition, market value is far more dependent on the cost of production than it is on the actual value of a thing. Actually having competition and a decently informed market is another matter though.
    • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

      Google SMS is much better, almost as good as having an active internet connection.